RedSky

All that and the GFS adds two cutters next week

Winter playoffs have started The GFS team has cutter #17 with a perfect record in seasonal trend The ECM team with the classic delmarva low with snow

Two sunny days back to back and another ECM snow run crazy stuff going on

12z GFS assumed the position..

One op run, she's going north

Full sun day!

Bingo bango Euro snows us 1/23 and setting up a biggie late month

* Punt away* There were some positive glimmers earlier in the week but it's turned into January is toast. Little reason to see why February offers redemption other then finally scoring some 2-4" advisory event that results in two billion tons of road salt. Maybe possibly we luck out on some 2006/2016 thing but who's counting on that. One slight hope that remains is that February torch MJO 3 progression doesn't mean much the MJO forecasts have been as bad as everything else. Now March might rock, there's some evidence for this but that's spring damn it.

Ray Finkle doubles with punt duty, warming up

Highly accurate! Sitting on the 1.5" line with my 1.6" observation total. I be feeling bad living in the <5.1" hole in northeast PA

99.73% cloud cover today, let's try again tomorrow

Nice backwash from developing far offshore storm deformation band of flurries

Roughly every 72 hours through the GFS run there is a cutter lol, yeah there has never been any season as awful as this one.

I have to wait 50,000 more years to see a green comet due to the clouds

There is no partly to today's cloudy

Cloudy and 41F, day after day after day Ground is a mud lovers dream. Going to be tracking the clouds closely the next three days, it's come down to tracking cloud performance in winter 2023. Saturday Partly sunny, with a high near 38. North wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Sunday Sunny, with a high near 41. North wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. M.L.King Day Sunny, with a high near 44.

GEFS not pretty long range with deep California troughing resuming

Had a couple thunders. Thundershowers like this in January 2006 led to the February blizzard.

Continued positive signs the EPS has the gargantuan west coast troughing gone and replaced with ridging by day 7 Knowing our luck the pattern change will be cold and dry as the Pacific juice factory shuts off

Eh not so sure about that we should at least be making the move late month to a colder rain

Yeah that something is snow quick to 33F rain N&W and I95 east spiking into the 40's with no stout high pressure. Lucky indeed it's ten days away lol

Long range guidance is showing a more favorable winter pattern developing the last week of January. Is it real or a phantom? Need to see it hold and get inside 10 days, just in time for my punt or go for it date..

Lined up like ducks on the pond one juiced Pacific system after the next. Endless clouds and cold rain only Florida and Mexico as refuge. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/satlooper.php?region=atlpac-wide&product=ir Cold fail December, terrible on every level January, February?

First that is going to end up being a Lake Superior blizzard cuz it's the GFS Second I take into consideration all factors beyond trackable, possible SSWE, 30 day long range outlooks, MJO, fading or not fading Nina. Worked well the last two years holding onto the ball, not great snow numbers last years but still had 12-13" more inches of snow and seasonable cold. 2020 punted it into the stratosphere and never looked back. Have to say this year is looking difficult going to need a timeout.

It could last until 0z