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Everything posted by Hurricane Agnes
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Am now up to 0.77" in the bucket at post time, with temp still at the low for today - 56 - and dp 56. The current rain band is pushing up from the SSE and looks like there might be a break in it on the western side.
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So far this morning, am getting a little steadier rain (currently around 1/4" - 1/3rd" per hr rates) and have 0.39" in the bucket at post time. Am currently at my low of 56 at the moment with dp 56 (so the drier conditions continue). Am guessing a "small" central core of that has the tropical conditions and the rest is (inland) nor'easter-like.
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And NHC confirmed landfall @ 6:15 am.
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Looks like some kind of landfall happened to the SW of Morehead City by Emerald Isle, sometime around 6:15 am give or take.
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WPC rainfall forecast for the morning package, still on track for a general 1" - 6" rainfall across the CWA (with more to the S/E, particularly along the coast, and less to the N/W). CWA is in a general marginal to slight risk for flash flooding (although local conditions may depend on where bands set up given the storm has slowed and has a blocking high to the north).
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Ophelia continues to deepen and slow. Winds still holding at 70 mph. Heard some guy on KYW earlier this morning saying "Oh it's just a tropical storm". And my first reaction was - "Yeah, a HIGH END one". We're talking 70 mph sustained winds with who knows how high the gusts might be. Track ticked back to the east.
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E PA/NJ/DE Fall 2023 OBS/Discussion Thread
Hurricane Agnes replied to Rtd208's topic in Philadelphia Region
LOL And this is when Ralph is supposed to make an appearance. Am finally getting some light rain (apparently on and off) this morning and now up to 0.02". Temp 58 with dp 55. -
Finally starting to get some measurable here, with a first bucket tip for 0.01". Had expected to have woken up with it already accumulating but that was not to be. Currently damp and 58 with dp 55.
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WPC flash flood/excessive rain - targeted as marginal in the southern part of the CWA for day 1, and a mix of marginal and slight for days 2 & 3. Cou;d be for some antecedent dryness.
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- 144 replies
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- 144 replies
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Mid- and lower-level...(Water Vapor). Yup. My dp is currently 55 (temp 62). Wasn't getting the typical "tropical feel" from it - at least yet. I guess as it moves further north, some of that might start mixing in.
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- 144 replies
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- 144 replies
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- 144 replies
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- 144 replies
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Those are some insane waves!
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I know it has to be tearing up the Carolina coast and SC already had issues with flooding (especially Charleston) just the past week or so, let alone with Idalia.
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I was watching the satellite loops and saw the eye start filling in with convection so it seemed to be juicing up. It's one thing having a 50 mph thing landfall and a 70 mph one. Didn't expect that kind of almost-RI. It's just a few mph short of a hurricane but I don't think it has enough room to do that before landfall.
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Wow. Ophelia hit that bathwater and exploded from 50 mph to 70 mph. Might not have time to become a hurricane before landfall but didn't expect that!
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