CT Valley Dryslot

1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said:

2 feet on the shore sorry

I'm over it.

Just now, Ginx snewx said:

12 21 09

That was one giant virga storm.

Honestly I just hope the storm is just a massive throbbing 24"+ dong storm for us all.

1 minute ago, JC-CT said:

this elongated low thing is probably real

I'd rather wait and see.

5 minutes ago, skierinvermont said:

It's odd, none of the forecast maps I've seen show the snow hole in SE CT and SW RI that almost all the computer runs show. With N winds downsloping and climo it seems likely

The H7 low is well offshore from us, so there's no mid-level dryslotting

6-12 for the valley to 495 feels like a lock at this point.

3 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

In MA watches cut off about 5mi W of my house actually.

Should have just issued watches for the whole forceast area and just left it at

 "the potential exists for 6" or more of snow, but exact amounts are unable to be pinpointed at this time. This is a dynamic storm with many variables still to be worked out. This watch serves as notice to the public to prepare for what may be a major snowstorm."

That looks like 18+ BDL-HFD-HVN on east.

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Loses the dual low quicker.

I feel like this will happen less and less once the whole storm is inside 48 hours.

NAM looks slightly slower than 12z at hour 30.

4 minutes ago, dan11295 said:

The storm isn't going to be that long of a duration. Meat of it is 9-12 hours. Going to be some high rates for sure, but without a bigger stall than implied don't get too crazy,

Mmm, sooo meaty.

Based on BOXs latest snow map, watches probably flip to warnings and watches get added for the remaining counties in the FA.

Berkshire County should probably get one for impact and a possible (though unlikely) west trend.

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

This gets them all near or over a foot 

Not in Northern Fairfield, Litchfield and Berkshire Counties.

All the WOR peeps are either silent or left the thread after that run.

Another mediocré 6" storm for them.

Just now, wxsniss said:

To be precise... SLP is actually west of 0z... 966-67 crawling parallel to elbow, ~20-30 miles west of 12z 973-974 

 

Let's get it another 30 miles west so that WOR get's double digit accums.

6 minutes ago, DotRat_Wx said:

WVIT plagarised it.

Just now, JC-CT said:

Except I clicked around and they don't differ greatly so it seems you made that up in this instance?

It doesn't happen all the time, but it has in the past.

Just now, JC-CT said:

what are you talking about

On the forecast page, there is a map, where you can click to get a forecast for that specific location.

Often the snow totals will differ greatly between locations just a few miles away.

Just now, JC-CT said:

https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=42.60677000000004&lon=-71.56931999999995#.YfLRXOrMKUk

Detailed Forecast

This Afternoon

Sunny, with a high near 25. South wind 5 to 8 mph.

Tonight

Increasing clouds, with a low around 18. South wind around 6 mph.

Friday

Mostly cloudy, with a high near 33. Southwest wind around 6 mph becoming northwest in the afternoon.

Friday Night

A chance of snow, mainly after midnight. Cloudy, with a low around 11. North wind 6 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible.

Saturday

Snow likely, mainly between 1pm and 3pm. Cloudy, with a high near 19. North wind 11 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 33 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New snow accumulation of 5 to 9 inches possible.

Saturday Night

A chance of snow, mainly before 3am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 8. Northwest wind 15 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 33 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches possible.

You could literally move the map pin 500 feet and the forecast would go from 6-12 to 1-3.

I'd weigh in the possibility of the at least the Route 7 corridor getting 0.0"

That's the real borderline.

The River valley is probably OK for, at a minimum, an advisory event.

CMC looks great for the River.

Just now, HIPPYVALLEY said:

I was sad the day NWS got rid of "heavy snow" warnings.   I loved seeing that deep purple on the forecast map.

Those were the biggest weenie warnings ever.

1 minute ago, JC-CT said:

fv3 is actually east of 0z

GFS may be east then, too, since its FV3-based.

Just now, JC-CT said:

are people legit complaining about this verbatim output lol

I'm just saying, the NAM surface output is riddled with CFI.