CT Valley Dryslot

A majority of members are west of the mean.

Using this view to ensure all members are visible.

Just now, SouthCoastMA said:

The GEFS looks west leaning vs 6z. 

And slower.

GEFS a bit more amped @ 96.

2 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Cmc

IMHO a solution like that should be colder given the sfc high over Hudson Bay.

Fast jet is fast.

Just now, NorEastermass128 said:

5 miles as the crow flies between 2 ft and nada. 

Good thing the GFS can't resolve temps to save its life.

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

I see you’re in Vernon. I grew up there . Lived off of Tunnel Rd

I live off Rt. 30, near Northeast Elementary School.

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Why is this being compared to Morch 93? That dropped a foot plus from Alabama to Maine. One is not like the other. 

It was brought up as a possible "deepest low pressure at the latitude of BOS".

I don't think it was meant to be a comparison.

Just now, JC-CT said:

because?

I can only guess that a deeper low brings with it convective precip, which means that someone will get shafted by dryslotting.

Honestly with the ens low mean being as deep as it is, I think it's fair to say that independent of track, a strong storm is more than likely.

11 minutes ago, wxeyeNH said:

I have a couple of questions.  Just went through all the posts to see if someone already asked.

What is the deepest cyclone in mb at the latitude of the Cape/Boston?  Would the Euro  946mb be a record?  Sure would seem like it.

Blizzard of 78 was 984mb (I think) but a stronger high out west.  What has been the steepest pressure gradient over New England for a winter storm?

Mar. 1993 was 968mb.

7 minutes ago, tiger_deF said:

People are paranoid because this is the kind of synoptic setup that has the potential to truly produce a historic beast... provided that all the factors (northern stream, southern stream, positioning of disturbances, high pressure interactions) line up just right. With models setting expectations this high this early, while the end result could end up being exactly what is modeled now, there will certainly be some movement with us being 5 days out. Getting 6 inches of snow as a max out of this system would leave the board majorly disappointed, while getting 6 inches out of a system that comes out of nowhere would be considered exciting.

If there's one thing I've learned since Juno, it's don't ever predict a KU.

I still have that one BOX snow map imprinted in my mind, the one that showed basically everyone away from the South Coast getting 24-30+. What a fail.

7 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Man the paranoia is real in here. 

Weekend storm rule is in effect.

9 hours ago, Heisy said:

Cmc actually might bring low close or over Boston this run, tough to tell exact position with these maps

GON to BOS.