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Climo supports such as track, as does the topography of the island over the past couple 100 years. Getting a day or two to understand the shift of the sand there, which is unlike any other on the east coast, and maybe heading south? Seems like a safe bet... >10% chance this misses, sorry dude, but once left of 78W without a bionafied front, kind of hard to miss SC/NC, with probs on the latter.