TheClimateChanger
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Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
TheClimateChanger replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
Thank you for the comment. The official values for Chester County show more warming over that period. It looks like your numbers start near the NOAA values and then drift lower over time. Not sure how you are correcting for changing station basket or is this only comparing one or two sites. -
2025-2026 ENSO
TheClimateChanger replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Shows up really well on the rankings too, with almost every station out there seeing its warmest winter to date. -
2025-2026 ENSO
TheClimateChanger replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
This has been a very favorable pattern for the eastern U.S. overall since December 1. You can see departures in the intermountain west as high as +16F to +18F for the winter season to date. Really can't complain about this look. Could be a LOT worse. -
Winter 2025/26 Banter Thread
TheClimateChanger replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Views like that, and snow like the above... count me in! -
Pittsburgh/Western PA WINTER ‘25/‘26
TheClimateChanger replied to Burghblizz's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Two days after making us ground zero for the fantasy snow blitz, the GFS has decided to make us the screw zone of all screw zones. To be clear, 8" over 16 days isn't horrible, but it would be pretty awful if everybody else in the northeastern US got 2 feet +. -
Winter 2025-26 Short Range Discussion
TheClimateChanger replied to SchaumburgStormer's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Both of these pale in comparison to South Bend, which saw 12.6" yesterday - the most in nearly 11 years (February 1, 2015; 14.7 inches). To put the amount of snow that fell in South Bend in perspective, Detroit has only observed two days with more snow than that since 1908 (18.4" on 12/1/1974 & 13.7" on 2/1/2015). -
Winter 2025-26 Short Range Discussion
TheClimateChanger replied to SchaumburgStormer's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Incredible! The 5.1" calendar day snowfall at Detroit yesterday was the most in a single calendar day in nearly three years! The last time more snow fell in one day was March 10, 2023 (5.2"). Even more impressive, the 7.2" calendar day snowfall at Cleveland today was the most in almost four years! The last time more snow fell in one day at Cleveland was February 3, 2022 (8.0"). I'm sure many have been waiting for days like these for a LONG time! -
Winter 2025/26 Banter Thread
TheClimateChanger replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Moscow is not warmer than Detroit. It is significantly colder, moreso in the summer but winters are colder too. The mean daily maximum in January is only 25.0F, which is less than the mean daily mean [average of max & min] for Detroit (25.8F), with the daily mean being 5F colder (20.8F). For the year, it's way colder. The normal annual mean is 3.6F colder than even Minneapolis. A normal year in Moscow (43.3F) is 0.7F colder than the coldest year ever recorded in Detroit (44.0F, in 1875). The difference is greatest in the late summer. The normal August in Moscow is 2.2F colder than the record coldest August in Detroit (65.9F, 1915) and the normal September is a full 4F coldest than the record coldest in Detroit (57.4F, in 1918). -
Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
TheClimateChanger replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
Surprised nobody shared the 2025 global numbers. Most temperature datasets say 3rd warmest, slightly behind 2023, although NASA's GISTEMP narrowly edged out 2023 for 2nd warmest. 2024 is the unanimous #1 in all major datasets. -
Pittsburgh/Western PA WINTER ‘25/‘26
TheClimateChanger replied to Burghblizz's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Not looking forward to this cold next week. Wish I could book a trip to Florida until it passes. Let's hope those 300-hour projections are way off the mark. -
2025-2026 ENSO
TheClimateChanger replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Very 1932-esque out there. -
Pittsburgh/Western PA WINTER ‘25/‘26
TheClimateChanger replied to Burghblizz's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Pretty strict size limits. I rarely post pictures, but for images I usually upload to imgur and then link. -
Pittsburgh/Western PA WINTER ‘25/‘26
TheClimateChanger replied to Burghblizz's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Can sort of make out that one heavier band the NWS was concerned about possibly making it into eastern Ohio and perhaps parts of Washington County. Nothing too heavy in our immediate area otherwise. Lake enhancement certainly helping out around Cleveland and points east of there. -
Pittsburgh/Western PA WINTER ‘25/‘26
TheClimateChanger replied to Burghblizz's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Can confirm snowing here. Coating on grassy surfaces -
Pittsburgh/Western PA WINTER ‘25/‘26
TheClimateChanger replied to Burghblizz's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Here's what it's going to look like if that GFS fantasy storm from last night comes true.
