magpiemaniac

24 minutes ago, jburns said:

Duke is calling the effect of the storm on its power grid, "death by a thousand cuts".  There are several thousand issues, most only affecting a small number of customers. As usual, they are starting with infrastructure, hospitals and the like and then moving to the spots that will restore power to the most people with one fix. Finally, they will move into the neighborhoods working their way down to single customer problems.  Those folks will be waiting a while.

I live in a dense neighborhood—and you can interpret that in a couple of ways—so I’m hoping that being in the middle of three thousand dark homes will provide Duke with the incentive to get cracking around here.  (After the essentials of course.)  Restoring in this area would be a good bang for their buck from an efficiency standpoint.

But I’m not holding my breath though.

Over 24 hours later and still no estimate from Duke.  At least I didn’t lose anything (unlike others) and the temps are nice, but I’m afraid to even guess how long it’s going to take to get power back on here.

17 minutes ago, Lookout said:

Sounds like they went to the glenn burns school of crappy forecasting. If they claim today/tomorrow that either "no models predicted this" or that they actually accurately forecasted it, then you know for sure  they are all graduates. 

They never say, “Wow. We really missed that one. Sorry, folks.”  Instead, we’ll get a steady diet of post-storm, overly dramatic, on-air promos claiming, “We were there first when Michael hit the Triad! Watch us for the most dependable, accurate forecast available anywhere!”

One thing I’ve learned from using the Nextdoor app during these events.  The people who live around me are absolute idiots.

Almost 20 hours without power in Greensboro.

A couple of local tv mets spent the week repeating “Michael isn’t going to be NEARLY as bad as Florence [for the Triad]” and everyone took that at face value.  The 30 mile shift to the west in NC caught a lot by surprise.

The number of outages in Guilford County has been growing all night and into the morning.  Not a crew in sight even where lines are on the ground.

We’ve been without power in Greensboro since 3:00 PM Thursday.  Duke Energy is still “assessing damage” and has no estimate on restoration time.  Almost 4.5” IMBY today.  It’s a mess in GSO.  Trees down everywhere. Almost half the county without power.  Idiots treating dead traffic lights like they have a full green regardless of who else is in the intersection.

There are some strange posters in that Tropical Headquarters forum.  Explains why I hang around the Southeastern States area 99% of the time.

Go home, Florence.  You’re drunk.  

20 minutes ago, superjames1992 said:

From speaking with family/friends, it sounds like it’s prepmaggeddon up there in the Triad, and if the southward trend continues it’s going to be all for naught, most likely (not that it likely would have been worse than tropical storm force winds in the worst case scenario, anyways).  If such winds do develop, I’d expect tree damage and power outages, but hopefully the ice storms a few years ago already took down a lot of the “low hanging fruit”.  It seemed that flooding was the biggest threat there, but I would imagine a further south track will limit that.

I prepped early, but didn’t have to do much because I keep a few things on hand 24/7/365 just as a precaution.  Maybe I can burn through some of this stuff during a huge winter storm this coming season.  

Florence should be down in Miami by morning.    I wasn’t wanting damaging wind and flooding, but I might be lucky to get a sprinkle out of this,

1 hour ago, Solak said:

Saw a post/photo on Twitter yesterday... 40 pack of Deer Spring water for $38.95 listed on Amazon.

That’s ridiculous.  Surely people are aware that they’re getting shafted.  I purchased several 40-count packs at Walmart for $3.76 each.

1 hour ago, the ghost of leroy said:

people rushing the stores are noobs.  with this much leadtime you could just amazon prime your needs.

I remember people doing that before Irma and there were instances of Amazon third-party sellers jacking up 24-count cases of bottled water to $40 and $50 per case.

9 hours ago, YetAnotherRDUGuy said:

That moron % might be a bit conservative.

To be honest, I'm enjoying reading the SE Florence thread more than the 'main' one. (although I am following both)

 

I have to remember take most of what I read on here with a grain of salt.  Many (not all) have basically no idea what they’re talking about and try to hide their wishcasting within “trends” that they’re “seeing”.  Cracks me up.

11 minutes ago, CaryWx said:

Is it me or has the path shifted more NW and east once on shore?

It’s about a 50 mile shift to the NW since this morning’s 11:00 AM advisory.

While reading the main tropical thread, I have to remind myself that this board is primarily comprised of professional mets (5%), amateurs with a decent command of the subject (50%), quite lurkers who seek to learn (25%), and morons (20%).  

So is this a good time to remind all the national mets how to pronounce Topsail?

2 minutes ago, NyCwEaThErFeEn said:

Nobody wants this unless you’re a retard!

We have no shortage of those on AmericanWX.

I don’t wish Florence on anyone and hope all avoid the worst, but selfishly IMBY, I’m pleased with the Euro trend.  Half a foot of rain is bad enough, but I don’t want any part of two feet coupled with tropical storm force winds.  We all love weather and the wonders it brings, but it’s not worth having a couple of huge oak trees on the house.

My wife works with a lot of yankees and granola types in her office due to a corporate merger.  Lots of people from New York and California.  They all live in Greensboro now and none of them are taking Florence seriously.  One guy told her, “Being 170 miles inland protects us from everything except some rain.  It’ll die out at the coast.  No wind or flooding.”

Damn know-it-alls.  Get back to us in a week.

6 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said:

Cantore is in Wilmington/Carolina beach already!!!

Oh, no.  That means it’ll make landfall in Savannah.  

I’ve been hoping for long shot OTS solution, but that looks increasingly unlikely.  This could be a once-in-lifetime event for millions of people in most of NC and much of VA.  Prepare now.

19 minutes ago, NCSNOW said:

Generator Talk. [snip]

Good advice. This is what I do with my Honda EU3000is. I can plug it directly into my box, but there’s no point with 3,000 watts. I’m not running the entire house. I use heavy duty extension cords to power the basics like refrigerator, freezer, fan, phone charging, microwave, radio, etc. When buying, look for an internal inverter.

Not liking the weather forecast for this Sunday’s Coca Cola 600 in Charlotte.  How about 75 and mostly sunny instead of these evening boomers?  Just one day is all I ask.

1 hour ago, burrel2 said:

C+ here so far. 3 separate events with measurable winter precip.

That's above normal for my back yard. Total accumulation of 2.75 inches snow/sleet spread across two systems and a light glaze of ice with the 3rd system.

Not great, but right at my 25 year seasonal average.

So far, I’m at 9.7” of snow from three events.  That’s right at 2” above climo I think, so I’m giving this season a B.  I’m counting my blessings because I’m not optimistic I’ll see much more if any.

10 minutes ago, Lookout said:

lol....i've always loved widre's complaining and pessimism. He's always cracked me up. 

A pessimist is never disappointed.  

1 minute ago, superjames1992 said:

I miss snow.

Miss your being up here.  Always looked for your posts during these type of events.