magpiemaniac

5 minutes ago, griteater said:

Current National Weather Service zone forecasts for GSO are tempered at the moment with no mention of sleet

How things play out between NW Guilford and SE Guilford could be night and day different.  They provide a little more detail in my part of town.

20 minutes ago, kvegas-wx said:

Grit, this keeps getting worse every model run for the triad.  You would think the mets would be screaming Ice Storm Warning on the morning update if this holds serve tonight, right?  This is flat out ugly!

That’s a nightmare scenario for the Triad.  Crippling ice like that would set us back a week.

Why do these storms hit right when Van Denton has the weekend off at Fox 8?  Denton and East are the only local mets I trust.  Kate Garner downplays everything until it’s too late to act.  Remember how she said that Hurricane Michael wouldn’t be a problem for us?  I didn’t have power for three days.

1 hour ago, Cold Rain said:

Lol that seems ridiculously confusing.

I’m used to RAH’s forecasts for my area.

”Chance of rain, freezing rain, sleet, or snow at some point today.  Expect accumulations anywhere between zero and 8” of frozen precipitation.  Highs anticipated to reach anywhere between 28 and 50.”

 RAH stills gives us a little hope for something.  ZR is my fear though.

7 minutes ago, eyewall said:

I am simply saying it is rare to get more than 1 good snow event in any given winter east of the mountains in NC. 

I don’t know.  I guess it depends what you mean by good, but the Triad and NW Piedmont outside the mountains tend to reel in at least two to three decent snow events each season.

15 minutes ago, superjames1992 said:

I miss snow.

At least I saw a few remnant dirty snowpiles from the December storm when I was in Greensboro over Christmas.

And now they look to be getting another...

Perhaps. I’ll temper my optimism until Friday. On the bright side, any additional snow we get this season is just gravy.

16 minutes ago, frazdaddy said:

And...That's a young team. Trevor Lawrence is a sophomore and Justin Ross is a freshman. There will be Tiger paws on 95 all the way to the Ga line for a while.

Believe it or not, Trevor Lawrence is a freshman which makes this team this team a playoff favorite for the next several years.

Light freezing rain on top of 12” of snow and 30F in GSO.

I took a short drive in the truck and the roads are pretty bad. (Obviously.) Neighborhood streets are impassable for most vehicles and main roads are rough. Only one lane each direction on Friendly and still slick after plowing. High snow banks from the plows leading onto neighborhood streets.

A winter wonderland of 27F and 8” of all snow so far in Greensboro.  Coming down to beat the band right now.

5 minutes ago, wake4est said:

Updated.  Tick lower.

That went UP from 11” to 12” for GSO since this morning’s graphic.  I’ll take 8” and call December a success.

I just finished a bottle of wine.  Bring on Snowpocalypse Dec ‘18, but don’t expect my shoveling to be worth a darn.  

Say “I just got NAM’d” one more time.  

I’ve been wondering.  If you were to piece together the various call maps from adjacent NWS field offices, would the accumulation projections along their border counties match up fairly well?  Has anyone ever seen a 10” call for one county and then 2” in a neighboring county forecasted by another NWS office?

4 minutes ago, Solak said:

RAH just wrote a book!

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 330 PM Thursday...

...A significant winter storm is expected Sat night through Mon; 
a winter storm watch is being issued for the NW Piedmont...

Overview for Sat-Mon: A significant wintertime storm for NC is 
growing more likely with every model run. Differences among the 
models regarding timing, track, precip amounts, and the vertical 
thermal structure and advection patterns persist, which makes it 
challenging to pinpoint the details, but the models are coming into 
better agreement now. It's very likely that parts of central NC, 
primarily N and W of the Triangle, will see several inches of snow, 
at least, along with some icing. Lesser (but still impactful) 
accumulations of ice and snow are expected at some point of the 
event over all but the far SE.

Or as the rest of us call it, the Triad.  

Just now, wncsnow said:

Starting to look like your typical winter storm for WNC/Foothills and triad. 4-6 inches of snow then sleet and ice on top... Nothing too special about it 

At this point in the season, I’ll take it.

2 minutes ago, Poimen said:

Dude...no offense but you're as predictable as the day is long. We are willing to concede that you are on record poo-pooing this entire event for everyone who is in it while you only dream of snow in Wilmington. 

Some people want to see the world burn.

To paraphrase, all who live by the models shall die by the models.

1 minute ago, PackWxMan said:

Let’s not overreact here

Not sure how you took that as an overreaction.  Just pointing out RAH observations folks might have missed overnight.

RAH’s uncertainty line has moved west overnight.

4:00 PM graphic on Wednesday

5:00 AM graphic on Thursday

30 minutes ago, NCSNOW said:

And as far as RAH fcst office. This is par for the course. If they had to be graded on 3-5 day forecast , they would be unemployed. We see and deal with this all the time over in the triad.

As long as I can remember, RAH has had difficulty acknowledging that they have forecasting responsibilities for anywhere west of Chapel Hill.  If a storm’s not hitting Wake full throttle, they don’t consider it a threat anywhere else.

Just now, Poimen said:

who would have ever thought that people in this sub forum would be flipping out for having their 24" clown maps downsized to 15"??? 

I’d cash in my chips for 12” in GSO and get an Uber ride from the casino.  No complaining about that in early December.

The contradictory PBP posts crack me up.

Less QPF.  No, it’s more.  Tad south.  No, it’s north.  Well, I think it’s the same.

6 minutes ago, Berlin1926 said:

RAH is lukewarm at best.  Maybe a few inches along the VA border; zilch everywhere else.  Are the model amounts typically this divorced from the local NWS office?

RAH always seems to be playing catch-up with GSP and RNK.

17 minutes ago, DopplerWx said:

charlotte to raleigh, toss in the towel.  not sure we even see snowflakes at this point.  writing is on the wall.

A pessimist is never disappointed.  

It took Duke Energy over thirty hours of “assessing damage” to come up with a power restoration estimate of Tuesday, October 16 at 11:45 PM.

I feel sorry for my generator, but it’s a Honda and can probably manage.