MJO812

4 minutes ago, ILoveWinter said:

Anything on 12z runs?

Euro has the banding near Philly. 1-3 inches for the NYC area. Boston gets crushed with over 15 inchea.

2 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said:

Wow these maps are brutal today. Not really shocked the mega band moved NW as that's typical but to see a place like AC possibly cash in? Ouch. I Expect the band to set up over western Jersey, those in Sussex county are in for a good one.

Ukie also has the band into SNJ and eastern LI.

These bands are so fickle. We will not know what will happen  until tomorrow. 

13 minutes ago, CarLover014 said:

12z GEM showing a heavy band west of NYC stretching down to Burlington/Ocean counties in NJ

Every model except the nam has been showing this band into snj.

Gfs has the banding from over NYC and to the north and west. Nothing in SNJ.

Rgem is funny.  It has banding to the west and east of the city.

Looks like the precip is coming in faster than modeled for today 

Just now, SnowGoose69 said:

Problem is these things almost always end up slightly more NW than models indicate, rarely southeast. 

This isnt your typical storm where the low goes northeast. It pulls back south and then east and then heads northeast. 

Just now, bluewave said:

Root for the stronger CCB on the 12z NAM to pivot through NYC.

 

Jeez so close to bigger totals

5 minutes ago, Brasiluvsnow said:

I though Weenie emoji was a good thing my bad

It is =)

Sleet here in Brooklyn

WWA only for Boston ? Wtf

1 minute ago, LibertyBell said:

mini Feb 2006 lmao

Those bands were insane during the morning.

Anyone check out the 6z rgem  snowfall map ? There is a huge band just to the west of NYC that lays down close to a foot of snow. It shows a foot  of snow in Staten Island and 3-6 for NYC  with less as you go east.

Eps also has a wider coverage of the ccb band. That's what everyone should be hoping for.

3 minutes ago, bluewave said:

This is the 0z snowfall map for the 2nd part of the storm. Whatever falls today on the front end near NYC will get quickly washed away by the rains later. So this map is what could be on the ground by Tuesday morning. Root for the IVT to verify and boost these totals. But relying on an IVT often doesn’t work out. You need to be in a lucky spot.

 

6z euro has a wide expansive ccb rather than a skinny inverted trough.  That would put alot more people in play.

2 minutes ago, bluewave said:

This is the 0z snowfall map for the 2nd part of the storm. Whatever falls today on the front end near NYC will get quickly washed away by the rains later. So this map is what could be on the ground by Tuesday morning. Root for the IVT to verify and boost these totals. But relying on an IVT often doesn’t work out. You need to be in a lucky spot.

 

6z euro has 3-6 for NYC with more to the west. EPS coming out soon. 

Just now, Baroclinic Zone said:

That’s one hell of a 06Z run.

Boston gets crushed on the euro. Good luck up there.

1 minute ago, NJsnow89 said:

Snow maps?

SNE Thread

Euro has several inches now on the 6z run for NYC  with more to the west.

Banding is back over NYC on the 6z euro

Rgem  shows the same ccb band just to the west of NYC that the euro shows but it eventually comes east.  Hopefully the models have it too far west.

Why give me weenie emojis ? It's the truth.

35 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

It’s still entirely possible and why I’m sticking to 2-8” for the city for now. I really think someone in the metro area sees a surprise Monday evening. The where exactly is impossible to predict .

The banding on the euro is just to the west. It's really close. 

59 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said:

Well it was fun to track... the miracle band is gone. Welcome to winter ladies and gentlemen. 

LOL

You realize  that  these bands are hard for the models to pinpoint  , right ? These usually end up in different places than where the models show.

Just now, kingbaus said:

Do you have the maps. I only see until hour 36.

http://meteocentre.com/numerical-weather-prediction/map-explorer.php?lang=en&map=na&run=00&mod=ukmet&stn=PNM&comp=1&run2=00&mod2=ukmet&stn2=PNM&hh2=120&fixhh=1&stn2_type=prog&mode=latest&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&hh=144