MJO812

6 minutes ago, weathafella said:

2007-08 pattern on GEFS/GEPS

It's not as bad as people are making it out to be.

4 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

Nice raging cutter on the Gfs on the 21-22nd.

Much better pattern on the gfs and cmc after

12z models look better after the 23rd

12z models look better after the 23rd

Nam has several inches of snow for inland areas. Temps near the coast are also in the mid 30s but rain and sleet.

8 minutes ago, Dan76 said:

Will NOV be are biggest storm ?

No

1 hour ago, redbanknjandbigbasslakepa said:

uh oh Ant, you starting to crack? Looks like it’s going to start getting ugly on the boards 

It's already getting ugly for no reason. Xmas week holds promise.

Remember when it use to snow in December ?

Remember when it use to snow in December ?

Mid to upper 30s for the city on the Nam

Very close

Let's get this to trend colder

Inland areas look good for frozen precip

1 hour ago, NJwx85 said:

Fixed it for ya

Agree

December usually sucks in EL Nino winters.

December usually sucks in EL Nino winters.

1 hour ago, SnoSki14 said:

Gfs now joins the Euro with the cutter for next week. 

There's not a lot of positive signs out there, and I don't think we'll be seeing much of a winter pattern for a long time. 

If this winter follows 14/15 or 02/03 then it's likely that it won't return until mid January. 

Just like last storm was suppose fto be s cutter and Sunday also.

Stop hugging the models

23 minutes ago, Greg said:

It proves the Euro is definitely not infallible.

It hasn't been good

13 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

Euro and Gfs couldn't be more different for next week. 

Euro is trending to the nam in regards to Sunday night

It has been horrible

Keep an eye out for the 21 and 23.

Just now, IntenseBlizzard2014 said:

The 12Z GFS suggests that we should keep an eye on Christmas. 

Keep an eye on the 21 and 23

20 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said:

Amazed there are 5 pages dissecting the 12z NAM..........

The other models are trending to the nam

12z nam has alot of sleet for the area on Monday

4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Mid levels are pretty mild. NAM got drunk.

Most likely sleet

Remmeber when this weekend was 50s and rain ?

Now it shows upper 30s to low 40a with showers and a mix.

45 minutes ago, CIK62 said:

Well, the highest low temperature for a whole season is 19, in 2001-02, and we have already beaten that.     The least seasonal snowfall is about 2", and we have already beaten that too.    Some member mentioned that the NAM kept moving the heavy rain to the south.    Now just imagine this was mid-winter.    The system is in the meso-scale time frame and still can not finalize  its output.

BTW:   The EURO WEEKLIES, just out today, show no weekly cold till Jan. 18.     It does not look impressive even then, as North America appears to be burning up for the whole 6 weeks, except the last two along the EC.

 

11 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

That's disappointing, at this point it wouldn't surprise me if all our snows come in a month (Feb this year), that's been the theme lately. 

Why are people even looking at the Weeklies? Last week it was cold, now it shows warmth.

It's garbage

3 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

Any thoughts on the JAMSTEC, it torches the entire US along with the CFS. 

And the weeklies

Weeklies have been atrocious

Holy Greenland block near xmas on the gfs