MJO812

1 minute ago, moneypitmike said:

 

It still looks very good for New England but not down here.

It could probably snow in the summer in NNE.

This winter was forecasted to be a very good winter for our area. Many forecasts had a cold and snowy winter with 30-40 inches of snow. 

No one saw the Pacific and the MJO messing up this winter. 

The NAO was no help at all.

This is going to be one of the worst winters ever here. 2001-2002 still holds the crown.

7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

The ridge didn't. The problem is what Tip and I said. The zonal trough sandwich across the CONUS with ridging in Canada and Mexico. So picture pretty oranges and reds in Canada and across the TX,SW US area...with blues in between, That's usually not good. What may change is for next weekend as a piece of the PV dives into the Plains while one of the s/w troughs out west retros enough to pump ridging into the Rockies (albeit weak). This allows that piece of the PV to dive into the Plains and give us some sort of precip perhaps next weekend. Everything is low confidence because the pattern is a clusterphuck.

The Pac is just horrendous. The models were showing it getting better with a huge epo ridge. Now the models are backing off that idea and it's back to cutter city.

Don't worry , we will get out -NAO during spring .

5 hours ago, Ji said:

Early March looks terrible. Whst happened?

The 2018-2019 winter happened

 Everything goes to crap

Nothing exciting on the models at all. Looks like the good pattern that people thought that was coming is going to fail.

Hopefully things change but this winter has been awful with tons of busts.

Bring on baseball. First game is today =)

Nothing exciting on the models at all. Looks like the good pattern that people thought that was coming is going to fail.

Hopefully things change but this winter has been awful with tons of busts.

Bring on baseball. First game is today =)

15 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Hey not bad there.

Better than the gfs

Cmc and icon are much further south with the clipper for next week. Low goes under NYC.

46 minutes ago, purduewx80 said:

Where are you getting that the rest of Feb is 5F above normal? With the exception of today and Sunday, the rest of the month is at or below normal, with some fairly substantial negative anomalies likely Tuesday-Thursday.

There is still plenty of support for cold storminess on the ensembles as we turn the calendar to March. 

1st week of March and maybe into the 2nd week looks cold and stormy. Just need help from the PNA.

9 minutes ago, Fozz said:

Do the weeklies show a nationwide torch after the 10th?

Yes

Models keep showing a storm during the 1st week of March

Epic march coming ?

14 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

Explosive warmth maybe....

What warmth ?

Seriously , do you look at the models ?  The pattern looks good as we head into March with the pna ridge and the favorable mjo.

Keep thinking winter is over. Head over to the SNE thread and see what they think.

22 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

The euro has zero snow for us in the next 10 days...LOL

The pattern is explosive just like the cmc and GFS are.

Next week looks nice on the gfs for sne and new england

8 minutes ago, NutleyBlizzard said:

You had to bring up that date again? The ultimate weenie storm that never materialized. Give me a 3 footer and I wouldn't care if we torch into the 80's after that.

2-3 feet predicted here

5 inches only fell

At least schools were closed lol

2 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said:

There's still a window of opportunity. Overall, it has been a really disappointing winter.

The window is during the 1st week of March. Spring should be here by the middle of the month.

NYC will end up below average in the snowfall department unless a March 2001 redux( favors our area now ) happens which is slim.

Just now, EastonSN+ said:

And THIS is what I mean about the winter being a tease. The Tels look terrible.

PNA neutral for a few days then strongly negative

AO positive throughout

NAO neutral now going strongly positive

Other than the MJO and EPO, what is going to help us with the above?

Looking at these tellies ?

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/pna/nao.shtml

I was told by many meteorologists not to take these charts seriously.

Epo tanks big time on the gefs and collapses on the eps near the 1st week of March.

Epo tanks big time on the gefs and collapses on the eps near the 1st week of March.

Just now, psv88 said:

Bro its an inch of slush. It’ll be ok.

Over an inch but still messy outside

21 minutes ago, JustinRP37 said:

Temps are already right around 30-32 and upper 30s out by KJFK. 

I'm at 34 now

It's messy outside. Many people thought the rain was going to wash the snow away but the rain has been very light.

No one really shoveled . It's terrible.

2 hours ago, weatherpruf said:

I'm surprised anyone from Brooklyn has even heard of Newark:). 

I went to Newark airport last week lol

Freezing drizzle now in Staten Island

Very messy now

Slushy mess on the roads and sidewalks

Just now, qg_omega said:

I am walking in midtown and it's pure sleet

It's snowing