MJO812

Euro and Euro mean has 1-2 inches for the area for Thursday morning

11 minutes ago, Kitzbuhel Craver said:

Beyond the midweek deal, what a terrible 12z GFS run. Cold rain after cold rain, something tells me that look has a chance at verification. 

It's stormy though

1 minute ago, WinterWolf said:

Dam that would be so nice...but the CMC just sucks.  And we are only 3 days out from Wednesday...and we still don’t know how that one shakes out yet??  

 

Werkend set up may be dependent on what Wednesday/Thursday does..no?? 

Cmc and gfs has a nice snow event for sne in Wednesday. Euro is slowly coming on board.

Para gfs also got rid of the lakes cutter for the 5th.

Cmc got rid of the lakes cutter for the 5th and now shows a coastal snowstorm

9 hours ago, SnoSki14 said:

Worst winter ever for me when you take into account slightly AN temps (N-J), AN precip, preseason forecasts, November tease, all snow to rain systems, and those atrocious weeklies. 

2001-2002 was worse

This is number 2 for me if we dont get any more snow

Just now, dryslot said:

Like yourself and many others...

Weenies gonna ween

I'm about to cancel my stormvista subscription. Winter is about over.

On 2/22/2019 at 4:43 PM, Snowshack said:

Always hate when the March thread comes around, winter is in the ninth inning.

Last March was epic

This winter has sucked. Time to say bye bye.

34 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Dude it was like 8-9 days out. WTF.

Models had a nice PNA ridge. Now they are losing it .

4 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

February - 3" QPF / 6.5" snow

January - 4.5" QPF / 2.4" snow

December - 4.3" QPF / 0.0" snow

Novemeber - 9.7" QPF / 6.0" snow

4 mo total - 21.5" QPF / 14.9" snow

I only got 4.8 inches of snow during this winter here in NYC.

5.3 in the November event

Everyone was excited for an EL Nino

 Maybe we will have better luck with a La Nina.

1 hour ago, NorEastermass128 said:

Looks like March comes in like a lion....with a driving rainstorm. 

Remember when the euro showed a 2 foot snowstorm next week?

Awful model this winter

52 minutes ago, mattinpa said:

It is worth following through mid-March. Really no reason to think the patten will change, but GFS still leaving open a window since no all out torch seen. 

Euro also

6 hours ago, JerseyWx said:

I agree, but he does have a point.  At the first sign of any pattern change you jumped on it too quickly.  You're a good enough poster to know that this was going to happen.

I thought the MJO was going to rule just like it has all winter. Nothing is working out this winter.

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

2010.

DC had over 80 inches that winter

7 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Ya , so the ridge clearly changed ,is no longer S-N from Baja to AK , there is that garbage lower heights in  that PAC nw that changed the flow from more of a nw flow over PNA region into now zonal shiat fast flow 

Nothing is going right at all

Great winter for Caribou ,Marquette and the west.

41 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said:

When was the last time DC beat out Boston, NYC and Philly in snowfall?

2009-2010?

50 minutes ago, weathafella said:

We snow on gfs mid week.

Ukie goes under NYC

Looks good for SNE but not sure how weak it is.

1 minute ago, EastonSN+ said:

This map from latest GEM encapsulates this winter

Wow what a winter for Marquette

1 minute ago, leesburg 04 said:

Hey everyone let's talk about how awesome NY is

It really isn't at all 

Just now, psuhoffman said:

I’ve actually seen some in the NYC area talking about some “new climate” nonsense as if this is their new normal. Their gonna cry when they get a run like the 1980s again when they had like one 10” storm in a 10 year stretch. They got so spoiled by a fluke run they’ve been on. 

 We had a few lucky big snowstorms that caused the area to see above normal snowfall in a bad winter.

Feb 2006

Jan 2016

Our normal up here is 27 inches. I will most likely end up with 10 inches if we don't get any more snow.

Boston is really hurting right now. They are about 30 inches below normal.

Just now, leesburg 04 said:

NYC has had a nice run of above average winters...long island has been on a heater. I don't recall you giving DC sympathy during that stretch 

I have but others haven't. I want the I-95 corridor to get a huge blizzard.

Now when it comes to the Nats it's another story lol

On 2/21/2019 at 7:48 AM, NorEastermass128 said:

Now that futility is over, let’s shoot for normal!  

Not going to happen

Terrible winter for Philly NYC and Boston 

DC will end up near normal

33 minutes ago, frd said:

This winter was also set apart by the fact we lucked are way into events in this area, for most I mean, I know many were not so lucky. 

Never had a favorable period that lasted longer than what , a week?  The relentless Pac jet all winter to the benefit of the Rockies, New Mexico, Las Vegas, the Midwest.  

Not what you see in a normal Nino.  And Bob's commnet about the PDO is part of the issue,  as are several regions and sources in the PAC , NH and SH. 

I don't think it is one thing but several.   

This winter acted more like a La Nina.

At least D.C didn't have a terrible winter compared to the other major cities.

Just now, snowman19 said:

The 1st week of March looks less and less impressive for cold and it always looked like a dud for snow. The fat lady is walking up on stage and clearing her vocal cords right now

Agree

The models are losing the PNA ridge and the epo ridge.

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Do you always copy and paste you posts from Association of Weather Enthusiasts here? Lol

I'm on 8 different weather forums. It's easier to copy and paste to all of them.

9 minutes ago, Rtd208 said:

 

This also shows how much more we need to learn when it comes to seasonal forecasting. I had two trains of thought when we had the snowstorm back on November 15th, I said to myself either we have one heck of a winter ahead us with the earlier start or are we going to blow the entire winter on an early snowstorm and that will be it. I honestly thought this would have been a 50"+ winter for the NYC metro area but obviously not the case. I know there is no clear evidence of this but I will say it again I am a big fan of significant/major snowfalls in December which IMO usually leads to a good winter for our area more times then not. 

I thought we were going to have a good winter with the November snowfall since everyone was on the good winter train since the EL Nino was weak.

8 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

What?  You said it was coming and that the guys in the NE thread promised....

Dude the pattern looked good. Stop trolling for once. The models keep showing a good pattern until we get closer.