MJO812

Euro went from a cutter to a southern slider with snow in the south for this weekend.

PV is too strong

Euro went from a cutter to a southern slider with snow in the south for this weekend.

PV is too strong

2 hours ago, Queencitywx said:

12z has a nice little slider.

Euro also

Just now, David-LI said:

What’s the 12z euro showing for the weekend

Light snow get up here but a few inches for Philly south. More amped than 0z.

3 minutes ago, HVSnowLover said:

Lol that would make up for the whole winter if it verified, very unlikely

We said the same about last March.  This looks to be the best pattern we had all winter. Hopefully we cash in.

49 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said:

I don’t really like the Wednesday event or Friday.  Wednesday probably goes north and Friday also likely will be north of it happens.  It’s possible snow could reach the coast on both but it won’t be much.  If something big is going to happen it’ll be between 3/4 and 3/9

Friday is way south on the euro and ukie

Big snowstorm on the cmc next week

GFS and cmc has a few snow chances

Ukie also

Models finally catching up to the MJO lag ?

4 minutes ago, MaineJayhawk said:

No longer a cutter

Just like the euro and cmc

Gfs is weaker with the lakes cutter for this weekend.

Looks like a SWFE

Some snow from the clipper midweek and then a little more snow on Friday on the cmc and gfs.

Active pattern

More snow on Friday

Active pattern

14 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Last event that was modeled to have a “weenie band “ was a SWFE and had good moisture stream from SW 

this one is N stream dominant , correct

dont be shocked when models see the dry fast flow and shredderola this next 24 hrs

down to an inch or so

if this was a SWFE I would be feeling different 

I wouldn't be shocked if it does. There is confluence to our north which will try to rip this to pieces. The other models look good though.

12z Nam ticked south. There is a nice high to the north to provide cold air .

I'm on the fence down here but this looks like a nice little event for SNE to CNE.

17 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said:

Did the 6z EURO look good?

Went slightly more north. Looks good for CT northward.

Nam shifted south. Light snow from NYC north.

4 minutes ago, snowman19 said:

I’m talking March 15th on. Not pre March 15th

It will snow in late March early April if the pattern is right. The sun angle is bullshit if the snow is light.

1 hour ago, snowman19 said:

March 15th is pretty much the cut off in any year for anyone south of central/northern New England. By the 15th, you are really fighting climo, sun angle and length of day at our latitude. 

Check last March

1 hour ago, Ericjcrash said:

Fv3 is now 3-5" for Wednesday night/Thursday morning. Old GFS, is 1-4" more the further North and east you go.

Both have shifted south

Both gfs shifted slightly south for the midweek clipper

Pattern looks active for the next 2 weeks. Let's hope we cash in.

Gfs is more amplified with the euro storm at 240. Misses to the east but much more amplified than 18z.

Para gfs is also a tick south for the clipper. Decent event on tap for SNE.

9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

GFS better airmass ahead of it though vs previous runs.

It's also slightly flatter with the lakes cutter.  I wouldn't be shocked to see it go to the Miller b idea the euro shows.

Cmc has a slider for next weekend while the gfs still has a cutter.

3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

GFS mothafukkas.

Gfs ticked south which benefited SNE. Cmc is weak sauce.