MJO812

I don't think spring is coming soon. The mjo on the euro wants to go into the COD after phase 3.

3 minutes ago, allgame830 said:

If that’s the case what time does it start according to the NAM

6pm and ends around early Monday morning

35 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said:

NAM shifted a bit SE and is colder.

As well as the 3k nam

Nam is coming in slightly flatter and colder.

Euro further south and east

Caving

Euro further south and east

Caving

Euro ticked colder

Upton now has 4-6 inches for NYC

Hrrr keeps increasing totals. 3-6 for NYC.

24 minutes ago, romba said:

UKIE?

Way southeast of Euro

2 minutes ago, weathermedic said:

Euro track looks like snow (1-3 maybe) to rain for nyc and Long Island. Too close of a track.

Gfs and gefs went further east at 18z

5 minutes ago, HeadInTheClouds said:

So I guess it's ICON/GFS/Para VS Euro/Nam/CMC now. My money is on the latter. 

Euro is alone

15 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Take the GFS out to the pasture and put it out of its damn misery once and for all.

But yet it has been doing better than the euro with many storms this winter.

Stop humping the Euro =)

16 minutes ago, mikem81 said:

This map is completely deceiving for NYC/LI. Must be a ton of sleet.

Yes

1 minute ago, David-LI said:

It seemed that way but changes to rain. Looks like 6-8" before changeover.

Areas just to the north and west get crushed on the nam. Alot if snow and sleet for NYC.

15 minutes ago, Metasequoia said:

from NE forum (ORH_wxman)

looks good to me...

 

Alot of precip

Models are very stormy moving forward

Ukie?

12z hi res is colder than the regular nam

Just now, purduewx80 said:

Sneaky warm layer at 850 to start (pellets or freezing rain) but dynamic cooling flips it over eventually. Surface temps should stay below freezing for the entire city given the low track and air mass to our N/NE.

Very nice

Wow

Nam is cold and snowy for the area tonight into tomorrow

23 minutes ago, weathermedic said:

Depends where you are. Barely a dusting in most of nyc yesterday and again so far this morning. 

Barely anything here in sheepshead

11 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

00z Euro is coming in flatter through 60h.

Flatter and colder

Still warm for the coastal plain but nice improvement.

Euro is flatter and east of 18z.

Still rainy for the coast but good improvements. 

Night everyone

Ukie has a few inches for the area with this storm and Saturday.