MJO812

3 minutes ago, Wetbulbs88 said:

Heavier rates breaking down before reaching the city again. 

Wait around 10-11 for the banding to come up. That's when we should start ripping.

4 minutes ago, HVSnowLover said:

NAM precip type maps also shows a change to sleet for the city and rain for LI during some of the heavier precip not sure if its right but something to look out for

Nam is close to all snow for the City

0z Nam has great frontogenesis around midnight for the NYC area. Maybe some thunder?

Dusting right now on everything in Brooklyn

All the banding is near Philly and in NJ.

Slush on pavements now in Brooklyn, NY

Need better rates

13 minutes ago, Wetbulbs88 said:

Evidence? Haven't seen NYC jackpot one storm since I've been here (2013). 

Jan 2016

Moderate snow here in Brooklyn, NY

Pavements are getting covered

Hrrr has 9 inches for NYC with over a foot for LI lol

3 minutes ago, Wetbulbs88 said:

Details?

3 minutes ago, Brasiluvsnow said:

88 snowier - how so ? and Can we even look at the Euro at this point ?

Heavier precip over the metro area

6-10

0c line doesn't reach the NYC area.

Euro is a 4dvar model which should be looked at .

18z Euro is colder and snowier

7 minutes ago, weatherpruf said:

Hope not. Real dud in my area. 3-4 of sludge.

This is going to be cement snow. Temps aren't going to be in the 20s.

Heavier precip is starting to come into NYC area. That's when we should start accumulating.

9 minutes ago, nycwinter said:

newyorkcity schools closed tomorrow for snowstorm...

Boy how times have changed

Wow

SPC just put out a statement

2 inch per hour snowrates later this evening for northern NJ and NYC

39 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said:

I think amounts over 7-8 are gonna be tough near the coast as many places may be 33-34 all event so it may compact and melt as it falls.  JFK already only has a max wet bulb of 33.

Cement snow

Wow temps dropped quickly to 33 degrees.

1 minute ago, Ericjcrash said:

RGEM and hi res RGEM ticked QPF down a smidge, obviously noise. We're locked in to a 7-12" event. Probably ~9" IMO

Para gfs crushes Long Island now lol

18z rgem is 8-10 here for NYC

New HRRR has 8-12 for NYC

Light snow in south Brooklyn. 

Upton also has 6-8 inches for all of LI

Upton  snowmap

6-8 inches for the NYC metro area

10 minutes ago, snowman19 said:

The models have the surface right at 32 degrees (barely) up here in Rockland County for tonight at the coldest. This is going to be heavy wet paste. Typical for a March storm

I agree

This is going to be a heavy wet snowstorm.

Euro is slightly warmer

4-8 for the coast