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Chip

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Everything posted by Chip

  1. Chip
    I agree... I think TN is out of this... MS and AL will have a few tornadoes
  2. Chip
    Here is the temp in middle TN at 1:40pm with sun out.
  3. Chip
    Well here is the new update
  4. Chip
    Well let’s hope it doesn’t! New SPC outlook due shortly as well
  5. Chip
    That’s irrelevant. If you read the discussion from the SPC they specify that the warm air surging north would override the lack of sun heating. Honestly I don’t think the warm front makes it through TN and I don’t think we see much here. Now Alabama.... have fun
  6. Chip
    This outcome would be terrible but I would hint this solution would be on he upper end when looking at others
  7. Chip
    Yes
  8. Chip
    This just hit me.... With the SRH values as insane as they are isn’t it feasible the updrafts are so strong they rip themselves apart...
  9. Chip
    Also storms don’t follow lines on a map. Unfortunately if any of these storms do go tornadic then from what I am gathering they will be long trackers this may extend into the moderate zone especially.
  10. Chip
  11. Chip
    Do you think they extend that high end area any or do you feel like mostly TN will stay moderate risk?
  12. Chip
    Concerning? Very! Is there anything at all at this point that could throw a wrench in this?
  13. Chip
    So what is the ceiling here?
  14. Chip
    So I have some good news… At least temporarily… The new HRRR model came in and has tons of convection that should hamper this event if this verifies! Cross your fingers
  15. Chip
    I am in middle TN
  16. Chip
    Well I really hope we do get junk convection in the morning that throws a wrench into this. I see this going very high end or bust completely. I just don’t feel we will get anything between.. Check out this sounding..... nasty
  17. Chip
    Honestly I hope we wake up to lots of mess on the radar to hamper this event. This could be historic if this were to verify. Trust me you don’t want this to verify!
  18. Chip
    18Z Run here
  19. Chip
    The NAM is not backing down!
  20. Chip
    Here is the wording from the SPC... take I get is game on if we get sun in the morning tomorrow... if we get sun high risk could verify
  21. Chip
    Forecast sounding off the NAM for middle TN
  22. Chip
    After looking at several models it appears to me that both TN and AL are in the crosshairs for this system? My big question further north into TN based off the atmosphere being able to sufficiently recover. Those STP values are crazy high but does anyone else think they are a bit over done?
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