Yeah the NAM is having trouble filling in the precipitation shield for whatever reason but it's a WAY better run overall. Certainly joining the party, likely even more so at 0z.
I've just seen too many times when the HRRR is out of whack at this point but then comes into the fold once you get inside of 24 hours. Don't get me wrong, every once in a great while it can sniff something out but for the most part it's just not at all in its wheelhouse at this range.
I'm definitively favoring a blended approach and I almost shudder to say this, but I think Lancaster is going to be in a perfect spot to maximize the potential of this event. Apologies to the Lancaster crew for giving us a death sentence ha.