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Everything posted by Mount Joy Snowman
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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Mount Joy Snowman replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Thank you good sir. Yes, I’ve been to that Brimmer’s a number of times over the years. Today I just went to the Rohrerstown DMV and believe it or not I was in and out, got there right when they opened. ‘Twas quite pleased. I believe you have to go to a PennDot center for real ID, so no dice on Brimmer’s. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Mount Joy Snowman replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Current temp of 29 is the low. Didn’t see any snow but .05” of rain in the bucket. Have to spend my birthday at the DMV this morning. I’d rather put pencils through my eyeballs. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Mount Joy Snowman replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
We are looking at one heck of a midnight high tonight, with temps perhaps ten degrees greater than our daytime highs tomorrow. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Mount Joy Snowman replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Low of 39. Perhaps some of us get to wake up to a whitened yard tomorrow morning and then hoping for some vibrant tracking come the last week of January. Onward. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Mount Joy Snowman replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Feels like a good time to remind everyone of the following, all of which is taken from MU's exactly 100 years of snowfall record-keeping. MU only averages a 12"+ snowfall about once every three years and only averages a little over two events per year with >4". They average ~9.5 measurable snowfalls a year at an average accumulation of 2.86", for a yearly average ~27". Over 75% of the accumulated snowfall comes from events <4". 32% of the snow falls in Feb, 30% in Jan, 17% Dec, 16% Mar, 3% Nov, and 1% in April (yes I'm aware these add up to 99 and not 100 ha). Leanest decade was the 50's with an average annual snowfall of only 21.6". Current decade is averaging only 14.8" but that is coming on the heels of one of our snowiest from 2010-2019 with an average of 35.5". Snowiest decade was the 60s with an annual average of 36.2". -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Mount Joy Snowman replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Low of 30 at the house but 23 through the rurals on the car therm. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Mount Joy Snowman replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Low of 26 with a trace of snowfall. Also, I had .45" from Saturday's rain. I've been a bit out of the loop but it seems the potential for a big hit late this week has diminished. Always more ways to make an out than get on base. Oh well, I still think we'll see several periods with flakes in the air and the cold looks to stay mostly entrenched. That's good enough for me. Onward. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Mount Joy Snowman replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
This has to be the craziest wild card weekend of all time. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Mount Joy Snowman replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Packers have me a broken man. I need snow to lift me up. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Mount Joy Snowman replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Low of 40 with .05” of rain. Am I crazy for thinking we have a pretty decent shot of a snow squall-ish type shower tomorrow? -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Mount Joy Snowman replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
A Lancaster landmine, lock it in. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Mount Joy Snowman replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I know. It’s hard to believe we were a testicle’s hair away from beating them ha. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Mount Joy Snowman replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Yeah I'm surprised by that but good to hear. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Mount Joy Snowman replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Canadian is also a nice hit and Euro is a close miss. The next week of tracking should be fun. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Mount Joy Snowman replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Have fun down there! Next Thursday is my birthday so I'll be hoping for some nice action, both with weather and my wife -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Mount Joy Snowman replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
12z GFS with s solid look for next weekend after missing just wide right a couple days prior to that. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Mount Joy Snowman replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Low of 36 with a trace of rain overnight. My highs for today and tomorrow are now down to 52 and 44, quite the change. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Mount Joy Snowman replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
All the models show plenty of possibilities "rounding the bend" and that is good enough for me. As you've said, we'll have stuff to track. Whether any of it hits the LSV or not, only time will tell. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Mount Joy Snowman replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I can't love this post enough. It's so cool that you have records going back that far and developed your love of weather early on with the help of your father. Great stuff. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Mount Joy Snowman replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Low of 34. Looks like the rain is indeed cutting back on the forecasted highs for saturday, as I'm now down to 51. Maybe Friday will pop with a bit of early clearing. After starting this stretch of warmth ~4 degrees BN, MDT will end it ~4 degrees AN. Then things turn "interesting" again. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Mount Joy Snowman replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Sure does. The airmass is in place to hit your 60 degree prediction but I wonder if there will be enough clouds and rain around to keep us just shy. Could be close. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Mount Joy Snowman replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Debating with myself over here, as I see some Cocorahs peeps in Lancaster reported .01 or .02 inches of precip. I would say they fell for the heavy dew trap but then I see a few WU stations right near me reported .01-.02" around the 9-10pm timeframe last night, which would seem to nullify the dew theory. Is it possible I missed a little shower late last evening? Can any of my local friends chime in on whether we got rain or not? Got to keep those KMJS books accurate! -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Mount Joy Snowman replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Low of 37 and heavy fog in the valleys. A solid .015” in the gauge but not seeing any evidence it rained. While all surfaces are wet, it has that classic heavy fog/dew combo look, so not putting anything in the books. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Mount Joy Snowman replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Low of 27. There is no greater joy in life than waking up to Blizz having posted GFS 240+ hour snow threats. Always brings a smile to my face haha. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Mount Joy Snowman replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Low of 24. I ended December with 4.7" of snow and 2.04" of total precipitation. For the year, I recorded measurable precip on 135 days totaling 52.41", nearly 13" more than MDT's 39.69". MDT ended the year with a mean temp of 54.3, exactly equal to its climate normal period average. The Northeast has been dominating the national lows lately, with the latest iteration being won by Mt. Washington at -17. A spot in Maine hit -27 the prior night. Onward.
