Mount Joy Snowman

I really would have but let's not forget I was still around for it, albeit suckling on my mother's teet. Speaking of whom, I asked her if she remembers that event and she did not but said she would check through some old photos. We lived in Mount Joy Borough at the time (I haven't made it far ha) so they should have had a nice hit there. I'm waiting to hear back from my dad but doubt he cared to remember ha. I think sometimes we forget just how little most of the population really cares about weather. Sometimes I'll mention what I think is something cool about weather to someone and they'll just look at me like, "yeah sure thing pal". It's really unhealthy the disdain I'm starting to feel for this man haha.

I had just been born three months prior.

Low of 26 and foggy, freezing fog dare I say. Not sure what to make of early next week as it's kind of a mess as depicted but it does not appear as if any type of significant snow event is in the cards for us. Then we get wet and warm through mid-month. After that, who knows, continual spring or winter's last stand? Stay tuned. Happy Friday, all.

Yes but such a wave may very well come at the expense of the first wave missing to our south and resetting the boundary. Much to be ironed out.

Yes it has. Also, it won't be talked about much because it's a pretty meager event and we were never fully in the crosshairs but today was a pretty big miss by the GFS, one in which it didn't cave to the other models until inside of 24 hours. As far as Monday, I still feel pretty good about where we are. 0z GFS wasn't as far south and I don't put as much stock in the off-hour runs. Other models also still have varying degrees of support. WPC still has us in the heart of its precip map so that's good. Much to be determined the next couple days but isn't it fun when we're entering March and have to worry about Virginia and North Carolina stealing our snow haha.

I've always kind of thought 25-30" as a good approximation for our average, which seems about right. See below for all my January data (not sure how great this will come through). Date Prec. Type Water Snow 6-Jan Rain 0.01 9-Jan Rain 0.05 10-Jan Rain 0.45 11-Jan Snow 0.01 14-Jan Rain 0.05 17-Jan Snow 0.17 2.2 18-Jan Snow 0.21 2.5 24-Jan Snow 0.33 3.7 25-Jan Snow/Sleet 1.25 5.1 26-Jan Snow 0.01

I'll tell ya what, we're getting pretty close to normal though. I'm at 22.1" for the season. MU's historical seasonal average snowfall is 26.6", 24.7" if we use median instead of mean, which I actually prefer in this instance because it's a right-skewed distribution. Harrisburg's POR mean is 32.4" and I think more recently is a shade under 30". I love that you are almost exactly equidistance between the two sites, makes for some interesting comparisons. A couple other random stations near us.......The Lancaster Filter Plant has only more recent data but is missing some years and they average 19.9". There's a Landisville station that has quite an extensive POR going back to the 50's but is missing a lot of recent years that averages 25.7". There's also a York Haven site across the river from you that has a terribly incomplete set of data but averages 27.7 FWIW. Sorry for throwing a bunch of useless info at you haha.

Yep, had me wondering if we have to worry about too much of a cold press. I'll take my chances being on that side of things though, being an early March event and all.

GFS still wanting to bring some snow Thursday, although not sure how much it would matter with a middle of the day event and marginal temps, to say nothing of the lack of other model support ha. However, it's still showing the Monday storm, albeit a bit weaker this time (probably more realistic), and temps do not appear to be an issue whatsoever in that one.

While going by on the train this morning I noticed the river at MDT is really starting to flow nicely but boy is there one heck of a logjam of ice once you get to the turnpike bridge and points north.

GFS is on an island for Thursday but boy does it continue to look good for Monday, with varying degrees of support from other models, after which there are another couple of sporadic waves that may need watching. Next week could be interesting before we finally turn warm for a bit.

Low of 24 but 32 when I left the house with no sign of snow. It’s funny, when I got home last night our kids were sledding out back. Half of our backyard holds snow exceptionally well, with the orientation of the slope and a couple large trees that are positioned perfectly to provide shade but not diminish precip. We even had a little swath of snow left from the big event more than a month ago when Sunday’s event occurred.

GFS with three separate possible snow events of varying types and intensities over the next six days. Goes big for Monday's bowling bowl.

Not sure if you know where to find them but here's a direct link to January's, just click the "Previous Version" link near the top to view prior months. Enjoy. National Weather Service

The monthly, seasonal, and annual climate summary reports for the official stations roughly sum things up. See below for an example from January's report. SKY COVER POSSIBLE SUNSHINE (PERCENT) MM AVERAGE SKY COVER 0.62 NUMBER OF DAYS FAIR 4 NUMBER OF DAYS PC 16 NUMBER OF DAYS CLOUDY 11 AVERAGE RH (PERCENT) 63 WEATHER CONDITIONS. NUMBER OF DAYS WITH THUNDERSTORM 0 MIXED PRECIP 0 HEAVY RAIN 0 RAIN 1 LIGHT RAIN 5 FREEZING RAIN 0 LT FREEZING RAIN 1 HAIL 0 HEAVY SNOW 2 SNOW 4 LIGHT SNOW 7 SLEET 2 FOG 13 FOG W/VIS <= 1/4 MILE 4 HAZE 3

Agree with your overall premise but I still always root for snow, no matter the amount. I like watching it fall, I like the scenery it creates, I like putting it "in the books", I just like....well, snow ha. But totally get what you're saying about it disappearing quickly once we head towards March. With that said, I can confirm that every farm field from West Hempfield to Harrisburg was covered in white this morning -- a beautiful scene, even if it won't last much longer.

Edit: I was going strictly off of Blizz’s post about 0z when I said that, but after checking some other guidance and the 6z gfs/nam it appears things are now projected well south of us. Who knows ha.

23 when I left the house. Perhaps a coating tonight and something a little more Thursday. Thursday would be tricky as a daytime event with marginal temps and a narrow swath of snow, but we might just be sitting in as good a spot as anyone. Much to shake out.

My gauge melted down to exactly .5" liquid. Meh. So, it looks like maybe a weak clipper to deal with (weak down here anyway) Tuesday night and then maybe another little wave that passes to our south Thursday that hopefully the GFS is leading the way on again. Some other stuff has been showing up sporadically beyond that as well. Maybe a couple more weeks of active chitchat in here before winter's wrath begins to wane.

Hang in there mate. I feel you. Like you, I think many of us on this board are the defacto Mets for our family/friends and it can get exhausting trying to communicate nuance about weather with those who have no understanding of the basics, and like you said, have too much access to garbage maps and internet personalities. We have some friends who are teachers here in Hempfield and a couple days ago I told them that regardless of what we got I'd be shocked if they had school on Monday. Well guess what, Hempfield only has a two-hour delay, and that is the right call by the district, but those teacher friends are razzing me now. It's all in fun and I let stuff roll off my shoulders, but it can get tiring and takes some of the joy out of the hobby. People constantly texting "are we getting this much? What about this map? blah blah blah". I will say this though, which I've stated before, a number of pro Mets would be well-served to display a little humility in their forecasting. We all know, as @Jns2183 has been proving lately, that this game is still mostly luck when forecasting down to the local level. Way too much hubris out there in the weather world. I digress.

8am Obs: Very light snow continues as .8" additional has fallen since midnight, for a snow total of 3.4". Temp is still at 31 and never dipped below 30 through the night. A beautiful pasty snow but an underwhelming storm around these parts, at least compared to what could have been. Happy for those to the west who did better than imagined.

12am Obs: Temp remains constant at 30 with very light snow and .8" of additional snowfall, for a total of 2.4". Yes, you read that correctly, even down here in the heart of Lancaster County, in what was supposed to be the best time period, I received less than an inch over the course of four hours. This storm is a bust down here, no other way to put it. Still, I will wake up in the morning and be happy to see white. Tracking begins anew tomorrow ha. Good night everyone.

Very light snow of the barely-accumulating variety continues here with a temp of 30. It could not be more boring but I am determined to make it to my midnight observation ha. Carry on.

Very light snow here the last couple of hours, not much additional accumulation. Even my neighborhood roads have barely a coating. Temp has dropped to 30 so that's something ha. I still plan on hanging until midnight.

Yep, that's always been the bullseye. Will have to check in on my Hammonton buddy soon. Has to be pretty historic for them.