Mount Joy Snowman

Or DC......or London.....or.......

Ah yes, I should have remembered Feb. of 2015, have quite the write-up about it in my spreadsheet. Should be fun to see how this stretch compares.

Was talking about that with my wife earlier, can't recall an extended stretch this cold, and the nights may be able to go even lower with this snowpack if we go clear and calm. Get ready for pipes bursting.

7pm Obs: 14/13 with moderate sleet as the dry slot approaches. Sleet has accumulated an additional .5" since 3pm, bringing the storm total to 8.7". A funny reminder with this storm has been just how inefficiently sleet accumulates. You can think you're getting hammered with pingers for hours on end and then you check and it's like half an inch over four hours or something like that haha. In any case, quite a pack we're going to have for ourselves here.

Nothing but solid sleet. Wall to wall sleet. In fact, some of the heaviest sleet of the day falling here again before it looks to shut off shortly. Wild.

The last hurrah is moving through as we speak with again mega sleet. The conditions in this denver game are insane!

Yet again it is pouring sleet here. Pretty cool sleet event down this way, not often we experience this duration and intensity. At this point I'm just going to shovel tomorrow morning.

It’s RadarScope app, must be purchased. Everyone who is a weather enthusiast should have it. Worth every dime. Do it and don’t look back.

3pm Obs: 15/13 with moderate sleet still falling. Been non-stop sleet here since 11am with a couple hours of that being of the heavy variety, never flipped back to snow. Four-hour accumulation of .7" of sleet brings the storm total to 8.2".

Yeah the latest HRRR still had the sleet line surging north again through the late afternoon hours. That flip may not last long and looks to be associated with a band of heavy rates that went through.

The 7" depth seems reasonable, but when they report "snowfall" it should be a bit higher.

Hot damn am I jealous. Really hoping we can get in on some of that here. If I squint I think I can see some mangled flakes trying to work their way back in.

Wow, what a comeback this would be! I have been POUNDING sleet for the last couple hours. I'll get another measurement when and if the snow starts back up here. Just made the wife and I some orange crushes, let the fun begin!

Yes, it very well could but my fear is the precip will be dried up enough by then that any accumulations would be minimal, which seems to be what the short-term guidance hints at. Would love to be wrong haha.

You're a damn genius JNS!

Yes, I'm aware. But he said the next closest guess was well above him, so unless MDT goes well over 10" (seems unlikely), he would be the winner. That's why I said "likely win". All good.

Congrats on your likely win! Well played. "Never underestimate the warm nose", he whispers to himself.

Welp, it is rage pouring sleet here right now, under some serious radar returns. The sleet hitting our magnolia tree is one of the loudest things I've ever heard haha. My neighbor is out shoveling and we just had a good chuckle, couldn't believe how hard it was coming down.

Sleet up to Harrisburg and Lebanon before noontime, tragic. So, who had the low estimate for MDT?

I know, there's nothing more aggravating during a storm. Doubly aggravating when we're sitting at damn near single degree temps.

Well, was going to do a Noon observation but decided to up it to 11am per @Itstrainingtime's request bc sure enough I have pingers mixing in here. Hard to overstate how discouraging it is to being seeing sleet (1) by 11am (2) while I'm staring at a temp of 12 on my home station and (3) given where we were with this storm a few days ago. Got to give the NAM its flowers for sniffing out the extent of that warm layer before anyone else. But anyway, last three hours brought an additional 3.8" of snow for a storm total of 7.5" thus far. For now, it has flipped back to mostly snow but I'm sure the pinger takeover is imminent. Now we see how much sleet we can rack up. Congrats to those NW of Harrisburg, looking forward to hearing of some big totals!

It's the worst thing about this site. On the rare occasion I do so, I email the pic to myself as a smaller file and then copy and paste it in from there. Seems to work but who knows ha.

Yes, I absolutely plan to do exactly that, hopefully not for a couple more hours ha. It's a total whiteout at the moment, with lowest visibility of the day. Ripping fine flakes.

What's your snow total as of now?

Damn, that's wildly disappointing. I think I see your mPing report, you just south of New Salem?