Mount Joy Snowman

Saw that, and still ranting about the performance of the models. I also saw he openly admitted to preferring warm weather and said he doesn't root for big snowstorms. Alrighty then.

Back to back days with .03” of rain. Low of 28. Winds had me up through the night and were downright vicious around 3am. Let’s see if we can’t catch a dusting one of the next couple nights.

the future.... HGEFS (Hybrid-GEFS): A pioneering, hybrid "grand ensemble" that combines the new AI-based AIGEFS (above) with NOAA’s flagship ensemble model, the Global Ensemble Forecast System. Initial testing shows that this model, a first-of-its kind approach for an operational weather center, consistently outperforms both the AI-only and physics-only ensemble systems. HGEFS — the most innovative application in the new suite. The HGEFS is a 62-member "grand ensemble" created by combining the 31 members of the physical GEFS with the 31 members of the AI-based AIGEFS. Performance: by combining two different modeling systems (one physics-based, one AI-based), the HGEFS creates a larger, more robust ensemble that more effectively represents forecast uncertainty. As a result, the HGEFS consistently outperforms both the GEFS and the AIGEFS across most major verification metrics. A NOAA first: to our knowledge, NOAA is the first organization in the world to implement such a hybrid physical-AI ensemble system. Area for future improvement: NOAA continues its work to improve HGEFS’s hurricane intensity forecasts.

.03” of rain and temp up to 43. Time to brace for the winds!

The staying power of this ice is impressive. Between the cold temps and minimal solar the trees still look great and even some other surfaces are hanging on. I’m still at 32 under thick clouds and the pines look amazing.

My current temp of 29 hasn’t budged all through the night.

My daytime temp never got above 33 today. Now at 31. Been a fair amount of low busts in the temp department lately. Love it.

Absolutely, fantastic effort. Dominated the line of scrimmage on both sides of the ball, and that was with an Oline of nearly all backups. Ethan was outstanding, sure looks like he could be the future. I was impressed with the entire team today in tough conditions. Nice way to end the year. Onward.

Official tally here is .3” of sleet and ice off of .33” liquid.

Yes, my wife takes our kids to that place fairly often.

I saw some mPing reports of snowfall ~8am in the area of @Jns2183

I’m still at 30 degrees and everything is caked in a solid quarter inch of solid ice. Not going anywhere until things soften up a bit this afternoon. Thought I’d have more sleet but it’s a pretty scene out there either way. Ready for more cold as we approach the New Year. Melting down the gauge and will report back with qpf. Toodles.

I’m hanging at 29. We just walked home from the neighbor’s and my god it’s a pure ice sheet out there, and yes we saw a few mangled flakes mixed in as well. Luckily it seems most people are staying off the roads.

My temp dropped to 27. We just walked to the neighbors house for a little kid gathering and man things are slick already. Driveways and walkways were wicked. Roads still hanging on but I have a feeling things are going to be BAD later.