Mount Joy Snowman

Yes it has. Also, it won't be talked about much because it's a pretty meager event and we were never fully in the crosshairs but today was a pretty big miss by the GFS, one in which it didn't cave to the other models until inside of 24 hours. As far as Monday, I still feel pretty good about where we are. 0z GFS wasn't as far south and I don't put as much stock in the off-hour runs. Other models also still have varying degrees of support. WPC still has us in the heart of its precip map so that's good. Much to be determined the next couple days but isn't it fun when we're entering March and have to worry about Virginia and North Carolina stealing our snow haha.

I've always kind of thought 25-30" as a good approximation for our average, which seems about right. See below for all my January data (not sure how great this will come through). Date Prec. Type Water Snow 6-Jan Rain 0.01 9-Jan Rain 0.05 10-Jan Rain 0.45 11-Jan Snow 0.01 14-Jan Rain 0.05 17-Jan Snow 0.17 2.2 18-Jan Snow 0.21 2.5 24-Jan Snow 0.33 3.7 25-Jan Snow/Sleet 1.25 5.1 26-Jan Snow 0.01

I'll tell ya what, we're getting pretty close to normal though. I'm at 22.1" for the season. MU's historical seasonal average snowfall is 26.6", 24.7" if we use median instead of mean, which I actually prefer in this instance because it's a right-skewed distribution. Harrisburg's POR mean is 32.4" and I think more recently is a shade under 30". I love that you are almost exactly equidistance between the two sites, makes for some interesting comparisons. A couple other random stations near us.......The Lancaster Filter Plant has only more recent data but is missing some years and they average 19.9". There's a Landisville station that has quite an extensive POR going back to the 50's but is missing a lot of recent years that averages 25.7". There's also a York Haven site across the river from you that has a terribly incomplete set of data but averages 27.7 FWIW. Sorry for throwing a bunch of useless info at you haha.

Yep, had me wondering if we have to worry about too much of a cold press. I'll take my chances being on that side of things though, being an early March event and all.

GFS still wanting to bring some snow Thursday, although not sure how much it would matter with a middle of the day event and marginal temps, to say nothing of the lack of other model support ha. However, it's still showing the Monday storm, albeit a bit weaker this time (probably more realistic), and temps do not appear to be an issue whatsoever in that one.

While going by on the train this morning I noticed the river at MDT is really starting to flow nicely but boy is there one heck of a logjam of ice once you get to the turnpike bridge and points north.

GFS is on an island for Thursday but boy does it continue to look good for Monday, with varying degrees of support from other models, after which there are another couple of sporadic waves that may need watching. Next week could be interesting before we finally turn warm for a bit.

Low of 24 but 32 when I left the house with no sign of snow. It’s funny, when I got home last night our kids were sledding out back. Half of our backyard holds snow exceptionally well, with the orientation of the slope and a couple large trees that are positioned perfectly to provide shade but not diminish precip. We even had a little swath of snow left from the big event more than a month ago when Sunday’s event occurred.

GFS with three separate possible snow events of varying types and intensities over the next six days. Goes big for Monday's bowling bowl.

Not sure if you know where to find them but here's a direct link to January's, just click the "Previous Version" link near the top to view prior months. Enjoy. National Weather Service

The monthly, seasonal, and annual climate summary reports for the official stations roughly sum things up. See below for an example from January's report. SKY COVER POSSIBLE SUNSHINE (PERCENT) MM AVERAGE SKY COVER 0.62 NUMBER OF DAYS FAIR 4 NUMBER OF DAYS PC 16 NUMBER OF DAYS CLOUDY 11 AVERAGE RH (PERCENT) 63 WEATHER CONDITIONS. NUMBER OF DAYS WITH THUNDERSTORM 0 MIXED PRECIP 0 HEAVY RAIN 0 RAIN 1 LIGHT RAIN 5 FREEZING RAIN 0 LT FREEZING RAIN 1 HAIL 0 HEAVY SNOW 2 SNOW 4 LIGHT SNOW 7 SLEET 2 FOG 13 FOG W/VIS <= 1/4 MILE 4 HAZE 3

Agree with your overall premise but I still always root for snow, no matter the amount. I like watching it fall, I like the scenery it creates, I like putting it "in the books", I just like....well, snow ha. But totally get what you're saying about it disappearing quickly once we head towards March. With that said, I can confirm that every farm field from West Hempfield to Harrisburg was covered in white this morning -- a beautiful scene, even if it won't last much longer.

Edit: I was going strictly off of Blizz’s post about 0z when I said that, but after checking some other guidance and the 6z gfs/nam it appears things are now projected well south of us. Who knows ha.

23 when I left the house. Perhaps a coating tonight and something a little more Thursday. Thursday would be tricky as a daytime event with marginal temps and a narrow swath of snow, but we might just be sitting in as good a spot as anyone. Much to shake out.

My gauge melted down to exactly .5" liquid. Meh. So, it looks like maybe a weak clipper to deal with (weak down here anyway) Tuesday night and then maybe another little wave that passes to our south Thursday that hopefully the GFS is leading the way on again. Some other stuff has been showing up sporadically beyond that as well. Maybe a couple more weeks of active chitchat in here before winter's wrath begins to wane.