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TimB

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Everything posted by TimB

  1. The 75 is definitely wrong. There is no PWS anywhere in the county that’s even below 80 at the moment. Most near the airport are in the low 80s. AGC is 83. Regardless, 90 wasn’t happening either way.
  2. There’s something weird with the observations. Jumped from 75 to 81 in 5 minutes earlier, then dropped in the same amount of time a little over an hour later. I trust the low 80s as accurate and the 75s seem to be an error.
  3. Yes, was 97 the afternoon of the day it was 85 at 3am. It was 95 the afternoon before.
  4. The record for that hour is 85 on 6/29/12. Of course, that was following a day that got to 95. Yesterday only got to 88. The official low in the climate record for that date is 66, but that occurred at 11:59pm. That morning bottomed out at 80.
  5. It was still 82 with a heat index of 85 at PIT at 3:15 this morning, but alas, a thunderstorm dashed our chances at a record warm min.
  6. Yeah, pretty dependent on what happens with the dying MCS coming out of the Midwest tonight.
  7. Tomorrow’s record warm min is within reach. Record is 74.
  8. That said, it’ll be interesting to see if PIT can get to 95. The only 95 in the past 11 years is suspect, as it was recorded in that period in September 2018 when the sensor was running high (AGC topped out at 92 on the same date). Throw that out and it’s the longest streak without hitting 95 in the entire period of record.
  9. On the plus side, it looks like a slam dunk and the chances of being shut out are pretty much nonexistent.
  10. We have a shot or two at getting below 60 this weekend, but there are currently only 4 years in the entire period of record where there have been no 50s in July: 1921 never got below 62, and 1949, 1934 and 1887 bottomed out at 60. So far our lowest in July 2023 is 61.
  11. I’m highly skeptical of the Brookville data. The 99/44 and even the 86/37 seem too good to be true. Look at Pittsburgh’s data for the same dates. There’s no way it was 11 degrees warmer in Brookville than Pittsburgh on 7/16, or 13 degrees warmer on 7/30.
  12. I’m sure you know this already, but there’s a consecutive days record in play that looks to be pretty much a lock as long as tomorrow hits 110.
  13. Tomorrow our normals reach their peak of 83/64. They remain there for 18 days before beginning their slow descent.
  14. Not looking good. Clouds stalled all heating.
  15. A degree above yesterday’s temp at this time. Should be close. AGC has already reached 92.
  16. With July 2023 being slightly above average so far and some warmer days and not so cool nights incoming, that might be a tough task. But June started off well above normal and ended up decisively below, so maybe.
  17. I did notice that. I would assume it has something to do with different personnel doing the different outlooks and/or data from different dates being used.
  18. With today’s high of 79 being more or less official, that seals the deal that June will finish with 10 days reaching 80 or above, the 15th time in the period of record there have been that few or fewer. We did this as recently as 2019 and also in 2003. But 4 of those days came at the start of the month. This will be the 6th year in the period of record and first since 1982 that there have been 6 or fewer 80 degree days from 6/5 to 6/30.
  19. For reference, the magic number for 10th place is 7.32” in 2012.
  20. Going to badly bust low on today’s high temperature, even without the smoke. Not that I’m complaining. Should allow us to squeak out a top 20 coldest June.
  21. But they post those little graphics on their social media pages saying we can expect between 0 and 14 inches of snow, so even if the discussion is lacking we still know what to expect.
  22. PBZ’s AFD left out a major detail? You don’t say.
  23. This looks safe, though I suspect we start getting some upper 60s lows as soon as July starts.
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