TimB

But not for the forum he’s supposed to be in, which isn’t this one either.

Still within the realm of possibility if the Euro has the right idea.

No model is showing below normal temperatures on Christmas in your backyard. GFS is coldest, with upper 30s to near 40, which is normal. Euro is showing closer to a +10 departure.

Well this did the trick. A little joy to close out the week before we torch for Xmas.

Now do the 12z euro.

And then what happens later in Christmas week? Any shot at a white Christmas in Chester County?

Good to see you back! How are you doing health-wise?

That crucial tenth of an inch of snowfall recorded at PIT today assures us of double digits for the month of December for the first time since 2020.

Lastly, getting a nice little streamer right now and enhancing the deep winter feel. This is perfect.

There were some garbage years in the 90s and we still have 96-97, 97-98, 98-99 and 99-00 to replace, none of which were good and only one was even close to the seasonal normals. So yes, we could still get some of it back.

Anyway, from the standpoint of not fretting about whether or not our annual snowfall is declining and just enjoying what we have, yesterday’s most recent NWS forecast just before the snow started was pretty much spot on with where totals ended up. It’s rare that totals get boosted before the event and then we hit them almost exactly.

The thing I’ll add here, however, is that the new averages will replace the following: 1992-93 (72.1”) with 2022-23 (17.6”) 1993-94 (76.8”) with 2023-24 (16.3”) 1995-96 (74.5”) with this winter (TBD) So that’s 4” off the seasonal normal right there, unless some of the other corresponding winters can outdo their ‘90s counterparts (2021-22 and 2024-25 did by about 10” each, so add back a fraction of an inch).

With the 5.0” recorded yesterday, that was the 1372nd day in a row with 5” or less, currently in 2nd place and just 143 days behind the record of 1515 days from 2014-2018.

Can’t complain about this event. Probably 5-6” imby.

If that final NWS obs comes in at 3.9”, it’s moot what anyone got in their backyard, and the streak will continue.