blueberryfaygo

Sounds fun! I just got a new pup.. its always nice to know where you can bring a dog along!

Accumulating fast in Ellicott City. Maybe an inch.

Thanks! Yeah if its not classified, PHI or covered by HIPPA than yeah it can be disseminated to the public.. but thanks for the break down.. very helpful!

The overnight shift of the euro seems to be a favorable one... and here is the 12Z from yesterday:

same! We have found a couple of really great spots over the last couple of years and sledding has become a tradition for us. 4-6 is enough so you generally don't get dirt or grass showing.

I dont think so.. I mean I guess anything is possible.. but when we saw the jackpot in VA tidewater we knew that we were sitting in the perfect spot... its only about 36 hours from the onset.. the track is fairly locked in at this point.

oh shit.. thats legit.. none of the events this year looked that good inside of 48 hours..

Thats our Snow Mappy.. you know how these things trend in the last 48

IDK if this is the case.. the red taggers are talking about "saturated dendritic growth layers" and getting everyone excited.. this could be an over performer when it comes to ratios..

Why is that? Is it because the sounding you are showing has colder air straight up through the column?

Why is the new Radar so bad. It looks like it could offer so many cool features.. but it is so slow.. you basically quit after the first or second click.

thats ^^^ a good old fashion nam-ing... happy hour to boot

But the euro shifted like 400 miles twice over the last 5 days... Thats pretty awful IMO

yeah it was 2011.. one of my top five snowstorms. Just a heavy wet paste job that happened in like 6 hours.. I think I got 9 inches or something.. really neat storm

Well the good news Ji is that the heavy stuff is down in Virginia so if it corrects a couple more ticks north.. we are good to go.

Weenie rule #468 Big Storm in the long Range Lose it OTS in the medium Brings it back in the Short Range

Ji.. we finally get a trend in the right direction:

Its happening

OMG.. look at that Stripe on the NAM.. Thats a Thread the needle scenario if I have ever seen one. The funny thing i that the many of the GEFS individual members are showing the same thing!!!

yeah Feb 15 - 20 2015.. thats one of our coldest stretches we ever seen (7 records over these days (bwi)) 15 45 27 0.11 0.3 77 /1949 18 /2015+ 6 /2015+ 51 /1949 1.06 1958 11.5 1958 16 45 27 0.10 0.3 75 /1954 18 /2015+ 5 /2015+ 55 /1954 2.01 2003 21.8 2003 17 45 27 0.11 0.4 76 /1976 12 /1958 3 /1958 58*/1891 1.15 1982 7.8 1893 18 46 27 0.10 0.2 75 /1976 13 /1979 3 /1979 51 /2011 1.60 1887 5.7 1964 19 46 27 0.10 0.3 72 /1997 18 /2015 5 /1903 49 /2017 1.76 1927 16.4 1979 20 46 27 0.11 0.3 76 /2018+ 18 /2015+ 1 /2015 57 /1939 1.81 1924 9.9 1947

I know the bay froze and everything in 77.. but I am pretty sure that there was a stretch in February 2015 where our area break record low max temps multiple days in a row.. I feel like that would have rivaled 77. I am also pretty sure that the last 10-15 years have been some of the coldest and snowiest on record for us.. especially if you look at extreme/ anomalous events.

the one before is sweet.. if that digs a little bit more souther this afternoon.. we gonna partying

yeah I like that look.. simple west to east progression.. lots of cold air.. maybe we can get an easy snow storm.. this winter has been very stressful wrt tracking.

I agree.. shits going down.. LR is showing several east-west impulses and very cold air.

I knew when I saw that radar that you guys were getting hammered.. the heavy snow I have ever experienced was on 50 in berlin next to the Walmart.. several years ago.. I went down to the condo for a chase. By the looks of it I wouldnt be surprised if you didnt get 2 more.