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Chicago916

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Everything posted by Chicago916

  1. Chicago916
    Flakes starting in Avondale
  2. Chicago916
    Breaking news: Took 24hr lead time, but trash GFS finally caved to EURO lol
  3. Chicago916
    Our friends? Idts.
  4. Chicago916
    Bring on thunderstorms
  5. Chicago916
    Welp, instead of any positive shift north the last 36hrs, every model shifted south. So much for cautious optimism. Maybe we'll be able to smell the snow.
  6. Chicago916
    Ukie continues to look nice at least. Team international models. (Phrasing)
  7. Chicago916
    I believe in Tom https://www.facebook.com/share/p/17NEQck89Q/
  8. Chicago916
    I want whatever this experimental Canadian model is smoking.
  9. Chicago916
    I feel that. Today's theme is just minor adjustments everywhere tbh. Still could see a surprise since I think some of the features are still up in the Arctic.
  10. Chicago916
    Looks the same as last run to me
  11. Chicago916
    Was just thinking about all the budget cuts to the NOAA and how it impacts modeling. I wonder what verification scores are now vs previous years (winter and summer comparisons). Feels like modeling is pretty bad.
  12. Chicago916
    So you're saying now until the start of the system it won't continue to baby step better, upping snow totals each new run (jk but I really miss those days)
  13. Chicago916
    Unsurprisingly the GEFS went boom They should just decommission that model...
  14. Chicago916
    Sampling of the Baja low not included in the NAM (doesn't matter cuz it sucks anyways) but good for other models. So that won't explain any changes seen down there. Looks like some sondes made the NAM after all https://x.com/i/status/2014131199120162993
  15. Chicago916
    End result on the EPS looks similar, so wouldn't look too much into that
  16. Chicago916
    When the measly ICON is northwest, bombs away
  17. Chicago916
    Sounds like the Baja Low will be sampled for tonight's 0z runs, so we should have that answer then.
  18. Chicago916
    At 15-1 to 20-1 ratios, I think Chicago gets 20in+ with that run. Certified big dog potential. Everyone's eyes peeled to the Euro soon.
  19. Chicago916
    Um guys. The latest UKIE... Hard to ignore that. 500mb is just crazy. (Ninja'd cuz didn't even see the random lake effect this model loves to always wrongly include)
  20. Chicago916
    I say we give this the ol no hitter treatment for now.
  21. Chicago916
    Recon missions with better sampling too will be super meaningful. Regardless of outcome here, very interesting set-up. The South will get demolished regardless.
  22. Chicago916
    Soooo. We realistically are still too north for the weekend system right? Kinda seems like a northern feature has sped up and is now phasing with the ejected cutoff and pumping up the SE ridge enough to just about get precipitation up this way? Would love an expert's opinion here lol
  23. Chicago916
    Comparing the GFS to all other models for this upcoming storm might be the worst gap I've ever seen. We really need to retire it and invest more into our modeling here ... Oof. Unless it wins a coup and is correct but doubt it.
  24. Chicago916
    As much as I somehow want the weekend storm to trend positively up this way, I'd rather BAM be wrong. I guess we'll see.
  25. Chicago916
    Shame it's forecasted to be cloudy and dangerously cold since there's a great northern lights opportunity tonight.
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