PantherJustin

58 minutes ago, BullCityWx said:

Depends on how north. I think exit 30 is in better shape vs Exit 23. Exit 42 is where I’d feel much better though. 

I’m in between 30-33 lmao  (Langtree) ride the line I guess lmao 

27 minutes ago, BullCityWx said:

Ground truth shows the NAM is initializing too warm

That’s what I was seeing too, but what are we not seeing that NWS/Pros are? 

2 minutes ago, magpiemaniac said:

I’ll give a $100 donation to the charity of this subforum’s choice if the 18z HRRR kuchera snowfall map verifies IMBY.  Not a chance that happens.  Not even close.

Yea, amounts are off table , but I think it’s definitely honed in on a specific area

8 minutes ago, BullCityWx said:

It seems to be Hell Bent on that area I-85 NGA-Lexington(ish) 

2 minutes ago, mercurydime said:

 

Did you?:

Temperature-Dewpoint

Divide results by 3.

Subtract from air temp = wet bulb

 

 

Yea I did it wrong sadly mine is 37.6

12 minutes ago, CAD_Wedge_NC said:

Speaking of wet-bulb temps...... This is probably why BradP is so negative.

That doesn’t add up I’m 50/18 that’s 33/34 definitely not 36-39 as that map says .... if I’m doing it wrong someone tell me

1 hour ago, BullCityWx said:

People have to realize that maybe this isn’t a sleet or snow event but the extracted data on BUFKIT shows Greensboro very close to a n ice storm disaster at 12z. What do we know about ice events? They almost always trend colder. 

I’d love to track a big time Ice storm atleast it’s winter WX

7 minutes ago, wncsnow said:

HRRR is still looking nice here. Pretty much all guidance has increased qpf here. 

I saw it also had Areas West of 77 at 31-33 as heaviest Precip moves in at 3-6z also seems to be spot on with Current temps 48-51 

HRRR has a Finger of Precipitation down in Bama/MS (Current) but not reality

Someone correct me if I’m wrong.... but the last event when it shot up to 50-55 weren’t DP’s in upper 20s-Mid 30s? Also ik it’s Virga but comparing Current HRR with radar it’s under doing precip on NE side 

6 minutes ago, jburns said:

Basketball is pretty boring when the other team doesn’t show up.

Yea But the way we play down to Competition I would’ve been less surprised to beat Cuse/Duke back to back then win today lol sorry to keep wX related I’d be less surprised to get a foot than win today” 

Hey , if NC State can be up on anyone 42-15 in first half anything can happen! (I’m An Nc State Fan) lets reel it in For the underdogs up and down I-85  @burrel2 48/16 here under cloudy skies

15 minutes ago, gritsnc said:

Brad P just said basically rain for everyone outside of the higher elevation mountains. On to the next one, if there is a next one.

What has happened to him? He used to be a giant Weenie now he just takes a dump all over everything. I swear everything could be showing a foot and he’d still say “meh N if I-40 maybe a slushy inch I’m just not seeing much else” 

not trying to be this guy .... but it’s 48/22 here in LKN .... either we put the brakes on the sun or maybe just go grab a cooler and hit the lake 

1 hour ago, jrips27 said:

GSP new map. I’ll be heading up to Clayton, GA to see some snow

I don’t understand models looked better and they took my 1” away ?? (Iredell) what am I missing? Even the garbage NAM was showing some love ..... Also It’s 26 here and clear. Can we make a deal and get those clouds in here all ready? 

2 minutes ago, wxduncan said:

Still every other model looks good for western NC besides the NAM. Not to worried unless they trend toward the NAM. Rather have all the other short range plus euro etc in my corner then one model which is NAM. Don't give up and cliff dive.... 

Here’s the real question..... if the tables were turned and EURO/RAP/HRR/ICON ect ect were all showing warm nose but NAM was alone and showing your dream snow scenario would the forum hug it? If not why bother worrying in this current scenario

Just now, Iceagewhereartthou said:

My biggest concern about this one is the time of day. We need it come in at night but this is the worst time of day. I know we can get accums in the daytime but its much harder. Add that to warm surface temps and it will be hard to get much. I am clouded over now and temp is 43, way too warm.

 

Yea, even 100-150 to your North up 85 I’m hoping we get cloud cover Tomm and don’t shoot up to mid 50s like last week

3 minutes ago, WXNewton said:

Yes much improved over 18z

So we’ve got the Mighty team of ICON/RAP/HRRR in our corner lmao “Superteam”

Just now, wncsnow said:

Expect the NAM to be super amped. SREFs are bad even for mountains 

Congrats Cincinnati 

1 minute ago, WXNewton said:

Just a few hours later it's snowing good though and the run looks better than 18z.

That does look better for CLT metro atleast lol 

2 minutes ago, WXNewton said:

Nothing like a good ole 50+ degree snowstorm, the latest hrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrr is running a little on the warm side. 

That just doesn’t make any sense and I’m not even trying to be a weenie. If it does someone explain how 

Ik it’s 24-30hrs out yet....Can someone now cast and see which Model is verifying closest to reality? I’d do it myself but I’m driving and listening to Hornets game lol

9 minutes ago, btownheel said:

Because 30 hours more of current trending will turn that into 37 degree rain for everyone in NC below 3000 ft elevation. Meanwhile Richmond north will bank another 5 inch event and whine about it lol.


.

This is true lol 

1 minute ago, BornAgain13 said:

18z EURO

Sent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk
 

What’s so wrong with this? still get 2-3” verbatim along and NW of 85 

Pretty interesting