PantherJustin

4 minutes ago, Grayman said:

I’m smell bust. 

Isn’t everything on this forum a bust?

6 minutes ago, WXNewton said:

What to? So funny, was talking about the models running too warm today and now said the trend was to warm us up more. LOL!!

He basically said this warm nose is gonna be so strong it warms most to 33 but looking at the “Futurecast” it still had Iredell/Rowan/Catawba at 30-32 for a good chunk so I almost think he’s more so talking about CLT immediate 

2 minutes ago, wncsnow said:

32.0/25.5

You made it!! So Much for that EURO Run lmao 

36/27 Here in Mooresville Clear Skies still. I think we’re gonna make it to 30

1 minute ago, NorthHillsWx said:

While an interesting note, the air this system will be working with here has absolutely no connection to the cold air that settled west of the apps. I’d be looking north of here for temp/dew point trends vs model outputs in terms of verification of our winter event 

Gotcha thanks!

Seeing Reports of 32 and and IP/FRZN (I doubt it’s Sleet) about 5 miles SE of Lafayette LA that’s DEEP South. 32 And FRZN Abbeyville LA Directly On Gulf Coast. My point is let’s start checking 18Z suite to see who had <32 that far south..... Basically I-10 Corridor 

I love how Literally just about every Met I’ve seen someone post on here has Iredell/Catawba/Rowan area anything from All Rain/ Glaze - .1 / .1- .25/ GSP .3-.5 I mean hey.... one of them has to be right I guess 

44/25 in Mooresville not sure what I was Shown on NAM currently. I still stick with my idea the Ice line will halt on HWY73 up to HWY152 somewhere in there South of there I doubt goes below 32/33 at all N of there 31/32 Includes Huntersville- Concord/Kannapolis up To China Grove - Mooresville ..... Point blank you all know your area and how it performs in CAD , If you normally hold longer you will tonight as well if not you won’t. Climo and history will repeat itself more times than not. Someone tell me if I’m wrong on that though

 Everyone relax

1 minute ago, NorthHillsWx said:

Some people never learn 

This isn’t FT Worth or Slidell LA we gotta tread a fine line or it’s no fun come on 

9 minutes ago, WeatherWeenie87 said:

Feel sorry for the NWS folks. I have a feeling this might be a NC/VA border Ice Storm. HRRR, NAM, and Euro have verified warmer than forecast. If this would have happened 10 to 20 years ago, this would have been almost all snow. This is why analogs are useless now. 

 

Almost all of NC is above freezing wet bulb temperatures now. 

No way..... CAD is normally  Better than Modeled. I would Think Anyone North of HWY73/152 will be just fine as far as Cold those areas always stay Colder longer. 

2 minutes ago, BullCityWx said:

Brad Panovich said he is very concerned that the modelling is underestimating the depth of cold air. 

Not that it matters .... but I’m still at 35/22 Forecast high was 45-47 ... idk 

The NAM unless I’m looking at it wrong (Pivotal Map) doesn’t even barely have Precip into Foothills even at 6Z Tomm.... could be a reason it seems warmer Jmo I think earlier onset the Colder obviously Edit: As Well as the HP is 75-100 miles Further NW than 6Z run

7 minutes ago, WinstonSalemArlington said:

29/20 Here in Mooresville and Cloudy. Would be nice to see DP dip some more 

29/20 here and Cloudy (Southern Iredell) saw some ppl posting about DP. High is supposedly 47 today if it stays cloudy idk if we get there

20 minutes ago, WinstonSalemArlington said:

Is Eric Thomas still at WBTV? How are things at WSOC?

Yea. But he’s the Brad P of WBTV. He’s been there my Entire life so he’s Eve/Night guy. Like Udelson I believe at WSOC. Both have been there pretty much my entire life 

Did anyone else see on 3K NAM the 1035HP sitting PA/NY border then at HR21 then By HR24 it’s Bullied all the way NW of Niagra Falls? Doesn’t that seem a bit excessive? Or am I just missing something.

11 minutes ago, wxduncan said:

Well I would go with WCNC at least there forecast is going with what GSP is saying and the latest guidance. Also that map there showing is there in house model not actual forecast map like WCNC.

Nah ik. But that’s all I could find for other channels. I wasn’t trying to bash ect. Al is actually pretty cool 

10 minutes ago, wxduncan said:

Meanwhile over off Morehead and Freedom Drive at the other Charlotte station ....

14 minutes ago, wxduncan said:

Go look at the one they just put out it’s way up and will likely go higher. 

Still looks a bit soft. But I guess no need to predict An apocalypse just yet as we still have 18hrs to flip flop. (Maybe they’re expecting a correction back NW trend wise slightly)  I don’t see any reason ALL areas Along/ NW of I-85 even in Meck/Cabarrus shouldn’t be 1/4” +. Honestly I’d just put a blanket 1/4 -1/2” Swath over the entire Forecast area in NC (Minus Monroe) no need for specific amounts 

3 hours ago, Blue_Ridge_Escarpment said:

GSP back at the wheel this morning...

 

I live in Iredell but this still looks awfully Conservative compared to even Brad P and anything else I’ve seen. If I’m missing something someone tell me.... but How do they Have Charlotte/Concord at Nothing Zero absolutely nothing? While Others have that area 1/10-1/4” , That doesn’t make sense 

4 minutes ago, HKY_WX said:

RDPS is trending the best ZR accrual towards the Triangle as the trends south continue. Looks like more sleet for the VA border counties if this is to be believed. I'll post a map tomorrow for those interested. (I usually only post maps for significant/major systems) fyi.

I don’t wanna be that guy.....but the trajectory of that heaviest axis is starting to look awfully similar 

26 minutes ago, wncsnow said:

Some of the short range suite NAM ice totals 

Brad P is actually sounding pretty Concerned..... used to I’d disregard, but he’s become insanely Conservative over last 5yrs or so, so if he’s starting to sound worried I’d start preparing. He said in his latest Video that Its concerning More Cold Air is starting To leak over the mountains than expected tonight 

12 minutes ago, Buddy1987 said:

One thing I really love to see, unlike other storms where we’ve been completely borderline going into, is temp has dropped to 27 and dew is down to 16 here. Great indicator for the upcoming system. 

33/22 here Mooresville 

1 minute ago, wncsnow said:

 

Goodness even the 3K Puts 3/4+ on Iredell/Rowan/Catawba Counties