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Everything posted by Scottie16
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Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Scottie16 replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
MRX update at 3 will be gold. -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Scottie16 replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
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Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Scottie16 replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
Rates forecasted to be at a minimum of 14:1. Snow map looks terrible. I believe there’s still so much uncertainty atm stil. -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Scottie16 replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
Looks to be .2-.3 for the eastern valley. -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Scottie16 replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
So far. The nam is showing more QPF for the western part of the state. -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Scottie16 replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
Looking at the flow west, the HRRR didn’t have that solution at all until the 18Z run. That’s a positive in the ugly trend. -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Scottie16 replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
Also TX, I Think Colorado airport set the record for temperature drop in a hour. Going from 47• to 1•. I saw a couple of post that showed a 60 degrees change in feel like temperature.. -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Scottie16 replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
Im curious to see how MRX will adjust seeing how strong the front is now. The HRRR is at hour 22 and it finally shows the cold ahead of the front. Precip field seems to still hold. -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Scottie16 replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
Adding to what TellicoWX is posting -
Pre-Christmas (Dec 21-23rd) Winter Storm Part 2
Scottie16 replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
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Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Scottie16 replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
Euro has been trending southward every so slightly every run. HRRR has the low more south as well. -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Scottie16 replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
Albeit I hate that this cold could be disastrous for some, I’m excited to track it as it moves into the area; Mostly to see the battle of cold air rushing off the plateau into the Valley. -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Scottie16 replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
You know the guys up in Morristown are stressing right now on issuing anything. If we had just a tad bit more moisture available we’d fall under blizzard criteria even with 2-3 inches. -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Scottie16 replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
Seeing those temperatures drop in Montana brings hope that they won’t. -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Scottie16 replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
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Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Scottie16 replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
0Z NAM seems to be following suite with the GFS. -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Scottie16 replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
I don’t think any WWA will survive this front. -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Scottie16 replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
I’m still weary on the models not handling how quick the temperatures will drop. We are going to have some really breezy conditions Mid-Thursday in Friday morning. I’d be happy with a dusting at this point though. -
December 2022 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Scottie16 replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Definitely going to stay up late to catch the next GFS. It’ll be interesting to see if it follows its current trend or flips back.- 582 replies
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Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Scottie16 replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
Playing with the sounding and these potential wind speeds are going to bring bone chilling wind chills. -
December 2022 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Scottie16 replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Seems like the UKie is following the GFS trends too, yeah?- 582 replies
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December 2022 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Scottie16 replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
I’m looking at the wrong run because I’m an idiot. Apologies.- 582 replies
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December 2022 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Scottie16 replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Looks like the second system (26th-27th)is setting up nicely with that run too.- 582 replies
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December 2022 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Scottie16 replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
We ready to create a thread for this system or?- 582 replies
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North river was bad
