Yes it is hard to predict. Yes, especially two years ago, the naysayers have been wrong, to a lesser extent last year. Terrible winters are winters like 11-12, 15-16 ( yeah it had a big snow but was a three day winter) 19-20.
You have said a million times how bad the past few winters have been, but that’s only true for a small section of the forum. For some, the past 5 have ranged from awful (19-20) to pretty good (18-19, 20-21).
You want to lay everything at the feet of enso conditions but snowfall, perhaps not so much temperatures, is far more complex and in lots of cases comes down to blind luck.
The past two winter threads have been pretty much nothing but pessimism and whining. Some of us like to think positively even in the face of uphill challenges. The only reason that I read this thread is to see who is packing to negativity this year.
But that’s not a good enough reason and I think I’ll show myself to the door. Y’all continue with the doom and gloom and I’ll go bide my time awaiting whatever happens.