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Joseph Torre

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Everything posted by Joseph Torre

  1. Window of time is rapidly running out for more Delta strengthening. Shear will weaken it to high end category 1 in my opinion when it makes landfall tomorrow afternoon
  2. Honestly, it's better that it keeps inching westward. If it hits areas recovering from Laura, there will be less damage, due to all the damage that is still left over from Laura. Hitting Lafayette or eastward would be another billion dollar disaster
  3. Exactly. I believe we may make it through the whole alphabet with these storms, but not exactly hyper active with mainly homegrown storms. MDR is too dry and I think that's what is stopping this from producing 2017 style storms
  4. Not surprised. Main impacts will be heavy rain and little wind from this system. Will probably make landfall tomorrow afternoon in MS as a weak tropical storm
  5. Marco is pretty much going to be a non issue for the Gulf of Mexico at this point. Shear, which was well forecasted, is tearing it to pieces, and it's beginning to decouple. All the signs were pointing towards that, yet NHC went ahead with a hurricane landfalling along LA coast and still has hurricane warnings in effect, when at this point, tropical storm force gusts will be the max
  6. Yep. Marco is about to meet his demise from the wind shear. It might peak at hurricane strength before shear tears it apart and then it has to start all over again.
  7. Considering how small Marco is, the shear will tear him to pieces. I would be surprised if it regains hurricane strength, if it even makes it to hurricane strength tonight.
  8. The shear won't move away, and Marco's small size makes it more susceptible to the negative impacts of shear, so its quite surprising they think it will continue to strengthen
  9. Marco reminds me of Gordon back in 2018. Gordon hit a favorable spot off coast of W Florida. Everyone said, "look its forming into a hurricane and will get even stronger before it makes landfall in AL." Tiny storms spin down as quick as they spin up, and GOM shear hit Gordon and it only made landfall as a TS in AL. High shear awaits Marco, and it will be torn to pieces. As far as Laura is concerned, it will be torn apart over Hispaniola and Cuba, and will have to almost completely regenerate as hits the GOM. Fujiwara probably won't even occur, and one of these weak storms will be consumed by one of the stronger storms.
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