Intensewind002

2 minutes ago, Rjay said:

My pics are from field 2

I was over at field 5

Waves were huge at Robert Moses, easily 10 ft.

29 minutes ago, wthrmn654 said:

Never even heard of it lol

All good lol, I think it was mostly just weenies posting on twitter to generate hype or fear or whatever since it was the only thing showing a direct landfall.  It’s called PANGU or something like that

Picked up only 0.07” of rain today. On a side note OKX is calling for waves as high as 15 ft on the south shore beaches now by Friday, which will be pretty epic to watch

25 minutes ago, wthrmn654 said:

Eps still has a west lean and there's 2 clusters imo . Annoying storm

Has there been any info regarding the Euro AI learning models? They were consistently showing a landfall in SE New England. On a side note from what I was reading on twitter yesterday models have consistently underestimated the ridge out in the Atlantic either over this summer or maybe multiple summers, I figured AI was maybe correcting that bias but idk

Any reason why WPC is issuing the advisories instead of the hurricane center today?

I’ve picked up about 0.36” here since yesterday morning. Hoping for more but it looks like the storm over the city is completely collapsing

Picked up 0.03” of rain earlier today, only 0.04” for the month of September so far

88/70/93 here, fairly surprised considering KFRG is at 93 and usually I’m in the same range/within a degree or 2

92/73/101 Wind still from the west for now but the seabreeze front is right at my doorstep so I’m going to assume this’ll be my high for today

89/72/96 imby currently, this time yesterday I was only around 85

3 minutes ago, olafminesaw said:

Hilary was forecasted at 105 kts on it's first advisory (skipped straight to 35kt TS). Pretty similar in terms of model consensus for a powerful hurricane at this range.

Walaka out in the CPAC back in 2018 was forecast 110 kts on it’s first advisory too. It eventually peaked at 140 kts, 921 mb

21 minutes ago, RU848789 said:

I said the exact same thing on FB when the first advisory came out and I've been tracking storms for a long time - maybe it has happened, but I don't recall it.  Just looked back at a few of the big ones over the last 25 years (the ones on the NHC archive page) and Ida was the closest, with 110 mph predicted at 72 hours in the first advisory.  

If I remember correctly I believe Sam from a couple of years ago was forecast to be a major by 120 hrs on its first advisory but I’m certain it wasn’t 120 kts. Maybe something in the East Pacific had an intensity forecast like this but I’m not entirely sure

Edit: I found that Hurricane Walaka in the Central Pacific was forecast to reach 110 kts on it’s first advisory, eventually it peaked as a Cat 5. https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2018/cp01/cp012018.discus.001.shtml?

Roasting on a NW wind once again today to make it an official heatwave, three 90s now this month meanwhile I had zero in August

8 minutes ago, BretWx said:

This looks a bit.... like something we've seen before.... 

Never use the NAM for hurricanes…

Picked up another 1.05” this morning, 1.57” overall since yesterday

Picked up another .78” here over night. About 2.59” in total since the weekend

Picked up about 0.71” here. The storm overnight saturday gave me more rain at 1.1”

39 minutes ago, justinj said:

Off topic but does anyone have an issue with Yellowjacket’s this year? I had a hornets nest and an underground Yellowjacket next a few weeks ago now the past few days yellow jackets are hovering all over my backyard. Maybe it’s the humidity this year and the not so cold winters we’ve been having

There was a huge bald faced hornet hive in my yard earlier this summer but we got it taken out. I also saw some cicada killers flying around and they were absolutely gigantic

Saw a spotted lanternfly for the first time today, I know theyve been seen in NJ for a couple years now but this is the first time I’ve seen them out by me.

Absolutely insane lighting right now, like multiple flashes per second and multiple cloud to ground

8 hours ago, Stormlover74 said:

Tomorrow looking like a solid 1 to 2" now

Hopefully it’s region wide, I haven’t gotten a 1”+ rain event since May 20th (and only had 2.73” in total for july)

Not much from this batch of rain, only about 0.01”, 0.36” for the day here

Jeez rain shield literally vanished from existence once it reached the nassau suffolk border