Intensewind002

28 minutes ago, WestBabylonWeather said:

Jesus. Flashbacks. Jan 22 blizzard was awesome in WB

 

didn’t we get like 8” couple weeks prior also? 

I came home from college to see that blizzard lol, perfect timing with it coming in Friday night. And yeah I remember getting that 6-8” storm at the beginning of January too

7 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

So western 

Long Island did best last nights. With I guess realistically, .5” there was a full coating on colder surfaces: 

Yeah everyone west of the Meadowbrook or North of the LIE seemed to be able to get at least some accumulation unless you were right on the water

I stand corrected from my earlier assessment there are actually some mangled flakes mixing in here lmao, crazy that Farmingdale just a few miles north of me has reported light snow the past couple hours

Not even a flake mixed in here, oh well. Good luck to those that are north and west of the city

1.87” here in Lindenhurst, monthly total up to 9.25”

Low of 24.8 here in Lindenhurst this morning, Friday morning had a low of 22.7 which was my lowest so far this month

Getting some of the strongest gusts since around 8 AM right now

A lot of road ponding around town with this last wave of showers, shows how over saturated the ground is.

Total rainfall here 0.71”, although more is to come it seems. Peak gust was 57.8 mph here in Lindenhurst(used a calculator I found online that took into account height of the anemometer and roughness of the landscape around it and adjusted to estimated speed at 10m). This storm was no March 2010 or Isiais but still fairly significant wind wise, similar in intensity to the pre-Christmas storm from last year I’d say.

Recorded a 33 mph gust imby, probably translates to about 55-60 mph if my station was at official height

5 minutes ago, psv88 said:

ISP gust to 44

Kfrg up to 54 now, definitely sounds like it outside

Wind’s definitely starting to pick up now, probably gusting around 30 here

19 minutes ago, psv88 said:

Post the one for the island. 5 feet of storm surge and 16 foot breakers. Yikes. 

We’re really lucky out here with this storm not happening at full or new moon, would’ve been a high end coastal flooding event if that was the case (not that it isn’t serious already)

23 minutes ago, WestBabylonWeather said:

Thanks

After the tropical storm in August of 2020 we had no power for two weeks. After that I bought a champion generator and had an electrician do an outdoor hookup.


.

2 weeks?! I must have really lucked out with that storm, didn’t lose power at all. Most of Lindenhurst did have no power though but I thought it was only for a few days at most…

4 hours ago, Stormlover74 said:

This seems like it would do the trick

 

It’s not often we get a low that strong to the west of the city and that mixed with the fact I’m not really seeing much of an inversion makes me think this could be more legit than the last threat.

1 hour ago, lee59 said:

Got down to 29 here and now up to 30. So perfect conditions not panning out at this point.

Far from perfect here on the south shore, still only 34 here. Wind off the water is going to do that though so not surprised 

Final rainfall total here was 3.67”

1 hour ago, lee59 said:

It seems wind events are difficult to forecast. This wind event, similar to others, was hyped with watches and advisories that never materialized. Then you have the one from a few weeks ago that had advisory and warning criteria and nothing was issued. I don't recall even seeing wind reports the following day from that event. It is almost like we cannot admit when we make a mistake.

The last higher end event that actually reached expectations/forecasts was the storm associated with the Christmas cold snap last year. I do feel 75% of the time the wind is weaker than predicted and then every once in a while we get something like the event a couple weeks back. Looking at model runs yesterday and they were way off as well, besides the HRRR (40 mph), every model had my area getting gusts in the 50-60 mph range. I believe the HRRR had the axis of heavy rainfall over the right area as well.

On another note radar estimate has me at only 2.44” and Farmingdale 2.68 when both locations are a decent bit above that. I was just thinking before that this rain seems heavier than what the reflectivity is showing, too. Judging by that there must be some spots approaching 4.5” at this point

Up to about 2.8” here in Lindenhurst, winds are only gusting around 35 mph not sure I reach even advisory criteria at this point. Kinda unfortunate since I did want to test out my new kestrel but oh well…

Up to 1.69” now, wind is run of the mill 35-40 mph, the surprise wind event a few weeks ago was much worse

It sounds like I’m starting to get some stronger gusts now after a bit of a lull earlier, probably around 30 mph now. Havent really felt/seen anything that would be higher. 1.27”

Up to 1.2” here now that this first batch is over, wind hasn’t really strengthened at all over the past few hrs

I’m up to about .80” in Lindenhurst, and winds picking up a little, gusting probably ~30 mph now.

12 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

That’s the thing, your going past Calc 3, and into the world of differential equations and discrete 

math. My roommate in college was a math wiz and couldn’t handle discrete math. It’s when the formulas fill the blackboard. That’s really what it takes for a meteo degree. Personally I think it’s super archaic. Understanding the bigger picture should be what it takes, not doing equations with a slide rule. 

I was taking diff eq for the first time this fall… not fun (at least for me), especially when you don’t have the greatest professor, I had to withdraw.