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wizard021

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Everything posted by wizard021

  1. Im upping totals for nyc to 15 to 20 inches based on radar trends.
  2. Tough to say due to sleet. But I am telling you NYC is gona get hit hard. 00z to 03z very intense fronto forcing at 3z. 2 to 3 inches an hour. Should start at 20z. Looks like light snow or mist, before the ccb on the backside with additional 1 to 2 inches per hour. Ending at 12z. It is now looking like Boston will also get hit hard, but not much further north. This is not getting into Maine and Nh , Albany wont see more than 6 inches.
  3. I have watched HRRR change snow / rain lines within the storm timeframe. Why are we using it 36 hours out?
  4. Snow - sleet - snow . 8inches NYC looks like 15 inches.
  5. RPM, and HRRR are bad models. I never use them , unless 12 hours out.
  6. Lets supress some of the height rises in ohio valley and we might be talking.
  7. I hope euro trends 200 miles south with the lp center.
  8. Gefs. Nice overall look for the mid atlantic with a jackpot over eastern Pa into my area.
  9. You guys follow the used to be king Ecmwf like it is still king. It is 1 run of an equally bad model.
  10. Euro is going to be wrong like every time since 2015.
  11. Opposite the 500 mb low is more nw and less over Texas than 18z.
  12. You cannot pick and choose ensemble members, there is a reason it is called a MEAN.
  13. It will not go more north, where is the evidence. Gefs were se of the op... though precip was more nw.
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