McHenrySnow

Hard not to believe this has completely slipped away from the northern tier of LOT counties. Chicago still in it and still a ways to go, but I've never felt good about my chances and sadly there hasn't been anything to convince me otherwise. 

And now Sunday looks like a complete waste as well. Ah, the winter of my discontent. 

Just now, ChiTownSnow said:

I'm surprised that LOT is so on board with 6+ .   Confidence seems higher than normal

Certainly rare for them. 

1 minute ago, purduewx80 said:

See probs I mentioned below. You’re taking snapshots that are not accounting for the slower wave.  3” probabilities barely budged but the northern end is lower. So...not really a NW trend is it. Try being more specific with what is trending rather than saying “bump NW” which isn’t really useful to those trying to understand the meteorology of why. 

Looks slightly NW to me. 

2 minutes ago, SchaumburgStormer said:

Re: sampling, will we have data on the wave tonight? If not, when will we have some good data? 

Some possible for the 12z models tomorrow, I believe.

Just now, tuanis said:

Patiently watching this one unfold. Seasonal trends for the past two years warn me it still could shear out into a pile of garbage. Worst case scenario would be the precip associated with the wave on Saturday night missing north into Wisconsin, then the main low Sunday>Monday being suppressed with little wintry precip even downstate. Liking where I sit, but we've really been through the ringer with events not coming together the past two years.

Couldn't agree more. Hard not to see that nightmare scenario work out and we get completely shafted. Nerve-wracking. 

2 minutes ago, Angrysummons said:

Yeah, but who cares about a 18z run???

Not me, ever. 

3 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said:

GFS actually bumped SE.


.

The 18z GFS is gross. 

2 minutes ago, Baum said:

negative vibes. It's the chase and the hope that's all part of it. 

It's the end result for me. 

10 minutes ago, Baum said:

Read it. Weather porn to say the least. Don't think Mchenry will get through it.

Likely a miss south for me, so I'll manage, I'm sure.

Real scorcher today. Lots of snowmelt. Shame. 

Just now, SchaumburgStormer said:

Lots of drivers in ditches locally. I think there was a lot of complacency as no snow was falling, but the roads were very slick with blowing and drifting 

And most are completely out of practice to boot. 

That wind is really blowing this evening, we've got blowing snow, and temp is now up to 29ª after 5º this morning and a slow and steady climb throughout the day.

2 minutes ago, IWXwx said:

 

 

 

As we discussed last night, I don't think the IWX forecaster was off base when he discussed marginal temps, at least for FWA.

I am seriously rooting for a Euro score for all of the posters in Iowa, No IL/ORD (including hoosier) and Detroit. I will enjoy my cold rain/ice/flakes. All of us Indiana posters south of US 30 will have to depend on the trailing wave to deliver.

Iowa has routinely scored, but, otherwise, agreed. 

Yes please

Just now, WI_SNOWSTORM said:

Not getting excited over anything until we are 24 hours from kickoff. Been let down way too many times this winter thus far. 

24 hours? I'll get excited after it's started! lol

Got down to 5º this morning. 

8 minutes ago, Hoosier said:

Wait a day or two and it'll be gone.  

Most will be gone tomorrow afternoon I imagine. 

6 minutes ago, kevlon62 said:

Scored a quick 4" tonight.

Ended up out on the sleds just after darkness fell with flurries in the wake of the initial light snow band. Did a quick zip up to Hebron and back, not aware of the heavy snow incoming. Got absolutely slammed the last few miles. Lost the horizon in all directions and had to take it slow but close to home so it was a blast.

Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk
 

I'm not surprised, I knew you got it good. Well, I'm a bit surprised, 4" is a lot, but I figured at least 3"! Lucky dog! 

20 minutes ago, Cary67 said:

1.75" down here

The heaviest band was right between you and me.

1.5" 3 S McHenry 

Thundersnow in Rockford.

2 minutes ago, mimillman said:

Damn, it’s going Evanston - Waukegan

Evanston, yes. Waukegan, no.

I am maybe a mile, if that, from the heaviest part of the band. Looks like Woodstock and Bull Valley are getting slammed. 

Definitely going to be at least some 2" reports in Boone and McHenry Counties.