SUNYGRAD

Not good at all. We most likely see more water restrictions North Carolina Water Restrictions 2026 | Watering Schedule

Somewhat debatable depending upon who you ask. I have seen some strange things over the years. One might expect more reports in central NC from a DAY One forecast for Slight Risk from SPC----which had changed much with updates. With that said, there was not a Watch Issuance in NC, but one was issued for parts of VA, and the border counties of northwestern NC. Here is a preliminary verification map. Maybe not terrible, but like I said, one maybe would have expected at least a few reports in central NC----regardless of any watch. That's weather for you. SPC Severe Weather Event Review for Friday June 12, 2026.

Maybe some interest with this tool from the NC Climate Office. https://products.climate.ncsu.edu/weather/station-reviewer/ Used Mt Mitchell State Park as an example. https://products.climate.ncsu.edu/weather/station-reviewer/?station=MITC&period=YTD

SPC Hourly Mesoscale Analysis - Archive Viewer. You can loop this and see what I mentioned above.

...perhaps a "LID" was probably partly to blame----Nothing really strong enough to break it in past I-77? Used the sounding from GSO 00Z, since any convection was to be around that time frame across central NC. Relative humidity levels between 500 and 700 relatively low, evident on sounding, but maybe part of why little convection took place over the central NC. Always pieces to a puzzle. Just my thoughts.

NWS Weather and Hazards Data Viewer

Actually 101 is at moment for all networks Name: EW1728 Garner Provider: APRSWXNET/CWOP Valid: 11 Jun 2:27 PM EDT Temp: 101 °F 38 °C Dew Point: 80 °F 27 °C

Looks like they received 5.9 inches at top of Washington, but there could have been a touch more at some of the other high peaks but probably not based on the thermal profiles. Some modeling was a touch too cold, just my two cents. As everyone knows 1-2 degrees can make a huge difference.

If anyone is interested and has spent time in White Mountains in NH, you should check out the weather overnight and early morning. Fast moving shortwave ---SSE, and rather strong for this time of year. You have to like snow

This is nice too for actual values. IEM :: Hourly Precip Accumulator Station ID Station Name Midnight 5/22, 11 PM 5/23, 1 AM 1 Hour 5/23, 12 AM 5/23, 1 AM 3 Hour 5/22, 10 PM 5/23, 1 AM 6 Hour 5/22, 7 PM 5/23, 1 AM 12 Hour 5/22, 1 PM 5/23, 1 AM 1 Day 5/22, 1 AM 5/23, 1 AM 2 Day 5/21, 1 AM 5/23, 1 AM 3 Day 5/20, 1 AM 5/23, 1 AM 7 Day 5/16, 1 AM 5/23, 1 AM 30 Day 4/23, 1 AM 5/23, 1 AM 90 Day 2/22, 12 AM 5/23, 1 AM 365 Day 5/23, 1 AM 5/23, 1 AM ASJ AHOSKIE_TRI_COU 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.16 0.16 0.16 2.64 7.04 28.71 VUJ ALBEMARLE 0.00 0.00 0.46 0.54 0.54 0.55 0.90 0.90 0.90 2.34 4.63 30.70 RHP ANDREWS-MURPHY_AIRPORT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 23.46 GEV ASHE_COUNTY_ARPT 0.02 0.02 0.30 0.40 0.41 0.48 1.27 1.37 1.37 2.68 5.53 23.62 HBI ASHEBORO_MUNI_ARPT 0.04 0.04 0.18 0.19 0.19 0.20 0.39 0.39 0.39 2.16 5.34 26.22 AVL ASHEVILLE_MUNICIPAL_(ASOS) T T T 0.29 0.62 0.85 0.93 1.14 1.14 3.25 6.08 37.88 NJM Bogue Field 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 1.31 3.21 27.31 BUY BURLINGTON-ALAMANCE_REG_(ASOS) 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.29 0.29 0.29 1.67 4.94 42.69 CLT Charlotte / Douglas 0.02 0.02 0.18 0.45 0.50 0.69 1.52 1.52 1.52 3.96 6.79 31.48 NKT CHERRY_POINT_MCAS T T 0.01 0.01 0.12 0.15 0.34 0.34 0.34 4.47 7.60 47.87 CTZ CLINTON 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 2.52 4.28 31.32 CPC COLUMBUS_CNTY_MUNI_ARPT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.15 2.01 3.96 36.40 JQF CONCORD 0.02 0.02 0.14 0.25 0.25 0.38 0.39 0.39 0.39 1.23 1.33 6.02 ONX Currituck 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 1.62 1.87 22.95 2DP Dare County Gunnery Range 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 T T T T T 2.18 5.66 13.39 TQV Durham - Duke North Heliport 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.47 0.47 0.47 1.25 3.59 28.22 EDE EDENTON_NORTHEA 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.34 4.44 27.49 ECG Elizabeth City 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.12 0.12 0.12 1.50 6.33 38.02 EYF ELIZABETHTOWN/CURTIS_BROWN_FIELD 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 2.58 4.41 29.68 7W6 Engelhard 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.89 4.98 23.02 HRJ ERWIN/HARNETT_COUNTY_ARPT 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.05 0.05 0.05 1.01 1.01 1.01 2.77 4.57 27.11 FAY Fayetteville 0.39 0.39 0.40 0.47 0.47 0.47 0.47 0.47 0.47 2.39 5.09 32.28 FBG FORT_BRAGG/SIMMONS T T T T T T T T T 2.40 4.21 36.39 1A5 FRANKLIN 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.13 0.46 0.79 0.79 0.79 2.81 5.86 25.82 AKH GASTONIA_MCPL_(ASOS) 0.02 0.02 0.22 0.67 0.72 1.18 1.18 1.18 1.18 4.31 7.15 36.21 GWW GOLDSBORO-WAYNE_MUNI_ARPT 0.00 0.00 0.38 0.52 0.52 0.52 0.52 0.52 0.52 2.58 4.87 29.19 GSO GREENSBORO/PIEDMONT_(ASOS) 0.08 0.08 0.27 0.28 0.28 0.61 0.73 0.73 0.73 1.48 4.71 36.14 HSE HATTERAS_(ASOS) 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 2.80 7.07 54.24 HNZ HENDERSON-OXFORD_ARPT 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.09 1.40 1.40 1.40 1.58 3.45 26.57 HKY HICKORY_REGIONAL_(ASOS) 0.01 0.01 0.15 0.39 0.49 0.94 1.10 1.10 1.10 1.97 4.10 31.27 OAJ JACKSONVILLE_(AWOS) T T T T 0.17 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 2.03 7.98 39.94 NR02 Jordan Field 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 DPL KENANSVILLE/DUPLIN_COUNTY 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.07 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 3.61 8.76 54.58 FFA KILL_DEVIL_HILLS 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.46 4.36 18.30 ISO KINSTON/STALLINGS 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.74 1.19 7.83 MEB LAURINBURG-MAXTON_ARPT_(ASOS) 0.07 0.07 0.26 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 1.79 4.20 19.43 EXX LEXINGTON_DAVIDSON_COUNTY_AIRP 0.03 0.03 0.22 0.29 0.29 0.74 1.00 1.00 1.00 2.22 5.69 21.51 IPJ LINCOLNTON 0.07 0.07 0.19 0.39 0.42 0.88 1.20 1.20 1.20 2.80 5.71 28.27 LHZ LOUISBURG/FRANKLIN_CNTY_ARPT 0.20 0.20 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.30 0.43 0.57 0.57 2.14 4.44 24.99 LBT Lumberton 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.04 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 2.55 4.77 29.92 HFF MACKALL_AAF 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 2.98 5.13 32.20 MQI MANTEO/DARE_CO_RGNL 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 1.28 5.47 31.17 EQY MONROE_AIRPORT_(ASOS) 0.02 0.02 0.15 0.72 0.75 0.81 1.81 1.81 1.81 4.65 6.38 30.42 MRN MORGANTON-LENOIR_AIRPORT 0.01 0.01 0.22 0.56 0.82 1.24 1.51 1.51 1.51 2.89 4.93 29.49 W40 Mount Olive 0.04 0.04 0.15 0.55 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 2.93 5.06 30.56 MWK MOUNT_AIRY/SURRY_COUNTY_APRT 0.04 0.04 0.06 0.06 0.08 0.41 0.45 0.45 0.45 1.46 4.00 39.89 EWN NEW_BERN/CRAVEN_CO_(ASOS) T T T 0.01 0.03 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 1.88 6.69 29.62 NCA NEW_RIVER_MCAS 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 2.04 4.99 23.68 UKF NORTH_WILKESBORO/WILKES_CNTY 0.06 0.06 0.20 0.34 0.38 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 1.17 3.65 24.04 NBT Piney Island 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 T T T 0.07 2.23 21.98 PGV PITT-GREENVILLE_APRT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 1.62 5.55 34.25 POB POPE_AFB 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 1.68 3.81 31.32 RDU Raleigh / Durham T T T T T 0.23 0.70 0.70 0.70 1.96 5.54 34.48 SIF Reidsville 0.11 0.11 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.21 0.23 0.23 0.23 1.18 2.32 23.69 IXA Roanoke Rapids 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.26 0.26 0.26 3.00 5.80 20.86 RZZ ROANOKE_RAPIDS_(ASOS) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 RCZ ROCKINGHAM 0.03 0.03 0.30 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 2.17 3.90 27.39 RWI ROCKY_MOUNT-WILSON_(ASOS) 0.04 0.04 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.08 0.34 0.34 0.34 2.40 6.79 30.70 RUQ ROWAN_COUNTY_AIRPORT 0.01 0.01 0.15 0.22 0.22 0.34 0.61 0.61 0.61 1.62 3.56 17.30 TDF ROXBORO 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.09 0.25 0.39 0.39 1.51 3.89 24.91 FQD RUTHERFORDTON 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.51 0.92 1.22 1.87 1.87 1.87 3.30 5.25 30.85 TTA Sanford - Lee County 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.33 0.91 0.91 0.91 2.73 5.06 33.76 GSB SEYMOUR-JOHNSON_AFB 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.43 27.49 EHO SHELBY_MUNI_ARPT 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.26 0.44 1.15 1.19 1.19 1.19 3.35 6.64 33.60 SCR Siler City 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.03 1.16 1.16 1.16 2.02 3.79 27.72 5W8 Silver City 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 MRH SMITH_FIELD/BEAUFORT_(ASOS) 0.04 0.04 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.62 0.92 0.92 0.92 6.79 9.21 42.54 JNX SMITHFIELD 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.21 0.21 0.23 0.34 0.34 0.34 1.79 3.50 23.30 SOP SOUTHERN_PINES_AWOS 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 T T 16.06 SUT SOUTHPORT/BRUNSWICK 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 1.29 4.13 35.94 SVH STATESVILLE 0.05 0.05 0.12 0.21 0.38 0.78 0.98 0.98 0.98 2.11 5.38 24.87 24A Sylva 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.26 0.32 0.71 0.74 0.74 2.91 6.09 33.49 ETC Tarboro 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.25 4.10 20.90 AFP Wadesboro 0.13 0.13 0.47 0.59 0.59 0.59 0.61 0.61 0.61 2.70 4.03 21.38 ACZ Wallace 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.26 2.14 4.71 28.08 OCW WASHINGTON/WARREN_FIELD_APRT 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 1.93 4.40 25.34 TNB WATAUGA_CNTY_HOSP_HELIP 0.05 0.05 0.23 0.33 0.51 0.72 1.52 1.54 1.54 2.79 6.62 36.72 IGX WILLIAMS_AIRPORT_(ASOS) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 MCZ Williamston 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.46 5.64 28.35 ILM Wilmington Intl 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.88 1.59 1.67 1.67 1.67 3.81 7.10 43.98 INT WINSTON-SALEM/SMITH_(ASOS) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.51 25.08

You can use this---https://water.noaa.gov/precip

North Carolina | Drought.gov. Exceptional in NW NC or 3.5% of NC

I echo that-

Not much change.

Not super confident on CFS this far out, but this winter, if depicted right or similar, could be interesting in SE. January below of course, but December-February is an interesting period on CFS but probably changing some. Do not recall seeing this much below heights in SE in sometime. Still fun to watch.

35 here near Winston Salem, and a good frost.

85 shift dance.