Did Hershey lodge and chocolate world for my daughters birthday. Not too busy. Roads in PA were not great, MD highways are good. Nice snow falling here in Lutherville with a temp of 27
I think you guys will be okay out there. Both of those models had a weird low snow hole, but that kind of stuff is not figured out this far out. As was mentioned, a stronger storm would generally yield a larger precipitation field.
If you look at the trend over the past 4 or 5 runs, GFS is slowing down the progression of the primary. It's still in Indiana at 72 hours vs closer to Ohio in past runs. Small differences
I agree. Just give folks a generalization right now and work on the details as we get even closer. Bernie has been burned a couple times already this year, so that may also play into his current forecast.
I think the transferred occurred quicker for the 6z run
At 114 the low is still trying to organize off the NC coast. Previous runs already made the transfer
Looking at those 500mb vort charts, the NAM at 84 looks like its a blend between the GFS and EURO. Would probably lead to a more southern look than GFS if I want to extrapolate out way to far.
Watching students take a virtual exam so need something to do until they finish