Snownado

52 minutes ago, Hoosier said:

We are in a pattern of dominant eastern troughing.  Indy is more under the influence of it being farther east.

Even Minneapolis is forecast to be warmer than Indy over the next 14 days !

I was averaging forecasted temps for St Louis and Indy over the next 14 days according to weather.com, and St Louis is forecast to be a whopping 9 degrees warmer over that time span. Why such a large difference between cities with fairly similar climates ?

According to the model im looking at, it looks like deaths will stop almost completely in 2 or 3 weeks ? It looks like a huge decline in deaths almost every day from now until mid May.

3 minutes ago, Hoosier said:

The panic is in part because of how contagious it is.  And for argument sake, let's say the death rate is exactly like the flu.  That would still be a problem to let it go unchecked with no restrictions/social distancing because the raw numbers would just get out of control.

I'm itching for sports to return, especially baseball.  But I think it would have to be done in empty stadiums or at least greatly reduced capacity in the stands.  Packing in a ton of people next to each other is just asking for trouble.  

I see nothing wrong with having people in the stadiums but trying to distance them so there's several seats in between. Its better than having completely empty stadiums.

2 hours ago, nwohweather said:

That's what sucks about this. It is so frickin contagious things like schools, sports, restaurants, bars and concerts are basically dead until we have this stomped out. Truly terrifying in both its death toll and economic impact, we're basically going to kill the entire restaurant industry

It's contagious but most people don't even get any symptoms. So im not sure what the panic is. The death rate is most likely well under 1%. I say open everything up and lets get back to living life again. And since outdoor activities is not very dangerous due to the virus not liking sunlight, im hoping baseball will start back in the next month or so.

I say bring on the heat and humidity. It can't hurt can it ? I cant imagine that it would make the virus worse. Seems like it could only help.

23 minutes ago, Stebo said:

43.2" here we beat average by 0.5"

Still a long way to go. We still have to go through May.

Great news. Looks like you are safe from the virus as long as you are outside during the daytime. 

https://news.yahoo.com/sunlight-destroys-coronavirus-very-quickly-new-government-tests-find-but-experts-say-pandemic-could-still-last-through-summer-200745675.html

I keep hearing that there could be 60,000 deaths by early August yet it seems like at least 2,000 per day are dying now. If we keep up this rate it will be over 60,000 this month. So apparently they are expecting a sharp decline in deaths very soon ?

The media has given some people the impression that basically it's a death sentence if you get the virus, when in reality that couldnt be further from the truth. I believe people have been brainwashed to an extent.

24 minutes ago, Stebo said:

That's a good point too that nearly 700k people have been tested for it but what if I told you the actual number of cases was 10 or 20x that. Just look at the numbers coming off these Navy ships, that over 50% of the cases are asymptomatic. So you know there are millions in this country who may be infected and not even remotely realize it.

In other words, the death rate is probably very low and your chances of dying from the virus if you get it is very low.

1 hour ago, KokomoWX said:

Those who support the stay at home order, how far are you willing to keep it going?  June 30th? Labor Day? January 2021?  I'm just asking. 

I know it sounds crazy but there are people out there who would be ok with shutting everything down for the next year if it meant saving lives. Of course they don't think about the negative effects it would have, they are just focused on one side of the equation. We would probably all die from starvation by then. At some point you just gotta say screw it. Im going out and living my life. If I die then I die. I'd rather die than live in a world of hopelessness and suffering that lasts for decades.

If you're going to blame anyone blame the experts Trump has been listening to.

2 minutes ago, weatherbo said:

6 inches... that’s it? It’s April, 10 or go home.

What's the latest you've seen snow ? June ?

40 minutes ago, weatherbo said:

.25" of rain this morning, with temps around 40 this afternoon.  Fog settled in after the rain but am hoping for some late day sun and a small spike in temps for a bit.

Road up to my place... mud season starting. 

 

When does spring begin up there ? June ?

1 hour ago, SchaumburgStormer said:

My younger brother got the call for a liver/kidney transplant tonight. This will be his second transplant, had his first set of organs for 5 years before they started rejecting. When you hear about being the epitome of “high risk” when it comes to Covid, he is it. I found a bunch of old N95 masks in my toolbox and made sure they found their way to him. Since he has been on the list, he has already had 1 set of potential organs rejected by the surgeon due to potential COVID infection in the donor. 

It is very morbid, but the surgeon was saying that organs are actually harder to come by right now than normal, as a large majority of people are staying home. As such, people are not getting into the fatal auto accidents, homicides, etc at rates which would be considered “normal”. Thus the individuals who are passing are the COVID patients or those who have a strong likelihood of the infection even though they have not been lab confirmed. The transplant doctors are not treating these people as suitable organs donors. So hopefully these test clean in the morning, and we can get my bro back on the path to recovery. But this is just another ripple effect of the virus that the general population would never consider. 
 

Although I don’t know you as anything other than screen names; you are my weather family. If you find yourself with a spare moment, I would appreciate if you could toss one up to whatever higher power you subscribe to. Additionally, please sign up to be an organ donor. 
 

#****COVID

Prayers for your brother

4 minutes ago, snowstormcanuck said:

Not that it's a walk in a rose garden now, but it looks like the worst is over for Italy.

Yep. And arent we like a week or two vehund Italy ? If so the worst should be over for us soon.

8 hours ago, Hoosier said:

Well, the IHME model updated.  There is good news and bad news.  The good news is that it dropped the total US deaths to a bit over 80k (was like 93k on previous update).  The bad news is that the peak day is really ugly.  But more *potentially* good news... notice that enormous range on peak day.  Maybe things break favorably.  

Well at least we are close to the peak. Looks like things will get much better very soon, maybe even by late April.

At some point youve just gotta roll the dice and hope and pray it doesn't get worse. Gotta open the economy back fairly soon. Hopefully that doesn't cause many more deaths.

It would be a lot easier to stay inside if it was winter, but with the weather getting warmer I am getting out as much as possible. I might go to the mountains in TN to see my friend this weekend.

With everyone on lockdown, where are these new cases coming from ? Maybe from people who were infected weeks ago before measures were put in place ?

Just now, on_wx said:

It's not unrealistic. Toronto has canceled all events, including Pride, through June 30th 

Way too premature IMO. With things constantly evolving theres no way to predict what things will look like even a month from now. I say take it month by month. It's almost a guarantee that things will be much better by summer. 

1 hour ago, Hoosier said:

A town around here already cancelled their July 4 parade and fireworks.  

That makes absolutely no sense to me. Its 3 months away for goodness sake.

Stay at home order for IN but you can still go to grocery store, work, etc. How is that different than whats been in place the last 2 weeks ?

14 minutes ago, Chambana said:

It’s absolutely horrifying what is going on in Italy. New York City is having a horrible day today as well. Anyone who thinks we wake up tomorrow and poof this is gone is delusional. The fact of the matter is, this is going to continue spread violently, and unfortunately result in many many more fatalities. 

I just don't see this being as bad as the 2009 pandemic. Over 12,000 Americans died in that one.