UnitedWx

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

That’s for Berks 

Yeah, maybe western CT as well, supposed to be pretty warm Saturday in some of CT

3 hours ago, WeatherGeek2025 said:

GM it'll go west gfs is king in my ok no opinion. Euro isn't as good as before they made that upgrade

True, but it doesn't mean the GFS is better. Look at 6Z lol. Waffle waffle 

29 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I’m not buying. We don’t get fooled again 

Totally. We need to see lots more before there's really any interest

Will the negative interference from the torch guy prove good juju for some... time will tell 

It's definitely inched closer the last several runs. Can the trend continue?...

23 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

It actually did look way better

I don't see it, looks like rain back to Albany 

On 1/11/2026 at 1:04 PM, The 4 Seasons said:

Today is the 15 year anniversary of one of CTs biggest snowstorms on record. BDL #1 all time with 24". And overall probably the 2nd biggest (for CT in general) in the past 30 years. 

Just finished redoing all these maps for accuracy and to include Lower Northeast view with climo sites. 

One of the most perfect radar evolutions for SNE and especially CT.

This storm is actually the only storm i've done that has a 40"+ contour other than 1888. Savoy, MA 40.5", Florida 33", North Haven 30.5"

https://www.jdjweatherconsulting.com/jan-11-12-2011

Contours only

What a storm! I drove up into the Berks at the end of the storm. I wish I had taken some video, it was amazing!

2 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Long range has been awful but yet people still forecast based off of it.

Sure, but to be fair with the last threat there were plenty of warning signs... but some just ignored them. Beware the turds in the punch bowl

Long range on the models look dead... good. Lets get something to appear within 4 maybe 5 days, instead of chasing fantasies

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Well, I've done it......I've viewed the CMC and I feel dirty.

I have to admit, right after he posted that so did I. It's just so wrong, I know better than that

41 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

0.01 %

60 percent of the time,  the GFS is right all the time

Time to close and lock the thread? 

29 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

AI ftw 

well... maybe 12 hours before all the others 

10 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Not the exact same setup but seeing some of these paltry depictions despite a deep closed ULL to our south reminds me a bit of the model fumbling prior to 2/15/15. The 18z euro is not included in that because that was so much further north than any other recent runs.  

You can feel the models searching for something, but just can't quite see it... or figure what to key in on, seemingly more than usual. Definitely an interesting system to track 

Just realized we have a nice squall moving through. 

43 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Yup. It’s been pretty good. People tossing because it’s not snowy 

Not at all! Personally I nearly couldn't care less if it snows or not, this is not my only hobby. Sorry, I just can't stand AI anything. To this point I've seen it cause far more problems than it's helped solve, and that's likely to only get worse

Just now, weathafella said:

You’re so misguided about the AI Euro.  To me in the medium range it’s the default strongest weight.

Well.. I was joking,  however I really don't trust anything AI. I know it has scored well, but that's an average, not necessarily for the sensible weather in our area. Just haven't seen it perform really any different than others 

18 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

You have to laugh. I hope  gets juicier.

Shure looks like it should be with that look. Question is, does something cave here for better.. or worse 

4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Euro AI is a non event 

That actually makes me feel better, now maybe I should pay attention 

1 minute ago, WinterWolf said:

Ok, let’s  not get to over dramatic. We don’t have to worry about any sun angle BS for quite some time.  Which has nothing to do with whether this upcoming system sucks or not. 

Right. It seems like to some on this board the only time the sun angle isn't a problem is the last two weeks of December 

1 minute ago, dendrite said:

This would’ve been a real test

We have had a few below zero mornings here, one was -13 but so far so good. I think that was the second winter for them

1 minute ago, dendrite said:

Good thing you planted them after Vday 2016.

For sure! We didn't buy our current home until September '17, so no planting started until spring 2018

Just now, dendrite said:

Dwarf or full size? The dwarf ones seem to be a little more cold hardy. The regular ones in BAF would be impressive.

Full size. My husband tries to push growing zones, and prays for more global warming.... They were planted 8 years ago and flowered the last 5. Not very tall yet, maybe 10 feet. There's one at the cape that's been there for about 30 years. It's huge. I'm amazed it's lasted

2 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Let’s get some -15° over bare ground for Tolland azaleas.

The Westfield Crepe Myrtles would NOT like that 

It wouldn't surprise me to watch this end of the week thing slowly disappear on the models over the next few days and start to focus on the 19th time frame. To me it has the look that they just don't know what to focus on yet