UnitedWx

Just now, Sey-Mour Snow said:

The NBM jack zone is pretty far north now stretching from Roanoke to Monmouth county NJ. 

And slowly working north run to run. Interesting to watch for sure

3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Euro is 7am start time Sunday. Seemo knows.

Must be the latest run... it was far later earlier 

7 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Maybe he meant 7pm?  7 am sounds way to  early? 

Yeah, I'm sure i saw the Euro earlier and it was later afternoon Sunday through about the same time Monday afternoon. For sure these details will change. I'll tell you, I have a good gut feeling about this one. There's so much energy available if there's any sort of phase 

2 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Most guidance is like 7am Sunday for CT, and these always start earlier 

7am? Now I need to go back and look again... crazy effed up day here, but i swear it was later

3 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said:

Yup.  According to euro, snowing aloft at 18z.  It may take a while to saturate.

I could see it coming in like a wall after it does. If this works out, that's a ton of moisture slamming into the area 

5 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Just caught up on all the posts….about 180 of them when I checked in about 9:00(always a great sign).  So, if this pans out/gets up here for us, are we looking at more of a Sunday afternoon start time now? 

From what I saw earlier, it was looking like approximately 5 pm in CT

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Dangerous game to extrapolate Nam but it looked good lol.

I'm  more curious to see what the TPV looks like tomorrow. See if it shows any more signs of the sort of split that was shown earlier 

Just now, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Not in this case, it actually matches the euro at 84 hours pretty damn close at 500

Yes, but it's still way out of its useful range. I mean,  good to see... but use others first 

10 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said:

NAM through 78 north of 18z... GGs for the Carolinas

Sent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk
 

It's REALLY way too early to look at the NAM 

19 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

Bullseye over Sleeping in Tolland

In tinted lip gloss and jogging shorts?

40 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

That was chap stick

Tinted?

3 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Looks like  1/4 inch maybe 1/2 from a squall last night 

1/2" in Sims and Westfield 

14 minutes ago, Kitz Craver said:

That’s evident increase lock step each run

Yup, let's keep that up... to a point. The PV sort of splitting is telling to my barely trained eyes.  Hopefully that's legit 

45 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said:

Did we all get this text today from friends and family? 

Only from the ones who insist on a damn IPhone 

2 hours ago, vortex95 said:

CoastalWx applying "English" to TICK the weekend storm N!?  UKMET does so and GDPS is tryin'.  GFS and ECMWF say no, but a "MIDLO" blockbuster for the Mid-Atlc.

 

This is quite interesting. There is literally nothing at 500, at least I can't find anywhere close to the sfc low.  When it is just off Delmarva, the flow close and over it is actually a bit anticyclonic!  The trough/vort is way W in MKE-DSM area.  I don't think that vort here is driving it.

 

It's a classic Miller A "bottom-up" system.  Strong from sfc-850, but MEH above that.  The Feb 11, 1983 blockbuster was like this.  CoastalWx LUVs this one b/c it was fcst NOT to hit SNE, and a big surprise.  South Weymouth NAS had TS+ and BDL SNOINCR 5.  Also SNOINCR 5 at ABE and LGA had TS+. New all-time 24 hour snowfall records were set at PHL, CXY, and ABE.  Max amount of 35" at Glengary WV.

This event was not a deep sfc low, about 994 mb at its closest approach to SNE, and the weekend storm looks similar.  Also, like Feb 11, 1983, a very cold Arctic air mass was in place over the NEUS, and suppression of the storm track was a big fcst issue!

 

I remember that storm well. A couple local mets were adamant that there was no way it would hit. I remember staying up and sneaking a peak at the 11 pm news. Hilton on channel 3 called the high to the north "the rock of Gibraltar" and would miss. What a great surprise the next day 

17 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

There was some big long post with a bunch of letters and numbers.   It has been removed/deleted. 

Must've been the AI attacking 

11 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Tick tick tick on the OP Euro. 

Is the Op playing catch up to the AI? Shit, if this keeps up I'll have to eat my words regarding said system

31 minutes ago, qg_omega said:

What???  No one is calling for that nor is any app

The idiot IPhone app is...

1 hour ago, Chrisrotary12 said:

Iphone weather app says 12-15” for next Sunday. Can always adjust up if needed. 

Yeah my husband just send me a screen shot from the Iphone weather app, 15 to 19 inches for next Sunday in Westfield... outcome TBD lol

Considering the radar last night,  surprised to wake up to 2.5 inches,  and about 3 in Simsbury 

Barely snowing here. Just a dusting this evening. Looking at the radar, not really expecting much at this point 

13 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

What a winter weekend. Haven’t had an entire snowy weekend in many many years . Pure frontal , sideal, and backal nudity .

Finally, something resembling days and days

Snow has started in Westfield 

13 minutes ago, Modfan2 said:

I see one for yesterday, there is a new one for today?

There is

4.5 inches total in Westfield. Nice mashed potatoes consistency