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UnitedWx

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Posts posted by UnitedWx

  1. 1 hour ago, Typhoon Tip said:

    we did it for 10 years for the most part, 1982 to 1991 so ... yeah, it can happen.

    Don't remind me! The last few years has certainly started to feel like we're right back there EDIT: I say don't remind me, and I must bring the 80s period  up once a week the past couple months...:rolleyes:

    • Haha 1
  2. 1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

    In other words...prepare for the greater likelihood of nudity, however, the devil is in the details, as we saw in January. That being said, the baroclinic zone is climatologically less likely to navigate so far to the south later in the season....to that point, we look to maintain some subtle WAR influence, so the pattern looks good.

    And IMO why we've had some damn decent storms in early March... at least March's of yore

  3. 1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

    EURO AI is pretty pants-tenty all the way around......Thursday is like 3-4" from I 84 N & W, next weekend another 6-8" outside of 495, and then a big dog next week.

    image.png.cc1ea5db39d50062883ef4eec752de15.png

    Where do you guys find the A.I.? I've been avoiding it, but maybe it's worth a peek

  4. 4 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said:

    If my memory is serving me well, at one point it had 50's and 60's for last Thursday...

    Euro has showed several "significant" warmups that haven't happened. Can't remember if GFS did because every run is a craps shoot past 5 days

    • 100% 1
  5. 15 minutes ago, tamarack said:

    Long enough to have landed the space shuttle.  In the early 1980s a couple of co-workers (one a private pilot) were flying back to BGR after a forestry conference in NM and there was a wicked crosswind.  The jet hit a bit hard and bounced, that wind caught and lifted the right wing, and the airplane was significantly tilted.  The private pilot thought "here we go!" but the crew up front realized they had another 10,000 feet of runway, plenty of time to juice the jets and stabilize the craft without needing a go-around.

    Well non stabilized approach, you're ALWAYS supposed to go around. I don't want to fly with those pilots!

  6. 3 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said:

    But I don’t buy ending winter. We might have a couple of days where the systems get warmer and messier and even some rain but it looks like we go straight back into a winter pattern. We don’t get out till mid to late March.

    That's currently my gut feeling as well

  7. 1 minute ago, moneypitmike said:

    IIRC correctly, the EC h asn't been hitting the side of a barn this season.  Or am I making that up?

    No, but really nothing has. For me it's GFS sniffing something at day 4, and seeing if the Euro starts to get a clue at day 2. Looking much farther than that has been useless as tits on a bull this season

    • Like 1
  8. 45 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said:

    I thought this was the Kuchie for a second good lord... (37" Kuchie, 32" 10:1) b4b17ffaa6661405edae49b583abe314.jpg

    Sent from my SM-S156V using Tapatalk


     

    Considering the setup with these two, for now I'd toss that as FAR as you can off the Tobin! We need positive trends to see anything like that

  9. 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

    Its solution is within reason given this pattern. Not a fan of this weekend outside of NNE.

    For sure, I'd like to start seeing some positive trends for both systems. This has the look of a couple inches to mix to slop for SNE right now

  10. 46 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

    Rgem and Icon look pretty thumpy at 18z for Thursday. But clown range for those models. Icon especially since it gets a secondary going a bit quicker. You want to see secondary reflection sooner to help with inflow and better dynamics. Otherwise it’s a 3-4 hour burst of WAA precip and dryslot. 

    Well doesn't that sound familiar...

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