binbisso

Gfs stubborn with such high totals 

1 minute ago, Snowlover11 said:

anyone got the reggie clown map?

38* dp17 at home in Mt Vernon 

Looks like precip will get here quicker than guidance 

It's seems that today's 12z models have upped the initial burst. If true many areas may bust high. We shall see 

The gfs is nuts 

12z nam coming In colder 

Temps busting really low today. 34* currently. My forecast high is 49*. Something to watch 

Fwiw the 3k is much colder 

1 minute ago, SnoSki14 said:

Yeah things are trending towards the Euro.

It's almost hard to believe that we might get accumulating snow this winter.

Yup. Our 3 week winter starts today. With what ensembles are showing plus mjo phase 8 I would say 15- 20" for the park when all is said and done 

Gfs colder nice for our area 

Mod snow big flakes solid coating so far 

6 minutes ago, Rtd208 said:

It looks like a period of light snow/snow showers tomorrow. It would surprise me if some areas pick up an inch or so. 

Sneaky little event. Short range models like  nam hrrr and rap getting interesting. Temps will be in the 20's. Whatever falls should stick.  Not expecting much but an inch would equal Biggest snowfall this Winter

 Snowing here in White Plains

2 minutes ago, snowman19 said:

I’ve seen it before. The models have been doing it since November. They show a knocked down SE ridge/WAR in the mid-long range only for it to verify much stronger as we move forward in time

Yea I hear you but this time it's across all guidance and gaining traction as we get closer. It's not fantasy land. Now whether it snows is a different story 

This winter has sucked and persistence has won out however this upcoming period may be different. This is the first time I've noticed the se ridge get knocked down this close. 

New run

Old run

7 minutes ago, winterwx21 said:

RGEM has been an excellent model, so it's hard for me to get interested in wednesday as long as RGEM doesn't want anything to do with it. NAM is such a crazy model and has been terrible, so I'm assuming it's going way overboard for wednesday. Even the 3km NAM doesn't look anything like the regular NAM. 

The rgem can be warm at times. Like today. It's snowing already here in Lower  Westchester and the rgem up to 12z today had me as all rain. Maybe it will be right for Wednesday but it is wrong today 

1 minute ago, wx2fish said:

Was wondering how it looked, pivotals maps are all blank

2 minutes ago, weathafella said:

Little clipper per gfs. Maybe 1-2.

 I think that clipper is the key to this system being snowier.   Other models don't have it except the GFS and the 18Z nam

Euro went from 2"+ of rain to less than half an inch for my area lol