Prospero

3 minutes ago, GaWx said:

I never nor even implied that wanting translates into making them happen since it of course does nothing of the sort.

I'd like to mention, not as a sane statement, but as myself I am very cautious about using my "will" or "intent" to intentionally intensify any storm. I know one person sitting in his backyard is not going to change anything. But I am Prospero, and Thunder and Lightning were mine to play with 400 years ago.

Now sitting in my backyard with anticipation and excitement, that's another thing. I love watching storms.

Every day I get Twitter feeds from Storm Chasers and Mets with very interesting video clips and I watch every one sometimes many times.

11 minutes ago, GaWx said:

I was going to say not to mention the obvious that the last thing the sane amongst us who live not too far from the coast want to happen is a hurricane plowing in and likely causing at a minimum temporary major disruptions to our families' and friends' lives due to the huge inconvenience from having to evacuate (especially for disabled bedbound persons and their caregivers like in my situation..I don't even know how I'd be able to do it), alone, and of course the potential for long lasting power outages and worse yet, damage and even casualties for those who try to ride it out. So, ldub's version of "bad news" is the exact opposite for some of us coastal folks.

This season I am going insanely bored (not new area for me) wanting something here. Irma sucked, weeks without power. The financial costs were unbearable. But now so many years ago throwing away canned food we bought for that storm we never used, shrunken crinkled gallons of water starting to leak in our closet now being used for gardening, etc.

I don't want my roof to blow off. I am not happy to think about my neighbors and myself suffering. But we live on the coast in Florida and every year we want "some" excitement. Yes, that is CRAZY! I admit!

I lived in Colorado waiting for blizzards. But in the Ski Areas snow is like money falling from Heaven.

I've chased storms many years ago and have yet to see a real tornado. I've seen waterspouts come on land and was close enough once to go run and stand in one. But not the same as a mid-west tornado. I've been in several Hurricanes, at least on the sidelines. Maybe a hail storm in Colorado in '68/69 or an ice storm in Michigan '75/76 was worse?

Yet most years by Christmas we look back and remember some names forgetting some others, and talk about the Tropical Systems that are a part of our lives, and without we have other issues like drought and wildfires.

I'm not a Met, just a computer programmer and Storm enthusiast since the 1960s. So my reputation is not at risk here. just being honest...

I went to bed last night leaving some things outside with a very low chance of rain for Tampa Bay. I woke up at 2:20 AM to thunder and checked radar on my phone, got up and got everything inside just in time. I woke up again at 5:00 am to a second thunderstorm. Now I am looking at sats and waiting for a surprise system to form in the northern GOM today or tomorrow...

They are already "interesting!"

Better stock up on TOILET PAPER!! LOL

Half-n-half is hard to find some days.

Love the storm and rain reports! Nice start to the season!

@captcatz:

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Rain since midnight now at 8.21 inches. Total for storm is 10.35 inches. 

Over 8 inches of rain in a day is significant. May be the record of the season even for south Florida with an occasional Hurricane to come by. Tropical Storm Debbie years ago dumped 16 inches of rain in Gulfport over a couple days which I think is the record since I have been here.

I woke up to light rain for a few hours this morning up here in Gulfport, FL with the Tropical breeze. Wind has actually picked up this afternoon and rain is done.

Nice to be back in the season.

Sitting outside tonight is nice.

Nothing like a breeze from a tropical system. 5 to 15 mph at best, but it is everywhere. Not just waves of gusts and winds we see all the time. It is like an ocean moving over us. Even little winds sound amazing they are everywhere. The sky is moving over us. Palm trees, Live Oaks, everything is dancing.

Looks like rain is out. No strong winds. But tonight is a tropical system night and it feels great.

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Better safe than sorry, right?

I took down umbrellas, even way up here in Tampa Bay. Put a few yard decorations in safer places.

Right now, nice and calm, slight PTC1 breeze. Will be asleep when something could blow through. No concerns, but always better safe than sorry.

27 minutes ago, cptcatz said:

Looks like it's not going to even be designated a cyclone before hitting Florida. 

Well, still the first of the year. In my backyard, a few sprinkles. But the steady breeze is from this first PTC of 2022. The breeze is strong enough we can hear it inside our home. Outside it is fairly warm, and steady. It is not a "sea breeze" like we have almost every day in July, it is not an out-flow boundary from a big thunderstorm coming across Central Florida, it is definitely the outer swirls of some kind of Tropical system. It is good to feel, and also good to know it is nothing to fret.

We could use a little more rain up here, but this week was a break from the dry season with 3 or 4 inches of rain as the sun set a few nights.

Hope it gets a name, but if not I'll remember it for a little while as the "first" this season.

3 minutes ago, CampergirlFL said:

Well, I’m supposed to be towing a camper from east Tampa to west of Jax on Saturday, heading to Savannah but the timeline may have to be flexible.


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So far we in Tampa Bay are north. Could be some thunderstorms pop up, we even had a tiny tornado last night. You will probably be fine. Still pay attention...

Here in Gulfport FL (Tampa Bay), we could always use a real soaker in June.

It has rained the past two nights, everything got a needed drink. But it is the early Tropical systems that make us a real tropical paradise!

60% chances of Development.

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I know TD-11 crossed over and developed into a TS in 2010, but it only got named Hermine after it crossed.

Hermine was one of the three most impressive storms here in Tampa Bay over the past ten years or so. Barely scraped us, but trees and power went down. I still remember it like yesterday. What a mess!

I've been watching it. Thought I saw a LITTLE SPIN...

Entertainment back on here in Tampa Bay. Little rain here today, but we need a soaking rain.

21/11/4

2 hours ago, wxeyeNH said:

The GFS has been like a dog that will not just let go of his grip.  Jeez, run after run for day after day the GFS has been insistent that something is going to get going in the NW Caribbean or Gulf.  If this would ever come to fruition the GFS will have scored a total respect from me.  

 

 

Even if totally wrong, I'm a fan as having something to see a couple or so times a day for a couple weeks. My first 2022 season excitement! I am voting for GFS, but not betting money on it. Still worth coming to see every day what it's model predicts.

Later on may judge by what happens now, but for today, I love the Spring energy!

My wife puts on the Weather Channel for her daily afternoon nap while she is comfy in her recliner chair. I'm on my PC in my office in the next room, but in the background did I hear them talking about Tropical development in the Gulf of Mexico (based on GFS)?

8 hours ago, WxWatcher007 said:

A gradually intensifying TS that brings a good rain would be a nice appetizer. 

But then what might be OK for the Florida peninsula would not be as welcome in LA.

GFS still spinning a storm in the Gulf. Granted, it has been all over the place, but hanging on.

It is approaching late May, we do get storms this early.

I'm not worried about a Laura, Michael, etc. But a TS would be nice.

I see a couple other models are now starting to pick up a hint of a low forming around the Yucatan.

This is what we need this time of year! Makes all the difference.

GFS still hanging onto this storm.

GFS shifted south, between Cuba and Florida. Certainly it will be all over the place for the next week.

A good typical late May Tropical Storm around here would not be totally unwelcome. Although always inconvenient for some in low areas or with weak trees.

I'd love to host the first Storm of the season. No Hurricanes invited...

Has my attention. At least something to look at every day. We need rain in the Tampa Bay area, so hoping maybe a mild Tropical Storm to kick off the season.