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Prospero

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  1. Prospero
    Yea, for Mets I know this is "Banter" talk, but hey no Banter forums yet and many of us are really longing for storm dialog... The worst power outage and miserable time in my life was after an ice storm in Michigan in 1975 or 76. Ice on trees branches was so heavy it basically took down every power line in the county. My Uncle and Aunt in a farm house had a wood furnace, and it became a crowded local family shelter with a bunch of my cousins and more for a place to live and share one bathroom for two weeks with no electricity. Ice was no problem, I don't remember toilet paper situation, but do remember the small dark farm house bathroom that was overwhelmed. Granted the two weeks of no power after Irma was no picnic and cost me a fortune in lost business while trying to work off my laptop running on my car power and what cell phone access we had.
  2. Prospero
    We never let our guard down on the Florida Gulf Coast. Definitely not feeling any threat right now, but a slow moving anything out there can be last minute wake-up call to action. This year we are well stocked on toilet paper still from the COVID craziness. As if toilet paper was ever the issue when a tropical storm or hurricane came by and knocked out power. I wish we could stock up on a couple weeks of ice to last when power is out, but no. Weenie(wish)cast? Becomes a major spinning around aimlessly in the Gulf making it rain and giving some tropical wind everywhere but no damage or costs, then shear kills it a few hours before landfall when it is heading right over my house... Yea, sick I know.
  3. Prospero
    Waiting to be over hot humid swampy land to fire up? Can it get a name after landfall?
  4. Prospero
    Amateur hour cont... I'm not sold on this one getting a name. Maybe, yet the models I see do not bring it into much in the Gulf. We'll see, but I'm still tired of seeing TX/LA getting storms from last year and would rather wait for something more interesting. Bill surprised me as I was not expecting a Bill for a while. But how many times a week do I get surprised by unexpected Bills. I should have known. Might throw my predictions off by one for sure. Rain is welcome here, and we have had a little the past two days from the Gulf which is not typical May weather pattern without tropical systems, and we welcome all we can get for now (within reason). But we are not in the TX/LA area...
  5. Prospero
    Laura posed a remote, possible mild threat to NYC for a moment, but a stronger cold front came through and was more of a weather event. Laura appears to have been on the local news for a few days even though no tropical warnings were posted. A severe weather warning did come up with the cold front though after Laura went south with little affect.
  6. Prospero
    Do they ever hit? Maybe it is just for entertainment for some of us. Wouldn't want to be on a Navy ship if this is all they use.
  7. Prospero
    And then there is the NAVGEM: Yea, go ahead and tease me! LOL
  8. Prospero
    Are there records or archives of "TC Warnings"? They so often jump all over the place within days of any storm. Every year I plan to track models, but already won't catch up this year. LOL Tampa Bay has been in numerous GFS model tracks lasting about 6 hours at a time for possible significant 2021 storms.
  9. Prospero
    Unusual year here in Florida. Where we live in Gulfport it is not uncommon for May and June to be bone dry even when some areas of Tampa Bay and east get storms. But to be in mid-June and sit outside with low humidity is out of the ordinary. No mosquitoes, no sweating. Feels like late September, still hot but dry. Normally May and June are miserable with humidity even when the storms form over us and move inland without giving us rain. That's really not happening yet. A few thunderstorms popped over central Florida today, but not the same. As an observer and a passionate storm watcher, we're off to a different start than the past few years. Might not have any influence as far as the the overall tropical storm season, but definitely not a typical year for us in Pinellas County, Florida with humidity and moisture.
  10. Prospero
    Seems like it has been a long off-season, even though it has not been that long. At least now its fun to look at models every day and be back watching this forum for comments. Any teasers are worth their value in excitement, even random 14 day out models that come and go. Tampa Bay has already been in a strong storm a few times in 2021 models! (That is definitely preferable to being in a real life strong storm here.)
  11. Prospero
    Cristobal gave us over 4 inches of rain last year in Gulfport, FL on June 6th. We could sure use at least part that right now!
  12. Prospero
    I love mathematical formulas almost as much as a good storm! Funny how "math" connects ALL things. But I am "John Dee", Prospero of Shake-Speare/Bacon...
  13. Prospero
    GFS keeps popping up with storms then drops off. Our typical afternoon thunderstorms in central-west Florida are still lacking which means the moisture in the ground to feed the sea-breeze collisions is low right now and it might be a late rainy season for us if we don't end up in a drought. Of course that can change in a few days time, but not in the next week or so at least. Could be a slow start to the TS season this year as well which only amps the energy for later on. Just a thought, based on a decades long lifetime of wish-casting.
  14. Prospero
    Don't remember seeing a graphic like this for a few years. Maybe they changed what is normal?
  15. Prospero
    OK: 14/11/7 Probably way low on named storms, but seven majors. Teresa might be one to be historic...
  16. Prospero
    Today's GFS model:
  17. Prospero
    Ana begins 2021, what name where it end? What name will be the one to remember? Is "Ida" a safe bet as the name to never forget?
  18. Prospero
    That would be nice. Forum archives are a museum for future generations.
  19. Prospero
    Not that I am bored with TX/LA after last year, but can we get something different this year? ;) Of course sparing the Central West Coast of Florida another year...
  20. Prospero
    Curious what is ahead of us. Weird to me that so many what should have been perfect eyes never materialized. Maybe that is why the ocean could not get rid of its heat?
  21. Prospero
    December 12, 2020: I thought Cameron would post it's wind data by now. But no. Does anybody have the super secret access to share what the peak winds were here? It was recorded, but who knows what Cameron experienced. They are not posting.
  22. Prospero
    "C" has had five, but all but four were before 1960 counting 45 years of storms ("Cuba" 1924 to Camille 1969). "I" and "M" are tied with four each within the last 22 years. Letter "I" had four in 17 years (Isabel in 2003 to Iota in 2020). "M" has had four in 20 years (Mitch in 1998 to Michael in 2018). Basically from the 7th to the 14th storms of the are the ones that become Cat 5s in the last couple decades. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Category_5_Atlantic_hurricanes
  23. Prospero
    Allen - 1980 Andrew - 1992 Anita 1977
  24. Prospero
    Which makes me curious, what letters have had the most Cat 5's?
  25. Prospero
    Wonder if 2020 will bring snow to Tampa Bay. I'm always eager, missing the ski areas out west.
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