NorthHillsWx

Also has a snowstorm for savannah ga and an ice storm to the Gulf of Mexico at the end of its run so does say cold is coming, but once again, delayed

Those on this board with expertise in pattern recognition have been honing in on this time period for weeks. To see it show up on modeling is pretty awesome. Hopefully we can score.

At least give me credit for the quote!

Storm still tries to blank @Grayman cannot imagine the mental breakdown if that map was correct

There is nothing to complain about with that system other than the fact it’s more than a week out

In my humble opinion, this isn’t a bad thing if we want snow. I know these super cold blasts usually mean suppression city. It’s not like the cold disappears from the guidance either, it just doesn’t bleed into our region to the extent it did in some previous runs. It doesn’t need to be 20 degrees to snow. It still shows a prolonged period of below normal temps and an extremely active southern jet. I think we are in as good a spot as we can get starting early next week going out through the following week at least,

Flurries flying around now

RDU recorded a couple hours of snow flurries overnight

Agreed. Already some showing on the ensembles. One of these models going going to suck everyone back onto this pages in next few days. Been fun seeing the mid-long range thread “hot” most of the day. This winter is already 100% better than last winter

HRRR swings some snow through central NC late tonight. Something to watch, especially with cold temps. Could be a surprise dusting

I’m just happy for the first time this year it looks like we will have a bonafide arctic airmass to work with. If last Thursday’s event had more cold air it could’ve been an area-wide warning level event. Was still a good storm. A few degrees makes all the difference as always

If that panned out I’d sell the next 2 winters and take 0” and 70’s every day and be totally content

Can’t get much better HP placement. Storm right where we want it at this stage lol. Those of you talking pattern recognition have been harping on this time period for awhile. Good to see models showing some love. I am as optimistic about the next two weeks as any winter period the last 3 years.

I wouldn’t worry about storm specifics at this point. In these parts let the cold come and worry about the storm later. Looks like our first real arctic push this season

None of us are truly out, regardless what we say

The mid-long range does not look boring on on the GFS

Well, at least we didn’t go from days and days of modeling showing a foot plus to a crusty 2-4”

I was up there all weekend and it was a good storm from what I saw. I guarantee you some places had 6+ just not reported. Deep winter all weekend, ground covered and in the teens Saturday morning with deep snowpack in shaded areas.

Had a deck covered with sleet and a glaze of ice this morning near rich square NC this morning was at freezing but rising when I left. Bout it, miserable weather day in Raleigh

It took all of 5 minutes to cover everything and now it looks like a legit snowstorm. Wind is pretty strong too. 32 degrees and SN+

Euro looks slightly improved to me just not the snow map. Better ridging, slightly more south, and the secondary gets going close enough that we may get in the party. Front end thump is diminished somewhat but if we could get the secondary involved further south I don’t think anyone would complain

Man, why did that Sunday threat have to pop up??? We almost made it to day of with no jinx

Up, slightly

I mean, as we get inside 24 hours that’s pretty solid. The trend has also been ticking up. This could be either a huge fail or a massive coup from the V16 as it’s been rock steady on this one

NWS will wait till the 00z suite before they cave. Having the euro/NAM on the low end is definitely disconcerting but even the euro has made great strides over the last 24 hours. Not an easy forecast