NorthHillsWx

Hurricane Elsa really reminds me of hurricane Nate whereas they were both in favorable environments but forward speed capped their development as they struggled to keep fully vertically stacked over time. Similar satellite presentations as well. I think Elsa should maintain current intensity up until the islands and I doubt she’ll strengthen much more given the rapid forward speed. Beyond that, land impacts and shear (GFS greatly increased the shear after the system interacts with Hispaniola) will clearly be the driving factors intensity wise. Pretty potent little mdr system for this early in the season and I’m truly impressed it strengthened into a bona fide hurricane in the eastern Caribbean

Storm total of 1.18” here. Looks to be done unless something develops in the subsidence. One interesting thing is many models predicted it’d rain through tonight and into tomorrow. This thing moved through in a hurry

The storm has impressive upper level outflow in basically all quadrants

Can already tell where today’s going: currently 77 with a sultry dew point of 75. Looks to be a dry, hot, and excessively humid end to June. Likely going to end the month at 6.21” which has done wonders to help alleviate the dry conditions following our rainless spring

Remnants of Danny looking remarkably well organized over Alabama this morning

Every now and then you get lucky Edit: Ended with an unexpected 0.18” today, up to 6.21” for June

With the cutoff low in the Ohio valley, we could enter into an extended wet period as well. Below average and wet, I’ll take it going into the peak of summer

Looking like we’ll have a named storm before landfall. Weak and limited impacts but always fun to watch tropical on radar

We have officially broken the 6” mark! 0.01” but still raining puts us at 6.00” on the month! Edit: Only very light rain today. Ended with 0.04” and 6.03” for the month

0.13” was the total yesterday. Now at 5.99” for the month.

Just had a heavy shower push through. 0.12” in about 5 min

Watch the low pressure system that has formed off the Carolina coastline. Very common spot for quick spin ups

.38” today. 5.86” on the month now

We’re at 0.09”. Hopefully we get in on it this evening

Radar looks as if you’ll be fine. It’s rained here all morning and we haven’t had anything measurable yet

Picked up 0.67” overnight. 1.71” is going to be our total from Claudette. 5.48” on the month, pretty dang happy overall, wish the rain was more consistent but decent total with more than a week left in the month

Just broke an inch here. 1.04” and still raining. Pretty dang happy and looks to rain off and on through tomorrow morning

0.91” at the house. Looks like more to come

Definitely looks like a tropical storm today on Sat and radar. Widespread tropical storm conditions have been reported as well. Yesterday, not so much, but NHC waited until it did to call it, so good work as always.

06:53 S 24 G 81 1.25 Heavy Rain Fog/Mist Squalls and Breez Pretty good gust in Pensacola

Why we have everyone’s favorite measurement: ACE

I’m really banking on the Euro, everything else essentially dissipates the low and drives any rain south and east of North Carolina. Per the GFS, our only rain chance in next 10 days would be some afternoon storms one day with the frontal passage. These 2-3 week gaps in any rainfall are not ideal

This would hurt

Anyone know how to get climate data from Franklin County airport? Our farmer up there says it’s the driest spring he’s ever had and it literally didn’t rain in April and they had just 1 thunderstorm in may. They have been unable to plant this year without irrigation

Share some with the rest of us!!!