NorthHillsWx

34.7 was the high, low was 14.5 this morning. Already down to 26.0

As @wncsnow is saying, I see nothing muted about this “torch”. To me a week of above normal for the eastern half of the us is a torch. Maybe our temps get muted somewhat bc of a wedge but synoptically the cold is gone from the east for an extended period so this is the dreaded shut the blinds pattern until maybe the first week in January. I don’t see a hell ridge from the SER but if you want winter weather (everyone posting here) near normal isn’t going to cut it and there aren’t any threats as far as we can look out at this point. We’re punting 2+ weeks that’s a given.

That “lake effect” band over far east NC put down some serious snow near Fairfield. Pics are incredible looks like a couple inches… Don’t see that often!

Bottomed out at an impressive 14.5. Dewpoint got all the way down to -3! Currently 15.3

You’ve already had a good winter!

15.1 right now still dropping. About as cold as it can get here without snowpack. If you added snow cover to this airmass here you’d see spots in central NC approaching 0. We’re a whopping 39 degrees colder than this time yesterday

Yawn

Flipped over to a rain/snow/IP mix here. 39.6 EDIT: Finished with 0.10” of rain. 1.49” MTD total and looks like we’re gonna be stuck on that for awhile

Hit 54 at 3:30 but we are tanking now, down to 41

PNA has now trended to insane negative levels around Christmas. It stays negative into January. A +PNA and -NAO with MJO remaining favorable would feed families but alas, the pacific gives us the middle finger

Bottomed out at 27.0

Some sort of CAD wedge will develop and we’ll be stuck at 45 degrees and drizzle all day. Book it.

Already undershot forecast here. Down to 28.4

Snow capital of the sub forum

RDU officially recorded a TR of snow at 4 am so this will be official in the books.

Obviously no one notices these small events like flurries with no accumulation like weenies do but that’s very impressive for this area before Christmas to see 4 events with frozen precip

3 snows and that one event that started as sleet. That’s officially 4 frozen. It’s actually picked up some now, pretty mood flakes coming down. Very wintry, temp up to 37

This is the 4th time we’ve seen a TR of frozen this winter. Maybe that bodes well?

33 with flurries falling. 30.6 was low

I remember when happy hour used to be… happy

What’s amazing is that we’ve even been able to snow at all last year and some this year with these moisture starved shortwaves. It takes a potent shortwave to wring out moisture east of mountains with zero gulf connection or Atlantic development. What caused all the nor Easter’s this summer? I know most of them didn’t cause a lot precip inland but it seemed there was a coastal low almost weekly over the summer. Was it just the well established eastern trough or was there a southern stream connection? I cannot remember I just know the obx took a beating

The lack of a southern jet is a semi-permanent feature that’s developed through the summer. Models looked like that was flipping coming into the month but nothing has changed. Until we get something coming from the southern stream the ripping northern and pac jet is going to kill us regardless of what cold is available. The ongoing drought is all you need to know about our southern stream energy through the fall. That’s going to be the biggest fail mechanism this winter I’m sure of it

I don’t think a lot appreciated last winter enough bc we were missing the “big storm” but we avoided can kicking and essentially had threats to track almost the entire winter period and had a warning level snow in February. Long ways to go

Not even sure a 6”+ event is possible here anymore…

What are your thoughts of duration of the warmup/pattern change?