NorthHillsWx

If downeast NC and SC score major storms two winters in a row while the foothills remain blanked since 2022…

GFS trended towards euro but just not quite there.

Bottomed out at 28.6 (NWS forecast low 30) here and the farm got down to an impressive 23.1 (NWS forecast low 28)

6z euro was interesting for Sunday

Except this year it’ll just warm up and be dry. I don’t think it can turn wet again until La Niña is done, finished, cooked

Those of us who got 0.00” from last weekends rain are not going to be in good shape

And for an even wilder gradient, the temp sensor at the airport, roughly 1/2 mile from my station by the farm house, is currently at 35.8! So there is nearly 10 degree gradient in under 1 mile! I’ve seen this out there before and I am convinced my farm sits in the coldest spot in the county. On the car thermometer it is almost a given to drop 5+ degrees from the blacktop to the farmhouse on top of the drive. Very interesting evening, figured I’d share

Pretty big temp discrepancy right now between my house and my farm. We’re sitting at 35.4 at home right now and the farm near Louisburg has already fallen to 25.9. Almost a 10 degree different between the two counties. Ideal radiational cooling conditions in rural areas right now

It’s amazing how just subtle digs south and west have outsized impacts with regards to the second system. That GFS run was so close to a decent system

Undershot guidance a little and bottomed out at 25.2 this morning. Felt good to feel winter again after waking up to 60s past two days

I said this earlier and I’ll say it again: it can’t even rain here I don’t know why we think it can snow. Until we fix that it doesn’t matter if it’s cold or warm the common theme will be dry

You got as much rain in 24 hours as we’ve had last 4 months combined

Storm total rainfall: 0.00”

Dr No with the emphatic No

Hey last time panthers won a playoff game was January 2016 and that month was pretty awesome in the snowfall department

DC smoked at 12z

If the panthers win today I can guarantee everyone will get a blizzard this season

lol

Northern stream dominates, no STJ interaction to speak of, and cold doesn’t make it south or east at all for either timeframe. Euro and gfs summed up.

Wow epic disaster on ops last night. Ensembles aren’t as bad but ops are ugly, keep your children away

Euro is basically no storm or precip for anyone after today

Both storms screw the foothills, that means this has legs

I like the trend of a stronger, sharper ridge out west. This gets said all the time but it’s real here: there is a ton of energy flying around late next week. We need to continue the trend of a sharper trough, more dig for a phase for storm 1. Storm 2 is tough to talk about bc it seems so reliant on what happens with storm 1. I’ll take the players on the board right now. EURO and GFS both have big dog potential if everything falls right and honestly we haven’t seen that in years. Late bloomer seems most likely path to victory with storm 1 but if that trough goes negative tilt just a little earlier and that low gets tucked this storm could really go to town. Keep building heights out west and dig the trough a little deeper and I think you’ll keep seeing some fantasy runs pop up

One of the best football games you’ll ever watch. Playoff this year has produced

GFS doesn’t have the second storm bc it drops off the energy in the SW and it becomes completely cutoff. I have questions for the model…