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NorthHillsWx

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Everything posted by NorthHillsWx

  1. NorthHillsWx
    It was weird, wasn’t really a north trend. Kind of just nukes the wedge
  2. NorthHillsWx
    18z EURO flips most of NC to rain
  3. NorthHillsWx
    I’ll make a bold proclamation: we never make it past 30 through the event (we being anyone in wake)
  4. NorthHillsWx
    Probably just the 12z euro re-named “in house”
  5. NorthHillsWx
    I haven’t felt a shred of joy from this sport in over 24 hours thank you gfs for throwing a bone
  6. NorthHillsWx
    SLEET BOMB!!!!
  7. NorthHillsWx
    Yea that was a pretty classic winter storm, just with a lot more moisture than normal. If the sleet areas held the bad ZR would be pretty limited and most would have several inches of concrete with fluff on top. Not a sexy storm but that would be quite fun given the alternatives we’ve seen. Let’s see others trend that way before getting too excited but it’s pretty obvious what needs to happen to achieve somewhat of a win here
  8. NorthHillsWx
    GFS holding its own and actually trending more strung out 48 hours out has to count for something right? … right?
  9. NorthHillsWx
    Look at QPF trend from 12z to 18z for the Northeast. It did NOT go north and in fact was the exact trend we want, strung out and not as amped
  10. NorthHillsWx
    Idk, that has kinda been jumping around a bit on GFS depiction. To me that was more noise than a trend
  11. NorthHillsWx
    That’s actually pretty good backside snow. Would be a great topper on the glacier
  12. NorthHillsWx
    Everyone please pray GooFuS scores a coup that run just kept central NCs lights on and all of us sledding Monday
  13. NorthHillsWx
    Switches most of NC over to snow Sunday night. Much much different look than the amped models. This is a good run, no low cutting up the apps and look what happens with thermals on the backside!!!
  14. NorthHillsWx
    GFS is best case scenario here (Raleigh). Almost all sleet
  15. NorthHillsWx
    Icon ticking south, more separation between NS and Baja. Even stronger CAD signature. Good trends.
  16. NorthHillsWx
    UKIE found reality after taking shrooms at 0z. Much much colder CAD
  17. NorthHillsWx
    I mean honestly the CMC didn’t change much if at all from 0z
  18. NorthHillsWx
    Brining 64 east of Raleigh
  19. NorthHillsWx
    CMC flips part of DC metro over to rain
  20. NorthHillsWx
    Yea, it’s a classic winter storm, still better than other guidance re snow/IP. But ZR definitely trending up as well
  21. NorthHillsWx
    GFS keeps trending to other guidance
  22. NorthHillsWx
    ICON looks slightly better at 500mb. More separation with the baja low initially
  23. NorthHillsWx
    Hour 42 is in NAM range. It’s really beyond 60 hours that you just gotta take it with a grain of salt
  24. NorthHillsWx
    I disagree, wasn’t one model run. The storm has been lost on everything but GFS in terms of snow and that’s a trend since yesterday morning. 0z just confirmed it
  25. NorthHillsWx
    One thing I can say with 95% confidence is that a big snow event is off the table. Too much would have to be wrong on too many models. Snow to mix can certainly come back for many in NC, I can just say hoping for significant south trends is not as enjoyable as hoping for north trends with a phased system…
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