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Bob's Burgers

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  1. Bob's Burgers
    here's what i mean
  2. Bob's Burgers
    4z HRRR coming in with a much different solution than previous runs. Lack of convection/del rio supercell that died out has a huge impact on how the convective complex plays out tonight per 4z hrrr. Warm sector is much farther north this run of the hrrr tomorrow afternoon which can be a game changer.
  3. Bob's Burgers
  4. Bob's Burgers
    New Data from Baron 3k/James Spann
  5. Bob's Burgers
    HRRR trends for tomorrow morning
  6. Bob's Burgers
    Latest VAD/Hodo with Breckenridge obs
  7. Bob's Burgers
    See latest post
  8. Bob's Burgers
    12z HRRR continued
  9. Bob's Burgers
    Problem solved lol
  10. Bob's Burgers
    Conditions are getting much better near Dyess
  11. Bob's Burgers
    Interesting NAM3k solution overnight in Alabama
  12. Bob's Burgers
    Evolution of the Baron 3km WRF solution as presented by James Spann this morning -->
  13. Bob's Burgers
    PW will show different STP numbers (usually conservative compared to NSHARP), whereas COD is the exact opposite. I believe COD uses a different STP equation than NSHARP/SPC
  14. Bob's Burgers
    I think we found the ceiling XD
  15. Bob's Burgers
  16. Bob's Burgers
  17. Bob's Burgers
  18. Bob's Burgers
    Big-time UH swaths coming off the NAMNEST
  19. Bob's Burgers
    Notice the 73 knot storm motion for right movers; northern MS sounding here, maybe 70 miles west north west of Tupelo
  20. Bob's Burgers
    Tennessee is very much in the mix now. NAM gets more and more dangerous per run.
  21. Bob's Burgers
    ^This. You can tell it's pretty clear from the SPC Convective Outlook that at least one upgrade is coming. Rare to see "Outbreak" mentioned in a D4, let alone a headline with 3 more subsequent uses. While it's ENH for now, it's worded like a high-end moderate risk.
  22. Bob's Burgers
    12z Euro now on board with 80+ temps across LA, MS. Very bad scenario unfolding here.
  23. Bob's Burgers
    Yep. You'd have to add about 1,200 j/kg ML cape to get to april 27 levels. Shear is there though. Modeled afternoon temps in the low 80's is very concerning though, especially the UKmet.
  24. Bob's Burgers
    Posted this in the SE thread, but if this forecast holds, high risk would seem probable if not expected.
  25. Bob's Burgers
    12z NAM would suggest a High Risk is coming
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