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Bob's Burgers

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Everything posted by Bob's Burgers

  1. Bob's Burgers
    Outflow dominant; future looks bleak for this cell.
  2. Bob's Burgers
    something is trying to pop east of wichita falls
  3. Bob's Burgers
    Starting to think that cell might be a splitter
  4. Bob's Burgers
    Outflow boundary setting up near norman and sagging southward a bit. could modify over the next hour or two and make things get real interesting around the Katie-Norman area. Theoretical target: Pauls Valley
  5. Bob's Burgers
    Excellent verification page from the Easter outbreak can be found here: https://cams.nssl.noaa.gov/comparisons/?dataset=det_cams_00&comparison=cref_uh&sector=spc_se&date=20200412&daily_time=0000
  6. Bob's Burgers
    Hopefully it busts. These people have been through enough lately
  7. Bob's Burgers
    I'm getting increasingly concerned about the I-35 corridor from Fort Worth up to OKC. 21z RAP shows this area (OKC in particular) in an extremely favorable area of ascent (left exit jet region) during peak instability + dryline initiation. Just seems like an event that could "overperform" compared to current expectations with a rogue supercell or two going gangbusters. Low level lapse rates are formidable on HRRR and RAP forecast soundings as well. IDK
  8. Bob's Burgers
  9. Bob's Burgers
    That does seem to be a theme. Also another theme is the RAP overestimating the northward push of the warm front/warm sector.
  10. Bob's Burgers
    The thing that is interesting to me is the timing. If it goes though early (12z or so) and the atmosphere can recover somewhat, couldn't we look at local hotspots with modifying outflow boundaries?
  11. Bob's Burgers
    Looks like a real hoot
  12. Bob's Burgers
    Figured it's time to start another thread (this is exhausting to see round after round of severe wx in the southeast) after seeing the last few runs of the UKmet, and the 0z NAM tonight.
  13. Bob's Burgers
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  15. Bob's Burgers
    Looks like we had another EF-4 last night. NWS Jackson has done a stellar job with all of this lately!
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  19. Bob's Burgers
    That's a really strong waterspout
  20. Bob's Burgers
    I think the tornado may have been very short lived, but the debris was on the way up and spread out after it lifted. Vrot was around 36 knots for a few scans in a fairly tight circulation.
  21. Bob's Burgers
    Sure looks like it. Touched down about 8 minutes ago and probably tore up a ton of trees.
  22. Bob's Burgers
    "The greatest chance for a regional cluster of tornadoes is forecast from just southeast of Jackson, Mississippi and Hattiesburg, Mississippi eastward across southwest and south-central Alabama."
  23. Bob's Burgers
    Well that sure was fun.
  24. Bob's Burgers
    Next Thursday might be the Coup de grâce for the southeast
  25. Bob's Burgers
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