mattie g

4 hours ago, H2O said:

Last time i looked at my total on the VP2 it was 48" but that was before the two most recent pourings.  I know that some of the training rains this summer just missed me.  But to see how some other places are over 60 and nearing 70 is quite the difference.

You know you wanna say it...

I have to admit...I’m pretty surprised that it’s raining.

Twatter posts seem to be acting up on mobile. They’re not reformatting to the margins of the text box, instead running over the margin. It’s kind of annoying.

When I read any post by AFewUniversesBelowNormal, I come away questioning my own sanity.

2 hours ago, nj2va said:

YAY, no more political ads on TV! 

Only place I saw political ads was when I was watching Big Green Egg videos on YouTube.

1) I never watch anything except on DVR or streaming, ergo no commercials

2) I never get to watch TV because of the kids 

Just now, MN Transplant said:

0.63" on the day.  Raining steadily.  Leaves dropping.

If they drop straight down, I’ll be happy, since all of the leaves in my backyard come from my neighbors’ trees. Let them deal with their own GD leaves....and stay off my lawn!

1 hour ago, H2O said:

Traffic on the beltway was awful.  40 mph was the cruising speed.

And i washed my car yesterday too.  Eff monday.

It’s weird. After friday, Monday is usually the least crowded on the train. And with Fairfax schools closed today I though we’d see a few fewer people than normal. Instead, it was wet and crowded and kind of miserable. Thank God I got a single seat on the upper level.

21 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

Euro and EPS have a coastal next Tuesday.  Too warm for everyone, even if the far N+W crew, but worth keeping an eye on.  850s below freezing for the mountains and foothills, but boundary layer is a furnace.

Really hope this active pattern is a sign of the future. Has the feel like we’re going to be tracking D1, D3, D5, and a D10 threat all at the same time this winter at some point.

I honestly think we’re going to be exhausted by the middle of February. We’ll have a chance to recover at some point (mid-January or thereabouts), but the break will be short-lived because the pattern will reload big time, and it’ll be obvious pretty soon after we relax.

Whether we score is another question, but the tracking will be on...

BWI: 34.6”
DCA: 6.1”
IAD: 43.7”
RIC: 19.9”

SBY: 89.4”

* I may or may not make changes before submitting for good

Oh...we’re doing IMBYs, too? Then 377.1” IMBY.

9 hours ago, Maestrobjwa said:

So what are you saying...ya think we'll be tracking with no results or that we may actually get something?

I just feel like the atmosphere is getting primed to give us a lot of chances, and that we’ll need some incredibly bad luck not to pull off a really good winter. The pieces seem to be falling into place, and while we could certainly fail spectacularly, it’ll take some doing for that to happen.

We need to expect a break in the pattern at some point, resulting in a period when we’ll have no shot at wintry weather, but I also think that extended looks will have us tracking chances almost before that crap period even begins.

I could be completely wrong - and it certainly wouldn’t be the first time (and I also don’t have much skill beyond just going with feel and experience) - but this fall and all the long-range looks are getting me pretty excited for what’s to come.

Raining pretty hard in Burke. And there are way too many people on the VRE.

I’m usually pretty down on our snow chances because I realize that we pretty much suck, but I’m getting the feeling that, come mid- to late-December, the atmosphere is going to be looking for excuses *not* to snow around here. We’ll hit a 2- or 3-week period when there’s no shot (maybe around the second week of January), but we’ll be tracking again before  almost before that period has started.

I could well eat my words, but I’m getting that funny feeling in the *very* bottom of my belly for this winter...

2 hours ago, RDM said:

 

Indeed - that 11-11-87 shellacking was memorable.  Had 13" in Lorton.  Posted the below earlier today in the digital snow thread.  Haven't figured out how to quote something here from another thread yet.  

Begin quote

That MAY be the storm you are thinking about, but we also got nailed on 11 Nov 1987 - Veterans Day.  I moved to NVA from Ohio in 85 and remember the Nov 87 storm well.  It snuck up on everyone and crippled DC.  Had an ULL that generated its own cold and a lot of fatties.  The rates were intense - and the bullseye was the proverbial "DC Snow Hole" with as much as 15".  I lived in Lorton at the time at Pohick and Rt-1 and we got about 13" there.  

Here's a couple of articles about it:

https://www.weatherbug.com/news/Washington-s-Veterans-Day-Storm-Remembered

https://dcstorms.com/2012/11/11/veterans-day-snowstorm-of-1987/

Hit the “+” in the bottom left of the post you want to quote. Then when you get into the thread you want to quote, click in the reply section and click “Quote 1 post” and the quote will appear.

It’s that easy!

2 hours ago, smokeybandit said:

I've got a package late to be delivered thanks to that Amazon warehouse collapse.  Thankfully just some kid's shoelaces

2 hours ago, Sparky said:

same

#firstworldproblems

3 hours ago, Bob Chill said:

Both my front and back yard are crowned and through years of practice I have it down to a science. Keep it mowed tightly during leaf drop and the bulk of my leaves easily blow out of my yard and into my neighbor's. This year has been exceptionally good with the cold weather stopping the grass from growing. Might be my easiest year ever for me and the most difficult for my neighbors. 

Gave mine its initial winter buzz cut today. I do it for two reason: the first is what you mentioned, then second is so there’s no grass poking through when we get the pathetic little snows in the winter. Just looks better and makes it feel like we got more than we did.

So basically what the last few posts have told me is that early snow means a pretty boring winter overall.

Pass.

3 hours ago, midatlanticweather said:

Wow is it! Winterizing the lawnmower today. Maybe the hose bibs by next weekend! 

What exactly does winterizing a lawn mower entail? I’ve had mine for 7.5 years and have never done anything to prepare it for winter. I pull it out for the first mow in the spring, and the leftover gas doesn’t cause any issue with starting up.

I’m loving all these storms that are modeled to develop way down south and ride north. I don’t care so much about track right now, but it’s just great to see the very Nino-like activity of the southern jet.

1 minute ago, MN Transplant said:

Roaring out there.  Gusts well into the 30s if not 40s.

Good call by C.A.P.E.

(just bussin’ balls)

38 minutes ago, Stormpc said:

I'm just waiting for the Hardywood Gingerbread to come back out. I probably drank 50 of them in 1 month last season.

Official release at the brewery is tomorrow, so we should be seeing them pop up this week.

Bourbon Barrel GBS is so, so good. Buddies and I all got a GBS set this year. Has all the variants, including beers that don’t get released 1) outside the brewery or 2) in anything by draft. Pretty excited.

2 hours ago, C.A.P.E. said:

Picked up some Founders CBS. Fall weekend. Football. All good.

Released today, but not everywhere. Report back on what you think of it!

11 hours ago, Maestrobjwa said:

Now uh...there's talk in the ENSO thread about how the warmth is going from west to east...as opposed to starting from east and draining west like it did in years like 2002 and 2009...Now, wha6 do we want, ideally? West-central based El Niños? (And what happens in the basin-wide and east based events? Any duds?)

2 hours ago, midatlanticweather said:

That is not good. Looks like we got Nino

 

 

@leesburg 04

11 hours ago, yoda said:

What a game between United and the Crew... very entertaining.  Even the penalty shootout was tense.  Congrats to the Crew moving on... but a bit of a disappointing ending to the United's season 

Annoying because it delays US Soccer from announcing Gregg Berhalter as the new US National Team coach.

Awesome for Columbus, though, especially with all of the hoopla surrounding the potential move and the great recent news that the Columbus will still have the Crew (even if Austin does get its team).

1 hour ago, WxUSAF said:

I’m fully aroused.

I have that effect on people.

Milk chocolate, dark chocolate, white chocolate, plain chocolate, not-plain chocolate. Just chocolate.

With peanut butter. Salty peanut butter.

I want a Kit Kat made with three kinds of chocolate that has Reese’s peanut butter in between the wafers. Dipped in peanut butter sauce. Then again in chocolate.

Peanut butter and chocolate.