ORH_wxman
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Everything posted by ORH_wxman
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The purely synoptic stuff doesn’t even matter for you...even if you get zero on the WCB (which won’t happen, you’ll get several minimum), you get upslope farts for like 48 hours after that...just wringing out the leftover synoptic moisture thrown around the backside.
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Yes agreed. My gut is that it is closer to water than 495 belt. Like I could see that 128 stretch from Newton down to Canton and then south to Easton/Mansfield being a trouble spot for that. Even your ‘hood might be a really bad spot for power grid issues. Like even if you get “only” 8 inches of snow, it could be 7 to 1 mashed potatoes or something.
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We better not get another Mar 7-8, 2018. I had like 12-13” of absolute spackle and lost power for 3 days. My gut tells me this may end up closer to like a 29-30F snow here for a lot of it. Maybe the last few hours of the firehose go to 32-33 but hoping by then we have dropped enough dry snow that a few inches of paste at the end won’t be destructive.
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That was an impressive performance by Kevin last night. I thought ice1972 had hijacked his computer.
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RGEM is now mostly snow for you as well...joining the NAM.
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Yeah true. He has the biggest jackpot fetish on here...he admits it though. If you have a heavy rates fetish, I think C and E MA is a good spot...it’s like a 10 hour blitz with probably several hours of 2” per hour type stuff in the middle of that. Yeah, you may not get 20” like someone in the Catskills or NNJ that spends more time under currier and Ives bands, but you’ll get some serious meat at least being in the heart of that WCB.
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Yeah he’s hitting he NARCAN maps too hard. It’s not going to be 5 to 1 ratios where he is. Anyone west of 128 is going to get crushed and I’d think even a little closer to the water than that even. Maybe on the harbor has some issues.
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Anyways, not staying up for the euro tonight. We’ll see if we can get that later northeast push. Probably would benefit just about everyone on here.
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Yeah basically the same as 12z for his hood.
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The Ukie was kind of weird. Had almost a mesolow developing E of MA and tucking in colder air...but not just at sfc. The mesolow was aloft too. But anwyay, 00z run was an improvement for most posters in this forum.
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I wouldn’t toss any models right now...except maybe the Canadian suite which is probably still too far SW though they made a decent jump toward other guidance at 00z.
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It was def better.
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GGEM a lot better than 12z. Shifting things northeast. Still a bit off it’s rocker imho but another shift like that and it would be very good for a lot of the forum.
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V16 has definitely been colder than the OP GFS for several runs.
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Probably occluding it too fast. Gives them shredded garbage.
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GFS coming in more zonked. It had been kind of the SE outlier for a while.
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Just catching up...lol at 00z NAM RGEM continues it’s march northeast. That’s not done trending yet imho. We’ll see what GFS says here soon.
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Not really worried....gonna be hard to push the taint into here without it absolutely dumping first. I fully expect this to tickle back E at some point too.
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Glad we don’t live there
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V16 is juiced up more than 12z. Pretty cold too still for the SE crew.
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GFS was close to 12z...minor tick west. NAM was minor tick east. Prob model noise from both.
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RGEM is going clown still but not quite as bad as 12z. It’s further north where the upper air goes to town.
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Yeah the RGEM will come in with 40” over Harrisburg in a few minutes while porking SNE.
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That’s a good visual of what type of fetch is going to be streaming into SNE. That firehose superimposed over the top of the bent back ML warm front could produce some crazy dates for a time.
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Looks similar to 12z. Maybe a tickle east.
