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ORH_wxman

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Everything posted by ORH_wxman

  1. ORH_wxman
    Maybe 2 or 3 tenths?
  2. ORH_wxman
    Yeah we just had a blob go through here that dropped a couple quick tenths....we've only been snowing for about an hour....at least steadily. Hoping to catch that Windham county stuff though the best might be a bit south of me
  3. ORH_wxman
    Nice....we were talking earlier about that region potentially being a sneaky jackpot but it was starting to take away from the CT discussion so we stopped. Looks like that weenie banding is performing there with good snow growth,
  4. ORH_wxman
    Just starting to rip here now....but we don't have as much as the N CT area.
  5. ORH_wxman
    Should start ripping there within the next 20-30 min
  6. ORH_wxman
    Radar looks pretty good...I'd expect widspread advisory amounts for anyone over 200-300 feet and maybe down lower....esp as sun goes down and eastward.
  7. ORH_wxman
    Basically been nothing here for an hour at least...maybe more. Just a few weenie flakes.
  8. ORH_wxman
    Tolland CT
  9. ORH_wxman
    Crush job for NNE on the 12z Euro....looked really good for many up there.
  10. ORH_wxman
    We might end up in a bit of screwjie....best band to the north and the low level stuff to the south, but maybe we get lucky with a really good band near the ML dryslot.
  11. ORH_wxman
    Very light snow here...prob 2-3 mile vis to start, Can tell the lowest levels are still a bit dry. Hopefully we get an update from CT soon on the conditions there....
  12. ORH_wxman
    Yeah I think some of those spots are gonna put up a 6+ burger...they'll have the snow growth and temps below freezing at the sfc so I won't be shocked to see some 20ish to 1 ratio fluffer numbers there.
  13. ORH_wxman
    We literally talked about CT almost non-stop for this event since the best looked like down there....only recently in the past 2-3 cycles did the potential for the jackpot shift north....it's like if the focus goes off CT for more thna a few posts, you can't take it.
  14. ORH_wxman
    Kevin whines non-stop anytime people talk about areas outside of northern CT.
  15. ORH_wxman
    Yeah prob starts there around 1...maybe a little sooner. Hasn't started here yet either. Having the bulk after 3pm will definitely help with the sun angle issues, though anyone inside those heavier bands will overwhelm the sun angle. But certainly for when it lightens up a bit, it's good to have the sun lower.
  16. ORH_wxman
    PSF reporting heavy snow now in that band
  17. ORH_wxman
    They have a couple additional advantages....some elevation and the best snows there won't be until after 3-4pm, so they will be doing it with the sun getting low in the sky.
  18. ORH_wxman
    Someone up in N ORH county or monads is gonna get a little fluff bomb I think...maybe back to N Berks and Mitch in S VT too. Best H7 fronto sort of goes right along the pike and a little north of that is where the jack will be IMHO....really good crosshair sig up in that area too.
  19. ORH_wxman
    The stuff out in PA is really where the best forcing is....and you can see it on the obs too, lots of 1/4 and 1/2 SM obs
  20. ORH_wxman
    There’s going to be a band up north somewhere (whether it’s the pike, rt 2, or near the NH border) that probably does better than forecasts. Prob like a 6” fluff job because the crosshair sig is really good there.
  21. ORH_wxman
    06z runs are coming in pretty zonked so far after 00z was a bit tame.
  22. ORH_wxman
    Euro cut back some from its really bullish 12z solution. More toward the middle of the model consensus now. I think most of those 2-4” lolli 5” forecasts are good. Someone might get smoked with a 6 spot if they can get into a band but I wouldn’t actually forecast that for a specific spot. But someone with a bit of elevation and north could do it since there’s a strong crosshair sig up there. Maybe someone in the Berkshires.
  23. ORH_wxman
    Time to see if Euro is going to pull of the coup or not like the old days. I ain’t buying it. I bet it goes back west.
  24. ORH_wxman
    The extremely low dews are the sign that the airmass is pretty cold from a wetbulb perspective. Pretty classic for March actually.
  25. ORH_wxman
    Not surprised it's cooling a bit at the sfc....925 is pretty damned cold to be supporting 33-34F at the sfc.
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