Kitzbuhel Craver

Ginxy was honking on it, if memory serves me right

Well said, that makes perfect sense

EURO had it as well for a time

But, wouldn’t you agree that WRT climo, one would argue this is about that time of winter when NYC should be in play?

Primary few clicks stronger on 12z GFS vs 06z

Well that upper air pattern tells the tale. Not exactly the look you want to see for EC cyclones albeit way up in NS

Looks like I need to get into chase mode...

You will be fine, trending worse for SNE IMO however. Less robust thump, quicker transition to rain...

Up and in remains the theme until further notice.

I’m not sure we clogged anything? There was like 5 posts overnight?

Does it look good from your perspective for SNE? Asking for a friend...

GFS cookin up an Archambault Miller A rainer just after? If that happens, I’m punting this POS season to the stratosphere.

Blows. Neither was last.

06z looks like trash for SNE. We are going the wrong way with this thing.

Time is on our side at the moment. We have that going for us...

I never felt it was going to be all snow at my location either. I was hoping it would be a substantial SWFE however, with a solid front end thump. Like 4-8” before a change over, dry-slot and then bring the cold air in to lock whatever fell, preserve it until the more favorable pattern arrives. It’ll be pretty sucky if we get like 1-3” down here, flips overnight, and you wake up to a foggy, wet, Swiss Cheese “pack” and we lock that in with the cold. That would hurt the weenie a bit.

That is not ok for CT

Bout 16 runs to go till showtime, I’ll gladly take some positive ticks between now and then. That run seemed to be a step in the right direction. Cooking up a Miller A after?

Yeah Worcester in a better spot than us for this upcoming event for sure.

Looks like Euro completely lost the cold Miller B look Ginxy mentioned a few days back. Now we are dealing with a SWFE. Discouraging to see the Euro trending towards ramping up the primary and trying to take our front end thump to the woodshed. Almost going away from a true SWFE to a cutterish look. This threat is becoming eerily similar to the overall tone of the winter thus far. Slam a wound up primary way west, redevelop it way north and we are not on the shit side down in SNE. We have an eternity and I’m hoping we trend it back colder, however I’m not really seeing it unfold that way.

Either way though no? We have said a cutter is not off the table for this window...

12z ICON is a soaker for almost all of NNE, except far N. Maine. Let’s hope that’s a trash solution.

An eternity away, I get that... Verbatim, Looks a bit sloppy for us as it currently stands.

No, no.. that is my centre’s call, lol. Just saying It’s far better than what have been dealing with and like some others have alluded, yourself included, that look will lend itself to overrunning/swfe and low pressure redevelopment in a more favorable position than BVT, lol.. If I’m reading you right

No way SLP’s can just plow through that kind of cold.