Torch Tiger

I know the privy folk won't like this, but I would not wish away a FM strong cat 3- borderline 4 (130-140? mph weakening to 120) rocketing forward N or even NNW <3 into SNE.

15 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

The diabolical miscreant dystopian ahole in me would rather it be August 21 ...right about on lolly-pop top of the highest OHC climo available around New England coastal waters, after (say) a Hades summer really cooked the shit to historic SSTs. 

Hell, I remember once swimming/surfing Narragansett Beach in southern RI and the water temp at the buoy/mouth of the Bay just around the corner was 81 ... Granted, it was more like razor thin 74 out in the Bite water S of L.I. but if you're trying/hoping to conserve as much jesus h christitude of storm momentum as possible, September is already starting to create just that much stabilizing marine boundary layer to steal some greedy wind points away.   

lol 

The SST's were always 78F if not 83F peak, saw and measured those every year I used to measure from the late 80's through 2005.

The "good" years you can bake some inlets to 80's easily - EWB, West Fal., and so on. 

It's basically a  1000 or 10,000 /year miracle to rip a cat 3-near 4? up into NE? lol

3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

And honestly it’s probably more likely mid/ late Octorcher 

Yeah I mean it'll be much cooler then, but  I'm afraid the "cry for mama" heat will be finito early this summer

2 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Got up to 61° but back to overcast. 

Oh man smith and grafton hall still exist, thought they would raze those projects by now?

12 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Not on any ensemble guidance 

he means Septdewber, months from now it'll relax

All we have is heat/dews.  No severe storms, no tropical, no nothing for months.  Much like this past winter, the damage will be psychological

5 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

OH, haha.   My bad TT... 

I thought we were talking about heat.  

all good.  It's impressive you have that memory though, lol.  I was living in S NH at the time and I believe my Davis maxed at ~97 that summer.  

3 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Yeah I’d prefer a little damage for a lot of people over devastating damage for just a few. 

Right. The tracking and overall histories of MCC's or derechos are more interesting to me.

I think we'd all prefer a region-wide derecho vs. another 2011 or 1953

1 hour ago, Chrisrotary12 said:

Is it asking too much to get a nice heat dome derecho? Wish I was old enough for this: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Heat_wave_of_1995_derecho_series

90's were a hotbed of 'rechos

Lol...the on-air bot said no

The GFS and EURO indicate that upwards of 1000-2000
J/kg of instability is available on Thursday afternoon, which could
lead to severe thunderstorms,

7 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

Sounding blows he drunk.

How many apple martinis?

7 hours ago, CT Rain said:

 

lol this sounding is nothing special at all. Even assuming it's overmixed in the boundary layer you've got CAPE that's not impressive with meh mid-level rates. You also have 0-6km shear on the order of 25 knots or so which is not sufficient for organization/supercells.

Absolutely nothing like 6/20/95 or any of our more memorable events.

1200 dcape and 100/65 .. good wind threat. You were drunk

57 minutes ago, CT Rain said:

I didn't say no severe... just that sounding you posted didn't show anything of the sort. 

it was loaded af lol

you've been focusing on the dark side

53 minutes ago, CT Rain said:

I didn't say no severe... just that sounding you posted didn't show anything of the sort. 

   i'll let it go

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

Both Gfs and Euro have periodic EML here starting late next week 

"wats an eml, is that a bird?"

Anything EML-driven, rules go out the window.   I would say not much to look at for sig severe, tho:/.

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Tor’s Tiger ?

maybe way west NYS VT 

 gonna be a few bangs from that 6/19-20  ...

I know it won't be sig but hope it is.  just for taking that chance

2 minutes ago, Cyclone-68 said:

That’s a fair rebuttal ☺️

Nah I'm just shooting the shit, not trying to argue. lol

Ineedsnow is like rare breed icelandic/N Finland mix

3 minutes ago, Cyclone-68 said:

I hope nobody takes this the wrong way but if climate change has resulted in uneventful weather around here that may be the biggest tragedy here so far 

Not "uneventful" but maybe to your wishes. I don't disagree btw!  Some of these weirdos want that year round, "neversun". I think there's a song from like Norway that says that lol