Something happened, maybe the flooding screwed up underground nesting? Late-bloomer year? Excessive dragonflies (which I have seen outside of the viral) eating too many prey?
12z yesterday to today shifted 200 mi? wsw
Bermuda went from barely getting the left quadrant to crushed lol Actually, Bermuda is nearly too far east for an inner eyewall (unless it's massive) on todays 12z
Caneada not out of play, but if the EC trough is too positively tilted it'll be kicked. But to me that looks more unlikely than it skirting there, or even a hit
The setup has looked more like a Bermuda/far E Canada (Newfie?) threat for several days. I wouldn't rule out a solution more quite a bit more west than the mean of the op models though.