Torch Tiger

We do have some concern that rainfall may end up higher on Nantucket. Although it is a low chance, HREF and CAMs suggest maximum rainfall totals could approach 5" there which would lead to more significant poor drainage flooding. Confidence is not high enough to issue Flash Flood Watches at this time, since we do not see all factors coming into play that would tend to favor excessive rainfall. This includes position of upper jet, which will be over SNE and should keep stronger synoptic scale lift farther offshore (as opposed to more favorable position across northern New England), and PWATs staying just below 2" with axis of higher moisture offshore. meh

TV for all

Euro and gfs operational both with strong agreement for that system NE of the islands. That is a notorious zone for long-track CV EC threats. ;/

Hopefully there is rapid weakening very soon, with a,distant offshore track.

'78 injured thousands and killed 100. That's a lot more than many hurricanes, here or elsewhere. Nevermind the property damage as well as economic losses. But you won't hear people on here wishing it away.

This scrapercane is annoying. Sorry, /rant

A redux of Hazel or King would set this forum on fire

too bad the water was/is turned over

The UL jet needs to be west of where the gfs has it.

We can see where it's headed..

Please not Hillary again, I am tired of 3rd-6th party voting

they will forcefully...ticket you

they'd disappear faster than a slushy DC inch

good luck proving who was "chasing" though

If wishing this storm way west is wrong, I don't want to be right. It's too bad there is a limit how far west it can come.

Drama.

Eastern was better

There will be a shot at a landfall or scrape jmo. I've been looking at some analogs and general UA and it seems with a partial capture, a bend NNE is on the table. Of course that's an eternity away, where exactly that occurs and Dorian's condition at the time. A west track would include life partially over land, also over cooler waters later on. a track along the GS would carry a stronger system but the storm would probably not be able to make that latitude.

Chucked

That makes absolutely no sense, but you are consistent anyway.

Gloria wasn't a bust, but definitely over hyped. Had some 80 mph gusts and many trees through homes.

The weather..:D Meanwhile not to worry folks, the 12z NAM has a great handle on the situation.

Carrying on the theme from the main thread...

1996 Edouard's fishing expedition comes to mind. I remember moving to college the day before, the first thing I did was setup telnet 14.4 baud into PSC wx and track that pos all night.